MCO vs NWSA: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

Last updated August 2026

Short answer

MCO is the larger of the two ($82.85B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (25.35x forward earnings, beta 1.34). NWSA is the smaller challenger ($15.51B), cheaper on forward earnings (19.14x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.

MCO vs NWSA: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricMCONWSAWhat it tells you
Market cap$82.85B$15.51BSize. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove.
Forward P/E25.3519.14Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Trailing P/E30.3927.86Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price.
Beta1.340.91Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through.
Price vs 52-week range53% of range69% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.
Price / book27.391.83How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price.

Reading it: NWSA is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.

Before you buy: how MCO and NWSA affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. MCO and NWSA share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined MCO and NWSA exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does Moody's (MCO) do?

Moody's is a global integrated risk-assessment company best known for credit ratings. It operates two main segments. Moody's Investors Service (MIS) rates the creditworthiness of bonds, loans, and other debt instruments issued by corporations, governments, and structured-finance vehicles, earning fees from issuers each time debt is rated. Moody's Analytics (MA) sells subscription software, data, research, and models for credit risk, economic forecasting, regulatory compliance, and increasingly ESG and supply-chain risk. Together with S&P Global, Moody's forms half of an effective duopoly in credit ratings, an industry protected by deep regulatory entrenchment, network effects, and the trust embedded in its ratings over more than a century. The ratings business is highly profitable and cyclical with debt-issuance volumes, while Moody's Analytics provides growing, recurring subscription revenue that smooths the cycle. Founded in 1909 and headquartered in New York, Moody's is a high-margin compounder tied to the global flow of capital and debt.

Full MCO guide

What does News Corporation (NWSA) do?

News Corporation is a diversified media and information company built out of the 2013 separation from Twenty-First Century Fox, and it now runs four reporting segments. Dow Jones is the largest profit engine, with fiscal 2026 revenue of ~$2.50 billion and segment EBITDA of ~$663 million, 84% of it digital, spanning The Wall Street Journal, Barron's, Dow Jones Risk & Compliance (~$392 million, up ~16%) and Dow Jones Energy including OPIS (~$301 million, up ~8%). Digital Real Estate Services holds a 62.0% interest in ASX-listed REA Group (realestate.com.au) and an 80% interest in Move, which operates Realtor.com, together producing ~$2.02 billion of revenue and ~$741 million of segment EBITDA. Book Publishing is HarperCollins at ~$2.29 billion of revenue, and News Media covers News Corp Australia, The Times and Sunday Times, The Sun, the New York Post, the newly launched California Post and News Broadcasting, at ~$2.23 billion of revenue but only ~$139 million of EBITDA. Foxtel left the group in the DAZN sale that closed in fiscal 2025 and sits in discontinued operations, so prior-year comparisons look odd unless you separate continuing operations.

Full NWSA guide

MCO vs NWSA: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • MCO drivers: Ratings duopoly and pricing power; Moody's Analytics recurring revenue.
  • NWSA drivers: Dow Jones as a professional-information business, not a newspaper; REA Group and Move, the property half of the company.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: The ratings segment is cyclical: debt issuance falls sharply when interest rates rise quickly or credit markets freeze, directly pressuring MIS revenue. For NWSA, news Media is the obvious drag: revenue rose ~3% in fiscal 2026 only because of a ~$81 million currency tailwind, adjusted revenue actually fell ~1%, and segment EBITDA declined ~9% to ~$139 million against ~$2.23 billion of revenue, a margin that leaves no room for further print decline or for the cost of new bets such as the California Post.

MCO or NWSA: which should you pick?

Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick MCO if you believe its drivers more; NWSA if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the MCO and NWSA guides.

MCO vs NWSA: the full fundamentals

MCO. Moody's trades at a premium to the market, reflecting its position in a protected ratings duopoly, high margins, capital-light economics, and the recurring revenue of Moody's Analytics. The valuation embeds steady mid-to-high-single-digit growth and assumes durable issuance volumes over time. The multiple has historically compressed during sharp debt-issuance downturns and re-rated as markets reopened.

NWSA. Figures are approximate, tied to August 2026 and drawn from the fiscal 2026 10-K and Q4 earnings release, so check live data before acting on any of them. The multiple looks full at first glance and cheaper on a parts basis: 62.0% of REA Group's ~A$23.2 billion market value is roughly ~A$14.4 billion, or about ~US$9.4 billion at ~0.65 US dollars per Australian dollar, which implies the market is assigning something under ~$6.5 billion to Dow Jones, HarperCollins, 80% of Move and the entire newspaper estate combined. Two caveats keep that arithmetic honest: ~$170 million of fiscal 2026 net income belonged to noncontrolling interests (mostly REA minorities and therefore not News Corp's to spend), and the Class A share class has no mechanism to force the discount closed.

Headline figures (approximate, early 2026): MCO shows revenue (ttm) ~$7.5 billion, operating margin ~45%, net income (ttm) ~$2.5 billion, eps (ttm) ~$13.50; NWSA shows revenue (ttm) ~$9.03 billion for fiscal 2026 (year ended June 30, 2026), up ~7% from ~$8.45 billion; Q4 revenue ~$2.34 billion, up ~11%, earnings Net income from continuing operations ~$743 million (up ~15%); diluted EPS from continuing operations attributable to stockholders ~$1.03 versus ~$0.84, adjusted EPS ~$1.18, segment profitability Total Segment EBITDA ~$1.63 billion (up ~15%): Dow Jones ~$663 million, Digital Real Estate ~$741 million, Book Publishing ~$287 million, News Media ~$139 million, Other ~-$203 million, cash generation Operating cash flow ~$1.24 billion (up ~26%), capital expenditure ~$426 million, free cash flow ~$811 million (up ~42%), a free-cash-flow yield near ~5.2% on the current market value.

The bottom line: MCO vs NWSA

MCO and NWSA are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined MCO and NWSA exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Wondering how MCO or NWSA fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.

Investing in Moody's with AI

Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how MCO fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.

FAQ

What is the difference between MCO and NWSA?

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Moody's is a global integrated risk-assessment company best known for credit ratings. News Corporation is a diversified media and information company built out of the 2013 separation from Twenty-First Century Fox, and it now runs four reporting segments. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is MCO or NWSA the better stock?

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Neither is universally better. MCO is the larger incumbent; NWSA is the smaller challenger and looks cheaper on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, MCO or NWSA?

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On forward P/E (as of August 2026), MCO trades at 25.35x and NWSA at 19.14x, so NWSA is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both MCO and NWSA?

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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of MCO vs NWSA?

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MCO: The ratings segment is cyclical: debt issuance falls sharply when interest rates rise quickly or credit markets freeze, directly pressuring MIS revenue. Moody's also carries reputational and regulatory risk, a legacy of the 2008 financial crisis when rating agencies were criticized for structured-credit ratings; new regulation or liability rulings could weigh on the model. Competition from S&P Global, Fitch, and smaller rating providers, plus the rise of in-house and AI-driven risk tools, is a long-term consideration. The premium valuation embeds steady growth, so issuance downturns or multiple compression can hit the stock. Currency exposure and integration risk on acquisitions add further variability. NWSA: News Media is the obvious drag: revenue rose ~3% in fiscal 2026 only because of a ~$81 million currency tailwind, adjusted revenue actually fell ~1%, and segment EBITDA declined ~9% to ~$139 million against ~$2.23 billion of revenue, a margin that leaves no room for further print decline or for the cost of new bets such as the California Post. Currency itself is a real swing factor rather than a footnote, since News Corp reports in US dollars while earning heavily in Australian dollars and British pounds, and ~$189 million of the ~$576 million revenue increase was foreign-exchange translation. Concentration in REA Group cuts both ways, because REA shares are down roughly 29% over the past year, Australian housing listings are cyclical, and ~$255 million of the group's cash is trapped at REA until REA declares a dividend. Move faces a US housing market with weak transaction volumes plus post-settlement changes to how buyer-broker commissions work and a shift of listing inventory toward private networks. Governance is the structural risk most specific to NWSA holders: Class A has effectively no vote, LGC Holdco (the Murdoch family entities that replaced the Murdoch Family Trust under a September 2025 stockholders agreement) held ~34.52% of Class B as of June 30, 2026 with the agreement permitting up to 44% of Class B voting power, and the charter's supermajority and written-consent provisions mean outside holders have little practical route to force a break-up or a change of control. Legacy U.K. Newspaper Matters claims over voicemail interception continue, though the accrual is small at ~$8 million and FOX Corporation indemnifies most of the cost.

Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell MCO or NWSA; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.

    MCO vs NWSA: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026? - Walnut AI Investing App