ONON vs UA: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

Last updated August 2026

Short answer

ONON is the larger of the two ($12.54B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (17.54x forward earnings, beta 2.12). UA is the smaller challenger ($2.77B), priced similarly on forward earnings (17.08x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.

ONON vs UA: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricONONUAWhat it tells you
Market cap$12.54B$2.77BSize. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove.
Forward P/E17.5417.08Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Beta2.121.67Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through.
Price vs 52-week range30% of range64% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.
Price / book5.701.96How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price.

Before you buy: how ONON and UA affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. ONON and UA share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined ONON and UA exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does On Holding AG (ONON) do?

On Holding AG designs and sells performance running shoes, apparel and accessories under the On brand. It was founded in Zurich in 2010 by Olivier Bernhard, a former duathlon world champion, alongside David Allemann and Caspar Coppetti, around a specific idea: hollow rubber pods in the outsole (CloudTec) that compress on landing and lock for push-off. Shoes are still the overwhelming majority of the business, roughly 92 percent of first-quarter 2026 sales, with apparel and accessories the rest. On sells through two channels: wholesale partners such as specialty running retailers and sporting goods chains at about 61 percent of sales, and direct-to-consumer through on.com and its own stores at about 39 percent. Geographically the Americas is still the largest region at roughly 54 percent of sales, EMEA about 25 percent, and Asia-Pacific just over 20 percent and rising fast. Production is outsourced, with roughly 90 percent of footwear made in Vietnam and the remainder in Indonesia, though On has begun operating its own robot-run LightSpray factories in Zurich and Busan. Roger Federer has been a shareholder and product collaborator since 2019, and the THE ROGER line is the brand's main tennis-adjacent lifestyle franchise.

Full ONON guide

What does Under Armour (UA) do?

Under Armour designs and sells performance apparel, footwear, and accessories under the Under Armour brand, competing in a crowded athletic-wear market against far larger and faster-growing rivals. Its business spans wholesale (department and sporting-goods stores) and direct-to-consumer (its own stores and website), across North America, EMEA, Asia-Pacific, and Latin America. After a period of rapid early growth, the company spent years struggling with declining North American sales, heavy promotions that eroded its premium image, and management turnover. Founder Kevin Plank returned as CEO and launched a multi-year reset focused on fewer, better products, less discounting, tighter operations, and rebuilding brand marketing.

Full UA guide

ONON vs UA: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • ONON drivers: Full-price selling that keeps lifting gross margin; Asia-Pacific has become the growth engine.
  • UA drivers: Founder-led premium reset; Margin and cost restructuring.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: The most concrete risk is the deceleration itself: guidance of at least 23 percent constant-currency growth for 2026 is a sharp step down from 35.6 percent in 2025, and the Americas, still more than half the business, grew only 3.1 percent on a reported basis in the first quarter, with analysts flagging maturing wholesale door growth. For UA, the dominant risk is that the turnaround stalls: revenue is still declining, North America remains weak, and resetting a premium brand is a multi-year effort with no guaranteed payoff.

ONON or UA: which should you pick?

Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick ONON if you believe its drivers more; UA if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the ONON and UA guides.

ONON vs UA: the full fundamentals

ONON. These figures reflect the first quarter of 2026, reported on May 12, 2026, with second-quarter results scheduled for August 11, 2026, so the most recent operating data is a quarter old. On reports in Swiss francs while the shares trade in dollars, which means every USD revenue figure moves with the exchange rate and constant-currency growth ran roughly twelve percentage points above reported growth in the last quarter. On other measures the stock trades near 3.3 times sales and about 17.7 times EV/EBITDA, with roughly $1.27 billion of cash against about $676 million of debt that is largely lease liabilities, and no dividend.

UA. Figures are approximate and tied to the asOf date; verify live numbers before acting. Under Armour is mid-turnaround, so GAAP results are distorted by restructuring charges and adjusted figures tell a different story than reported ones. Traditional earnings multiples are less meaningful while the company is resetting; investors tend to focus on revenue stabilization, gross margin, and whether North America's declines slow. Check the latest filings and a current quote for up-to-date revenue, margins, and guidance.

Headline figures (approximate, August 2026): ONON shows revenue (ttm) ~$3.9B (CHF ~3.12B, converted at roughly 1.25 USD per CHF), net sales growth (fy2025) ~30% reported, ~35.6% constant currency, gross margin (q1 2026) ~64.2%, guided to ~64.5%+ for FY2026, adjusted ebitda margin (q1 2026) ~21.0%, guided to ~19.5% to 20.0% for FY2026; UA shows revenue (fiscal 2026) ~$5.0 billion, down roughly 4% year over year (fiscal year ended March 2026), gaap net income (fiscal 2026) Net loss of roughly $500 million, driven partly by restructuring charges, adjusted results (fiscal 2026) Modestly positive; adjusted net income around $50 million and adjusted EPS near $0.12, regional trend North America declining; international growing (Q4 international up roughly 10%).

The bottom line: ONON vs UA

ONON and UA are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined ONON and UA exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Wondering how ONON or UA fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.

Investing in On Holding AG with AI

Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how ONON fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.

FAQ

What is the difference between ONON and UA?

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On Holding AG designs and sells performance running shoes, apparel and accessories under the On brand. Under Armour designs and sells performance apparel, footwear, and accessories under the Under Armour brand, competing in a crowded athletic-wear market against far larger and faster-growing rivals. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is ONON or UA the better stock?

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Neither is universally better. ONON is the larger incumbent; UA is the smaller challenger and looks cheaper on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, ONON or UA?

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On forward P/E (as of August 2026), ONON trades at 17.54x and UA at 17.08x, so UA is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both ONON and UA?

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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of ONON vs UA?

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ONON: The most concrete risk is the deceleration itself: guidance of at least 23 percent constant-currency growth for 2026 is a sharp step down from 35.6 percent in 2025, and the Americas, still more than half the business, grew only 3.1 percent on a reported basis in the first quarter, with analysts flagging maturing wholesale door growth. Leadership changed at both the CEO and CFO seats in 2026, which removes the executive who ran the company through its entire public life just as the growth rate is being tested. Supply is concentrated, with roughly 90 percent of footwear produced in Vietnam and guidance that embeds a 20 percent incremental US tariff, so trade policy moves through the income statement quickly and the LightSpray nearshoring answer is years from being material. Because On reports in Swiss francs, a strong franc keeps reported growth well below constant-currency growth (14.5 percent versus 26.4 percent in the first quarter of 2026), which flatters or penalizes the headline depending on where the dollar sits. Finally, the valuation carries a premium at roughly 40 times trailing earnings against a footwear group trading far lower, founder-held Class B shares concentrate voting control regardless of the public float, and running-brand momentum has historically proven cyclical, which is what short interest of around 6 percent of shares is expressing. UA: The dominant risk is that the turnaround stalls: revenue is still declining, North America remains weak, and resetting a premium brand is a multi-year effort with no guaranteed payoff. Under Armour competes against much larger, better-funded rivals in Nike and Adidas, plus fast-growing challengers like Lululemon, On, and Hoka that are winning share in footwear and lifestyle. Heavy past promotions damaged pricing power, and reversing that habit can dent near-term sales. Restructuring charges produced a large reported loss, and consumer-discretionary demand is sensitive to the economy and tariffs on imported goods. The dual-class structure, with founder-held voting control, also limits outside shareholders' influence over strategy.

Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell ONON or UA; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.

    ONON vs UA: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026? - Walnut AI Investing App