ON vs TXN: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?
Last updated August 2026
Short answer
TXN is the larger of the two ($251.82B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (26.50x forward earnings, beta 1.31). ON is the smaller challenger ($31.76B), cheaper on forward earnings (18.79x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.
ON vs TXN: the tie-breaker metrics
Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.
| Metric | ON | TXN | What it tells you |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $31.76B | $251.82B | Size. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove. |
| Forward P/E | 18.79 | 26.50 | Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up. |
| Trailing P/E | 60.01 | 41.84 | Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price. |
| Beta | 2.01 | 1.31 | Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through. |
| Price vs 52-week range | 41% of range | 68% of range | Where today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why. |
| Price / book | 4.38 | 13.98 | How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price. |
Reading it: ON is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.
Before you buy: how ON and TXN affect your concentration
The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. ON and TXN share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.
This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined ON and TXN exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
What does onsemi (ON) do?
onsemi (ON Semiconductor) is a US-based semiconductor company focused on intelligent power and sensing technologies. Its power products, including silicon and silicon-carbide devices, manage and convert electricity in electric vehicles, industrial equipment, and power supplies, while its sensing products, such as image sensors, are used in automotive cameras and industrial vision. The company has deliberately concentrated on automotive and industrial markets, where semiconductor content per vehicle and per machine is rising, and it has been repositioning its manufacturing and product mix toward higher-margin, differentiated products rather than commodity chips.
What does Texas Instruments (TXN) do?
Texas Instruments (TI) is one of the largest analog semiconductor companies in the world. The vast majority of TI's revenue comes from analog and embedded processing chips: signal-chain semiconductors (op-amps, ADCs, DACs), power management ICs, and small microcontrollers. These are unglamorous compared to GPUs but are essential to nearly every electronic system: industrial equipment, automotive (a major end market), communications infrastructure, and consumer electronics.
ON vs TXN: how do they differ?
Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.
- ON drivers: AI data-center power opportunity; Rising semiconductor content in vehicles.
- TXN drivers: US-domestic manufacturing capacity expansion; Automotive and industrial as core growth markets.
Which fits which kind of investor
A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: The dominant risk is cyclicality: onsemi's automotive and industrial end markets rise and fall with the economy, vehicle production, and factory investment, so revenue and earnings can swing sharply and a soft patch can pressure results even amid long-run content growth. For TXN, the massive US fab expansion compresses margins near-term and creates execution risk if demand doesn't materialize as expected.
ON or TXN: which should you pick?
Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick ON if you believe its drivers more; TXN if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the ON and TXN guides.
ON vs TXN: the full fundamentals
ON. Figures are approximate and tied to the asOf date; verify live numbers before acting. For a cyclical semiconductor company, earnings multiples can look high near a cyclical trough (when profits are depressed) and low near a peak, so it helps to consider where automotive and industrial demand sit in the cycle rather than a single P/E. The AI data-center growth adds a faster-moving element to what has been a more cyclical, content-driven story.
TXN. TI's premium valuation reflects the quality of the analog business (sticky designs, long product lifecycles, high margins) and the dividend growth track record. The multiple is pressured near-term by the fab capex; longer-term it normalizes as new capacity comes online.
Headline figures (approximate, Jul 2026): ON shows revenue (q1 2026) ~$1.51 billion, above the midpoint of guidance, gaap gross margin ~38.5% in Q1 2026, non-gaap diluted eps ~$0.64 in Q1 2026, ai data-center growth up more than 30% sequentially; expected to roughly double year over year in 2026; TXN shows revenue (ttm) ~$17 billion (recovering from 2023-2024 trough), operating margin ~38% (compressed by fab capex), net income (ttm) ~$5 billion, eps (ttm) ~$5.50.
The bottom line: ON vs TXN
ON and TXN are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined ON and TXN exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.
Wondering how ON or TXN fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.
Investing in onsemi with AI
Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how ON fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.
FAQ
What is the difference between ON and TXN?
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onsemi (ON Semiconductor) is a US-based semiconductor company focused on intelligent power and sensing technologies. Texas Instruments (TI) is one of the largest analog semiconductor companies in the world. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.
Is ON or TXN the better stock?
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Neither is universally better. TXN is the larger incumbent; ON is the smaller challenger and looks cheaper on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.
Which is cheaper, ON or TXN?
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On forward P/E (as of August 2026), ON trades at 18.79x and TXN at 26.50x, so ON is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.
Should you own both ON and TXN?
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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.
What are the risks of ON vs TXN?
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ON: The dominant risk is cyclicality: onsemi's automotive and industrial end markets rise and fall with the economy, vehicle production, and factory investment, so revenue and earnings can swing sharply and a soft patch can pressure results even amid long-run content growth. Competition is intense from larger and specialized power- and analog-chip makers, which can pressure pricing and share. The silicon-carbide and AI data-center opportunities require heavy investment and execution, and demand there could disappoint or arrive more slowly than hoped. Semiconductor manufacturing is capital-intensive, so factory utilization and inventory swings can move margins quickly. Concentration in automotive means an EV or auto-production slowdown would hit onsemi harder than a more diversified chipmaker. Trade policy, tariffs, and the health of key customers add further variables outside the company's control. TXN: The massive US fab expansion compresses margins near-term and creates execution risk if demand doesn't materialize as expected. Cyclical end markets (industrial, automotive) can swing meaningfully.
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Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell ON or TXN; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.