NWN vs OGS: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?
Last updated October 2026
Short answer
OGS is the larger of the two ($4.58B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (14.43x forward earnings, beta 0.66). NWN is the smaller challenger ($1.99B), priced similarly on forward earnings (14.61x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.
NWN vs OGS: the tie-breaker metrics
Same yardstick, side by side (as of October 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.
| Metric | NWN | OGS | What it tells you |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $1.99B | $4.58B | Size. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove. |
| Forward P/E | 14.61 | 14.43 | Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up. |
| Trailing P/E | 15.80 | 15.69 | Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price. |
| Beta | 0.43 | 0.66 | Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through. |
| Price vs 52-week range | 29% of range | 12% of range | Where today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why. |
| Price / book | 1.28 | 1.29 | How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price. |
Before you buy: how NWN and OGS affect your concentration
The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. NWN and OGS share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.
This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined NWN and OGS exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
What does Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN) do?
Northwest Natural Holding Company (NYSE: NWN) is the holding company for Northwest Natural Gas Company, a regulated natural gas distributor serving roughly 810,000 meters across Oregon and southwest Washington, plus three other pieces: SiEnergy Operating, a fast-growing regulated gas utility serving Texas growth corridors (acquired January 2025, with Pines Gas added in June 2025); NW Natural Water, a roll-up of regulated water and wastewater systems across the Pacific Northwest, Idaho, Texas, Arizona and California; and NW Natural Renewables, a non-regulated renewable natural gas arm. The group also owns the Mist underground gas storage facility in Oregon, which is partly FERC-regulated and sells interstate storage services. Together the businesses reach nearly one million customers in seven states, and the company has operated for more than 167 years.
What does ONE Gas (OGS) do?
ONE Gas runs three regulated natural gas distribution utilities and nothing else: Oklahoma Natural Gas, Kansas Gas Service and Texas Gas Service, together serving roughly 2.3 million customers, about 92% of them residential. The company does not drill for gas, does not own long-haul pipelines, and does not sell electricity. It buys gas, delivers it, and passes the commodity cost through to customers at no markup. Earnings come instead from an allowed return on capital sunk into pipe, meters and regulators, an average rate base of about $6.4 billion in 2026. Terms are set state by state: allowed returns on equity near 9.4% in Oklahoma, 9.5% in Kansas and 9.8% in Texas, on equity layers around 60%. Roughly 70% of margin arrives as fixed customer charges, so a mild winter bruises results less than it once did.
NWN vs OGS: how do they differ?
Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.
- NWN drivers: SiEnergy and Texas customer growth; Rate cases converting capital spending into revenue.
- OGS drivers: Rate base growth, funded by a defined capital plan; Rate cases and the trackers that shorten regulatory lag.
Which fits which kind of investor
A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: Decarbonization policy is the structural risk that separates NWN from a Sun Belt gas utility: Oregon and Washington both pursue aggressive emissions reduction from building gas use, and electrification mandates, building-code changes or new compliance costs could shrink the customer base the rate base is spread across. For OGS, regulatory outcomes are the central risk: a commission can disallow spending, set a lower allowed return, or simply take long enough that the company under-earns on capital already deployed.
NWN or OGS: which should you pick?
Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick NWN if you believe its drivers more; OGS if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the NWN and OGS guides.
NWN vs OGS: the full fundamentals
NWN. Valuation sits in the normal band for a small-cap regulated gas utility, at roughly 17 times trailing earnings and around 16 times the midpoint of 2026 guidance of $2.95 to $3.15 per share, which management now expects to land in the upper half. Reported figures are all in US dollars. Because earnings are concentrated in the heating season, quarterly comparisons are close to meaningless in isolation: the June 2026 quarter produced ~$0.01 per share and the first half produced ~$2.33, so the trailing twelve-month number is the only fair basis for a multiple.
OGS. A sales multiple is close to meaningless here, since the commodity component of revenue is billed at cost and simply flows back out. Regulated gas distributors are compared on price to earnings against rate base growth and allowed ROE, and OGS at roughly 17 times trailing earnings sits in the normal band for the group. Total debt of about $3.4 billion against A3 and A- credit ratings, with adjusted cash flow to debt guided at 19% to 20%, is the other half of the valuation conversation.
Headline figures (approximate, August 2026): NWN shows revenue (ttm) ~$1.29B, net income (ttm) ~$126M, diluted eps (ttm) ~$2.99, market cap ~$2.1B; OGS shows revenue (ttm) ~$2.31B, heavily pass-through gas cost, net income / eps (ttm) ~$288M, ~$4.66 per diluted share, q2 2026 (reported august) adjusted net income ~$52.1M, ~$0.82 per share, GAAP ~$0.74, 2026 adjusted eps guidance ~$4.83 to ~$4.95, raised to the upper half.
The bottom line: NWN vs OGS
NWN and OGS are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined NWN and OGS exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.
Wondering how NWN or OGS fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.
Investing in Northwest Natural Holding Company with AI
Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how NWN fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.
FAQ
What is the difference between NWN and OGS?
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Northwest Natural Holding Company (NYSE: NWN) is the holding company for Northwest Natural Gas Company, a regulated natural gas distributor serving roughly 810,000 meters across Oregon and southwest Washington, plus three other pieces: SiEnergy Operating, a fast-growing regulated gas utility serving Texas growth corridors (acquired January 2025, with Pines Gas added in June 2025); NW Natural Water, a roll-up of regulated water and wastewater systems across the Pacific Northwest, Idaho, Texas, Arizona and California; and NW Natural Renewables, a non-regulated renewable natural gas arm. ONE Gas runs three regulated natural gas distribution utilities and nothing else: Oklahoma Natural Gas, Kansas Gas Service and Texas Gas Service, together serving roughly 2.3 million customers, about 92% of them residential. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.
Is NWN or OGS the better stock?
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Neither is universally better. OGS is the larger incumbent; NWN is the smaller challenger and looks pricier on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.
Which is cheaper, NWN or OGS?
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On forward P/E (as of October 2026), NWN trades at 14.61x and OGS at 14.43x, so OGS is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.
Should you own both NWN and OGS?
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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.
What are the risks of NWN vs OGS?
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NWN: Decarbonization policy is the structural risk that separates NWN from a Sun Belt gas utility: Oregon and Washington both pursue aggressive emissions reduction from building gas use, and electrification mandates, building-code changes or new compliance costs could shrink the customer base the rate base is spread across. Financing is the near-term pressure, since capital spending of ~$500 million to ~$550 million in 2026 outruns internal cash flow, long-term debt sits at ~$2.4 billion against ~$1.6 billion of equity, and diluted shares rose from ~40.4 million to ~42.2 million in a year. Weather drives results more than most people expect, because a warm winter directly reduces the therms sold in the two quarters that carry the year. Environmental remediation at the Portland Harbor Superfund site, including the Gasco sediments area, remains a recorded liability with recovery dependent on regulatory mechanisms and insurance. Regulatory lag is a permanent drag: rate cases are filed after the spending, so returns can sit below authorized levels in between, and MX3 timing is not fully in the company's control given the pending land-use appeal. OGS: Regulatory outcomes are the central risk: a commission can disallow spending, set a lower allowed return, or simply take long enough that the company under-earns on capital already deployed. Affordability politics compound this, because Winter Storm Uri securitization charges of roughly $6 a month already sit on customer bills in Oklahoma and Kansas and will for years. Another Uri-scale gas price event would again force ONE Gas to fund enormous purchases before recovering them, a working capital shock the 2021 event showed can run into the billions. The funding plan assumes equity can be issued on reasonable terms, so a lower share price makes the same capital program more dilutive. Longer term, building electrification and state-level restrictions on new gas connections would chip at customer growth in a business whose value rests on adding meters for decades.
Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell NWN or OGS; figures are approximate and dated (as of October 2026). Verify current data before investing.