MCO vs SPGI: How Moody's and S&P Global Compare (2026)

Last updated July 2026

Short answer

SPGI is the larger of the two ($123.65B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (20.73x forward earnings, beta 1.08). MCO is the smaller challenger ($84.07B), actually pricier on forward earnings (25.76x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.

MCO vs SPGI: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of July 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricMCOSPGIWhat it tells you
Market cap$84.07B$123.65BSize. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove.
Forward P/E25.7620.73Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Trailing P/E30.8426.50Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price.
Beta1.341.08Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through.
Price vs 52-week range58% of range31% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.
Price / book27.793.98How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price.

Reading it: SPGI is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.

Before you buy: how MCO and SPGI affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. MCO and SPGI share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined MCO and SPGI exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does Moody's (MCO) do?

Moody's is a global integrated risk-assessment company best known for credit ratings. It operates two main segments. Moody's Investors Service (MIS) rates the creditworthiness of bonds, loans, and other debt instruments issued by corporations, governments, and structured-finance vehicles, earning fees from issuers each time debt is rated. Moody's Analytics (MA) sells subscription software, data, research, and models for credit risk, economic forecasting, regulatory compliance, and increasingly ESG and supply-chain risk. Together with S&P Global, Moody's forms half of an effective duopoly in credit ratings, an industry protected by deep regulatory entrenchment, network effects, and the trust embedded in its ratings over more than a century. The ratings business is highly profitable and cyclical with debt-issuance volumes, while Moody's Analytics provides growing, recurring subscription revenue that smooths the cycle. Founded in 1909 and headquartered in New York, Moody's is a high-margin compounder tied to the global flow of capital and debt.

Full MCO guide

What does S&P Global (SPGI) do?

S&P Global is a financial-information and analytics company best known for two franchises: S&P Global Ratings, one of the big three credit-rating agencies, and S&P Dow Jones Indices, which owns benchmark stock indices including the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average. The company makes money from rating debt issuances (a fee tied to bond issuance activity), licensing its indices to ETFs and funds (collecting fees on the assets that track them), and selling market data, analytics, and commodity-price benchmarks. Its Market Intelligence segment provides data platforms and research to financial professionals, and S&P Global Commodity Insights (formerly Platts) sets energy and commodity price benchmarks. The 2022 merger with IHS Markit broadened its data, automotive, and analytics offerings. S&P Global benefits from durable, recurring, subscription-like revenue and high margins. Headquartered in New York City, it serves banks, asset managers, corporations, and governments worldwide.

Full SPGI guide

MCO vs SPGI: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • MCO drivers: Ratings duopoly and pricing power; Moody's Analytics recurring revenue.
  • SPGI drivers: Index licensing and passive investing; Credit ratings and a wide moat.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: The ratings segment is cyclical: debt issuance falls sharply when interest rates rise quickly or credit markets freeze, directly pressuring MIS revenue. For SPGI, ratings revenue is cyclical and tied to debt-issuance volumes, which fall when interest rates rise sharply or credit markets freeze.

MCO or SPGI: which should you pick?

Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick MCO if you believe its drivers more; SPGI if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the MCO and SPGI guides.

MCO vs SPGI: the full fundamentals

MCO. Moody's trades at a premium to the market, reflecting its position in a protected ratings duopoly, high margins, capital-light economics, and the recurring revenue of Moody's Analytics. The valuation embeds steady mid-to-high-single-digit growth and assumes durable issuance volumes over time. The multiple has historically compressed during sharp debt-issuance downturns and re-rated as markets reopened.

SPGI. S&P Global trades at a premium valuation that reflects its wide moats, high margins, and durable recurring revenue. The qualitative profile is a high-quality compounder: oligopoly ratings, dominant indices, and growing data subscriptions. The premium multiple leaves the stock sensitive to slowdowns in bond issuance or passive-fund inflows.

Headline figures (approximate, early 2026): MCO shows revenue (ttm) ~$7.5 billion, operating margin ~45%, net income (ttm) ~$2.5 billion, eps (ttm) ~$13.50; SPGI shows revenue (ttm) ~$14 billion, revenue growth high-single-digit to low-double-digit, operating margin ~45% on an adjusted basis, recurring revenue mix the majority of revenue is subscription or asset-linked.

The bottom line: MCO vs SPGI

MCO and SPGI are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined MCO and SPGI exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Wondering how MCO or SPGI fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.

Investing in Moody's with AI

Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how MCO fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.

FAQ

What is the difference between MCO and SPGI?

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Moody's is a global integrated risk-assessment company best known for credit ratings. S&P Global is a financial-information and analytics company best known for two franchises: S&P Global Ratings, one of the big three credit-rating agencies, and S&P Dow Jones Indices, which owns benchmark stock indices including the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is MCO or SPGI the better stock?

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Neither is universally better. SPGI is the larger incumbent; MCO is the smaller challenger and looks pricier on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, MCO or SPGI?

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On forward P/E (as of July 2026), MCO trades at 25.76x and SPGI at 20.73x, so SPGI is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both MCO and SPGI?

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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of MCO vs SPGI?

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MCO: The ratings segment is cyclical: debt issuance falls sharply when interest rates rise quickly or credit markets freeze, directly pressuring MIS revenue. Moody's also carries reputational and regulatory risk, a legacy of the 2008 financial crisis when rating agencies were criticized for structured-credit ratings; new regulation or liability rulings could weigh on the model. Competition from S&P Global, Fitch, and smaller rating providers, plus the rise of in-house and AI-driven risk tools, is a long-term consideration. The premium valuation embeds steady growth, so issuance downturns or multiple compression can hit the stock. Currency exposure and integration risk on acquisitions add further variability. SPGI: Ratings revenue is cyclical and tied to debt-issuance volumes, which fall when interest rates rise sharply or credit markets freeze. Regulatory scrutiny of the rating-agency oligopoly is a recurring risk, including potential reforms to how ratings are paid for or used. The index business depends on continued passive-investing inflows and faces fee pressure as competitors and ETF issuers push for lower licensing costs. Integration of IHS Markit and ongoing acquisitions carry execution risk. The stock typically trades at a premium valuation, so any slowdown in issuance, fund flows, or data-subscription growth can compress the multiple meaningfully.

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Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell MCO or SPGI; figures are approximate and dated (as of July 2026). Verify current data before investing.

    MCO vs SPGI: How Moody's and S&P Global Compare (2026), Walnut