PD vs TEAM: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?
Last updated August 2026
Short answer
TEAM is the larger of the two ($25.63B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (16.57x forward earnings, beta 1.11). PD is the smaller challenger ($968.08M), cheaper on forward earnings (8.99x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.
PD vs TEAM: the tie-breaker metrics
Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.
| Metric | PD | TEAM | What it tells you |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $968.08M | $25.63B | Size. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove. |
| Forward P/E | 8.99 | 16.57 | Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up. |
| Beta | 0.92 | 1.11 | Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through. |
| Price vs 52-week range | 60% of range | 34% of range | Where today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why. |
| Price / book | 4.47 | 29.40 | How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price. |
Reading it: PD is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.
Before you buy: how PD and TEAM affect your concentration
The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. PD and TEAM share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.
This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined PD and TEAM exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
What does PagerDuty (PD) do?
PagerDuty sells the software that wakes engineers up. When a payment system, a checkout flow or an internal API breaks, PagerDuty ingests the alert from monitoring tools, decides who is on call, escalates until a human acknowledges it, and coordinates the response through to a postmortem. Around that core it has added runbook automation (from its 2020 Rundeck purchase), an AIOps layer that groups noisy alerts into single incidents, customer service operations tooling, and more recently a set of agentic features including an autonomous site-reliability agent and automated shift management. Roughly 15,500 paying customers use it, of which about 884 spend more than ~$100,000 a year, and annual recurring revenue sits near ~$501 million.
What does Atlassian (TEAM) do?
Atlassian is an Australian software company that makes collaboration and productivity tools used by software-development teams and, increasingly, teams across whole organizations. Its best-known products are Jira (project and issue tracking widely used by engineering teams), Confluence (team wikis and documentation), and a family of related tools for IT service management (Jira Service Management), agile planning, and developer workflows. Atlassian also owns Trello (visual task boards) and integrates with developer tools across the ecosystem. The company makes money primarily through cloud subscriptions, with revenue increasingly recurring as it migrates customers from self-hosted server products to its cloud platform. Atlassian historically grew with low-touch, product-led adoption (teams sign up and expand without heavy sales effort) and a high-volume, self-service model, though it has added enterprise sales. It is incorporated in the United States with major operations in Sydney, Australia, and serves hundreds of thousands of customers globally, from small teams to large enterprises.
PD vs TEAM: how do they differ?
Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.
- PD drivers: Margin and cash generation from a flat revenue base; A new chief executive and a go-to-market reset.
- TEAM drivers: Cloud migration and recurring revenue; Land-and-expand product-led growth.
Which fits which kind of investor
A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: The core problem is demand, not costs: dollar-based net retention of ~98% means the existing customer base is shrinking slightly net of expansion, so new logos are doing the work of holding revenue flat. For TEAM, atlassian faces strong competition from Microsoft (which bundles GitHub, Azure DevOps, Teams, and Planner), as well as point solutions like Monday.com, Asana, ServiceNow, and Notion.
PD or TEAM: which should you pick?
Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick PD if you believe its drivers more; TEAM if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the PD and TEAM guides.
PD vs TEAM: the full fundamentals
PD. Two numbers explain most of the debate around PD. Revenue growth under 1% with retention below 100% is what keeps the multiple near ~2x sales, while a ~23.7% non-GAAP operating margin, real free cash flow and a cash pile worth roughly half the market cap are what keeps the floor where it is. Guidance for the rest of fiscal 2027 implies more of the same, with quarterly revenue held around ~$123 million to ~$125 million and profitability doing the improving.
TEAM. Atlassian trades on growth and free cash flow rather than GAAP earnings, which are weighed down by heavy stock-based compensation and reinvestment. The qualitative profile is an efficient, product-led software franchise migrating customers to the cloud and expanding into the enterprise. The premium valuation makes the stock sensitive to any slowdown in seat growth or cloud migration.
Headline figures (approximate, August 2026): PD shows revenue (ttm) ~$494 million, q2 fy2027 revenue (quarter ended july 31, 2026) ~$124.4 million, up ~0.8% year over year, annual recurring revenue / net retention ~$501 million ARR, dollar-based net retention ~98%, profitability GAAP operating income ~$10.2 million (~8.2% margin); non-GAAP operating margin ~23.7%; non-GAAP diluted EPS ~$0.32; TEAM shows revenue (ttm) ~$5 billion, revenue growth high-teens to ~20% year over year, cloud revenue the largest and fastest-growing component, gross margin ~80%, typical of software.
The bottom line: PD vs TEAM
PD and TEAM are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined PD and TEAM exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.
Wondering how PD or TEAM fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.
Investing in PagerDuty with AI
Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how PD fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.
FAQ
What is the difference between PD and TEAM?
+
PagerDuty sells the software that wakes engineers up. Atlassian is an Australian software company that makes collaboration and productivity tools used by software-development teams and, increasingly, teams across whole organizations. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.
Is PD or TEAM the better stock?
+
Neither is universally better. TEAM is the larger incumbent; PD is the smaller challenger and looks cheaper on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.
Which is cheaper, PD or TEAM?
+
On forward P/E (as of August 2026), PD trades at 8.99x and TEAM at 16.57x, so PD is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.
Should you own both PD and TEAM?
+
Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.
What are the risks of PD vs TEAM?
+
PD: The core problem is demand, not costs: dollar-based net retention of ~98% means the existing customer base is shrinking slightly net of expansion, so new logos are doing the work of holding revenue flat. Seat-based pricing ties PagerDuty to engineering headcount at technology companies, a line item that has been cut repeatedly since 2023 and that AI coding tools may keep suppressing. Competitively, the pressure comes from bundling rather than from a better product: Datadog now ships its own on-call module, Atlassian folds Opsgenie capability into Jira Service Management, and both can price incident management as an add-on to a platform a customer already buys. Glancy Prongay & Murray announced a securities-fraud investigation in December 2025 after the November 25, 2025 results, when the shares fell about 23% on disclosure of weakening demand and retention, and while no class action complaint has been filed to date, the underlying facts it points at are the same growth facts above. Convertible debt sits against the cash balance, so the gross cash figure overstates the net position, and any reader should check the current note balance and conversion terms in the latest 10-Q rather than assume it away. TEAM: Atlassian faces strong competition from Microsoft (which bundles GitHub, Azure DevOps, Teams, and Planner), as well as point solutions like Monday.com, Asana, ServiceNow, and Notion. Bundling pressure from Microsoft is a persistent threat to pricing and seat growth. The cloud migration, while strategically important, has introduced execution complexity and customer-pricing friction. Atlassian invests heavily, so GAAP profitability is modest and the stock trades on growth and free cash flow, leaving it sensitive to any deceleration. Macro pressure on software budgets and on tech-sector hiring (which drives seat growth) can weigh on results. The stock has historically been volatile, with a premium valuation that punishes growth or margin disappointments.
Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell PD or TEAM; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.