MTDR vs PR: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

Reading it: MTDR is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. MTDR and PR share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined MTDR and PR exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

Matador Resources drills, completes and produces oil and natural gas from the Wolfcamp and Bone Spring formations of the Delaware Basin, the western lobe of the Permian, with roughly 483 employees and a founder, Joseph Foran, who has run the company since 2003. Production averaged ~215,631 barrels of oil equivalent per day in the second quarter of 2026, ~58% of it crude oil, and proved reserves reached ~703 million BOE at June 30, 2026 against ~667 million at the end of 2025. Alongside the wells, Matador owns 51% of San Mateo, a gathering and processing joint venture with Five Point Infrastructure that moves natural gas, crude and produced water for Matador and for third-party customers. San Mateo's acquisition of Cardinal Midstream, which closed on July 31, 2026, pushed its designed processing capacity above one billion cubic feet per day.

Full MTDR guide

Permian Resources Corporation was formed in September 2022 when Centennial Resource Development combined with Colgate Energy, and it was enlarged again by the Earthstone acquisition in late 2023. The company is a pure-play Permian operator, with roughly 535,000 net acres concentrated in the core of the Delaware Basin across West Texas and southeast New Mexico, and it describes itself as the second largest Permian pure-play E&P. Second quarter 2026 production averaged about 376,400 Boe/d, of which roughly 198,100 Bbls/d was crude oil. Proved reserves stood at about 1.12 billion Boe at year end 2025, 43% oil and 71% proved developed. Alongside the drilling program, Permian Resources runs an unusually active "ground game" of small leasehold and mineral purchases: in the first half of 2026 it closed roughly 190 separate transactions for about 54,000 net acres and 20,000 net royalty acres at a combined cost of $1.05 billion.

Full PR guide

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

• MTDR drivers: Four inventory transactions closed or pending in one year; Higher-quality rock and better lease economics.
• PR drivers: Acreage bought a parcel at a time, not a company at a time; A cost structure that sets the floor.

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: Commodity price is the dominant variable: second-quarter earnings leaned on ~$98 per barrel realised oil, and a return toward the $64 realised in the same quarter of 2025 would compress cash flow sharply against a raised capital budget. For PR, the single largest risk is the oil price, and the second quarter's $97.81 per barrel realization is not a normal number: at $60 crude the same asset generates materially less free cash flow, and the capital program, the dividend and the acquisition pace would all have to be reset.

Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick MTDR if you believe its drivers more; PR if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the MTDR and PR guides.

MTDR. The single-digit trailing multiple and ~1.1x price-to-book are typical of US shale producers, which the market prices on reserve life and commodity assumptions rather than on reported earnings. Netting ~$26 million of cash against ~$4.2 billion of long-term debt gives an enterprise value near $11 billion, roughly four times trailing operating cash flow of ~$2.6 billion. Reported figures also swing with mark-to-market derivative results, which is why the first quarter of 2026 showed a small GAAP net loss while adjusted net income stayed positive at ~$189.5 million.

PR. With roughly 837 million Class A shares outstanding at about $23.87, the equity is worth on the order of $20 billion, or roughly $23 billion including net debt. Against trailing adjusted EBITDAX of about $4.36 billion that is a little over 5x, a multiple typical of oil-weighted shale producers and a discount to the majors, and trailing operating cash flow of about $3.99 billion covers the roughly $2 billion capital program with room. Trailing GAAP earnings of about $1.23 billion put the stock near the mid-teens on a price-to-earnings basis, but that figure is distorted by non-cash derivative swings and by the fact that the Class C units converted during the period, so cash flow multiples describe the business more faithfully than earnings multiples.

Headline figures (approximate, August 2026): MTDR shows revenue (ttm) ~$3.8B, net income (ttm) ~$724M, diluted eps (ttm) ~$5.83, market cap ~$6.9B; PR shows revenue (ttm) ~$5.74B, net income attributable to class a (ttm) ~$1.23B, adjusted ebitdax (ttm) ~$4.36B, q2 2026 production ~376,400 Boe/d (~198,100 Bbls/d oil).

MTDR and PR are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined MTDR and PR exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.