ONB vs WTFC: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?
Last updated August 2026
Short answer
ONB and WTFC are similarly sized, but ONB trades noticeably cheaper on forward earnings (9.21x vs 11.55x): the market is paying up for WTFC's profile and pricing ONB more conservatively, or for faster growth. Which you prefer comes down to the drivers you believe, and whether adding either over-concentrates what you already own.
ONB vs WTFC: the tie-breaker metrics
Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.
| Metric | ONB | WTFC | What it tells you |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $10.19B | $10.76B | Size. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove. |
| Forward P/E | 9.21 | 11.55 | Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up. |
| Trailing P/E | 11.79 | 12.80 | Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price. |
| Beta | 0.83 | 0.84 | Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through. |
| Price vs 52-week range | 91% of range | 84% of range | Where today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why. |
| Price / book | 1.22 | 1.56 | How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price. |
Reading it: ONB is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.
Before you buy: how ONB and WTFC affect your concentration
The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. ONB and WTFC share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.
This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined ONB and WTFC exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
What does Old National Bancorp (ONB) do?
Old National Bancorp (NASDAQ: ONB) is the holding company for Old National Bank, a super-regional bank headquartered in Evansville, Indiana, with a large operational base in Chicago and a footprint concentrated across the Midwest. Following its May 2025 acquisition of Bremer Bank, the company holds roughly $70 billion in total assets and more than $30 billion in wealth assets under management, making it among the top 25 banking companies headquartered in the United States and one of the largest commercial banks in the Midwest. Like most banks, it earns money in two broad ways: net interest income, the spread between what it earns on loans and securities and what it pays on deposits (roughly $2.4 billion on a full-year 2025 basis), and noninterest fee income from wealth management, mortgage banking, treasury management, and capital markets.
What does Wintrust Financial Corporation (WTFC) do?
Wintrust Financial Corporation (NASDAQ: WTFC) is a financial holding company headquartered in Rosemont, Illinois, and founded in 1991, with roughly $71 billion in assets as of the end of 2025. Its distinctive model keeps a family of separately chartered, locally branded community banks close to customers across the Chicago metropolitan area, southern Wisconsin, and northwest Indiana, while the parent company provides capital, risk management, product breadth, and shared infrastructure. Wintrust operates through three segments: Community Banking (commercial and personal banking, mortgage lending, and treasury management), Specialty Finance (insurance premium finance for businesses and individuals, plus accounts receivable financing and outsourced administrative services), and Wealth Management (advisory and trust services with more than $50 billion in assets under administration).
ONB vs WTFC: how do they differ?
Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.
- ONB drivers: Growth through acquisition and scale; Solid margin and cost discipline.
- WTFC drivers: Steady loan and deposit growth; Stable net interest margin.
Which fits which kind of investor
A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: Old National is sensitive to interest rates: net interest income (about $2.4 billion in 2025) is its largest revenue line, so falling rates, deposit repricing, or an inverted yield curve can compress the margin and earnings. For WTFC, wintrust is exposed to the credit cycle: as a Midwest commercial and consumer lender, a recession or rising unemployment would increase loan losses, particularly in commercial real estate, commercial lending, and consumer credit.
ONB or WTFC: which should you pick?
ONB vs WTFC: the full fundamentals
ONB. Reading a regional bank means looking past a single earnings number to a few structural metrics. The net interest margin (around 3.65% in Q4 2025) shows how profitably the bank lends relative to its funding costs, and the efficiency ratio (an adjusted ~48.8% for 2025) measures how lean the operation is, where lower is better. Note the gap between GAAP EPS of $1.79 and adjusted EPS of $2.21, which reflects one-time merger and integration charges from the Bremer deal, so the adjusted figure is a cleaner read on underlying run-rate earnings. A trailing P/E near 13 is in the typical range for regional banks, which tend to trade at lower multiples than the broader market because their earnings are cyclical and rate-sensitive. The distinctive feature here is the growth-by-acquisition scale-up; the open question is how much of the Bremer benefit is already reflected in the share price versus still to be realized through integration.
WTFC. Wintrust trades at roughly 13 times earnings with a market capitalization near $11 billion, a valuation in line with other mid-cap regional banks rather than a growth premium. The story is one of steady compounding: record net income, double-digit loan and deposit growth, and a stable margin near 3.5%. Because it is a bank, its earnings and share price are cyclical and tend to track interest rates, credit conditions, and sentiment toward the broader regional-bank group.
Headline figures (approximate, JULY 2026): ONB shows revenue (net interest income + fees, fy2025) ~$2.9 billion, net interest income (fy2025) ~$2.4 billion, net income to common (fy2025) ~$653 million GAAP (~$809 million adjusted), diluted eps (fy2025) $1.79 GAAP ($2.21 adjusted); WTFC shows full-year 2025 net income ~$823.8 million (record), full-year 2025 diluted eps $11.40 (up from $10.31 in 2024), q1 2026 net income ~$227.4 million ($3.22 per diluted share), total assets (dec 2025) ~$71.1 billion.
The bottom line: ONB vs WTFC
ONB and WTFC are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined ONB and WTFC exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.
Wondering how ONB or WTFC fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.
Investing in Old National Bancorp with AI
Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how ONB fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.
FAQ
What is the difference between ONB and WTFC?
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Old National Bancorp (NASDAQ: ONB) is the holding company for Old National Bank, a super-regional bank headquartered in Evansville, Indiana, with a large operational base in Chicago and a footprint concentrated across the Midwest. Wintrust Financial Corporation (NASDAQ: WTFC) is a financial holding company headquartered in Rosemont, Illinois, and founded in 1991, with roughly $71 billion in assets as of the end of 2025. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.
Is ONB or WTFC the better stock?
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Neither is universally better; they suit different views and risk levels. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.
Which is cheaper, ONB or WTFC?
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On forward P/E (as of August 2026), ONB trades at 9.21x and WTFC at 11.55x, so ONB is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.
Should you own both ONB and WTFC?
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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.
What are the risks of ONB vs WTFC?
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ONB: Old National is sensitive to interest rates: net interest income (about $2.4 billion in 2025) is its largest revenue line, so falling rates, deposit repricing, or an inverted yield curve can compress the margin and earnings. As an economically cyclical regional bank, it is exposed to the credit cycle, where a recession or regional downturn would raise loan losses, particularly in commercial real estate and commercial lending that make up a meaningful part of its book. Its acquisitive strategy carries integration and execution risk, since merging Bremer's systems, staff, and customers while retaining deposits and controlling costs is not guaranteed, and future deals add more. Geographic concentration in the Midwest means regional economic weakness hits harder than for a nationally diversified bank. Finally, broader risks (deposit competition, fintech disruption, regulatory and capital requirements, and market volatility affecting its securities portfolio) can all weigh on results. WTFC: Wintrust is exposed to the credit cycle: as a Midwest commercial and consumer lender, a recession or rising unemployment would increase loan losses, particularly in commercial real estate, commercial lending, and consumer credit. It is also sensitive to interest rates, because net interest income is its largest revenue line, so falling rates or deposit repricing can compress the margin. The bank grows partly through acquisitions, which carries integration and execution risk. Concentration is another factor, since a large share of its lending is tied to the greater Chicago and Midwest economies. Finally, broad regulatory, funding, and macroeconomic risks common to regional banks (deposit competition, capital requirements, and market volatility) could weigh on earnings; note that Wintrust was removed from the Russell 1000 Dynamic Index in mid-2026, a technical index change unrelated to fundamentals but one that can affect passive ownership.
Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell ONB or WTFC; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.