PFS vs VLY: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

Last updated September 2026

Short answer

VLY is the larger of the two ($7.39B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (8.67x forward earnings, beta 1.06). PFS is the smaller challenger ($3.00B), priced similarly on forward earnings (8.85x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.

PFS vs VLY: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of September 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricPFSVLYWhat it tells you
Market cap$3.00B$7.39BSize. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove.
Forward P/E8.858.67Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Trailing P/E9.5811.34Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price.
Beta0.781.06Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through.
Price vs 52-week range68% of range67% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.
Price / book1.030.99How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price.

Before you buy: how PFS and VLY affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. PFS and VLY share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined PFS and VLY exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does Provident Financial Services (PFS) do?

Provident Financial Services, Inc. (NYSE: PFS) is the holding company for Provident Bank, a community and commercial bank founded in 1839 and headquartered in Iselin, New Jersey. Its core business is gathering deposits and making loans, with a heavy tilt toward commercial real estate and commercial and industrial lending across New Jersey, southern New York, and eastern Pennsylvania. Beyond spread banking, Provident runs meaningful fee businesses: Provident Protection Plus (insurance agency) and Beacon Trust (wealth and fiduciary services). The May 2024 all-stock merger with Lakeland Bancorp roughly doubled the balance sheet to about $24 billion in assets, $19 billion in loans, and $19 billion in deposits, making PFS one of the larger New Jersey-based banks.

Full PFS guide

What does Valley National Bancorp (VLY) do?

Valley National Bancorp is the holding company for Valley National Bank, a regional lender headquartered in the New York metro area with operations concentrated in New Jersey, New York, Florida, Alabama and California. At December 31, 2025 it held roughly $64.1 billion in total assets, about $49.6 billion in net loans and $52.2 billion in deposits, and it makes money the traditional way, by taking deposits and lending against commercial real estate, commercial and industrial borrowers, and consumers, while collecting fee income on the side. Commercial real estate has long been its signature exposure, at about 58 percent of total loans, which is high versus most peers and is the single biggest factor investors watch.

Full VLY guide

PFS vs VLY: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • PFS drivers: Lakeland merger scale and cost synergies; Net interest margin and deposit costs.
  • VLY drivers: Net interest margin recovery; Deposit growth and funding mix.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: Commercial real estate concentration is the most watched risk, since a large share of the loan book is CRE and office and multifamily exposure could pressure credit costs if property values or occupancy weaken. For VLY, valley's commercial real estate concentration, near 58 percent of loans and among the highest of comparable regional banks, is the central risk: a downturn in office, multifamily or construction values could drive higher provisions and charge-offs.

PFS or VLY: which should you pick?

Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick PFS if you believe its drivers more; VLY if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the PFS and VLY guides.

PFS vs VLY: the full fundamentals

PFS. PFS trades at a low-double-digit trailing earnings multiple and around tangible book value, a valuation typical of a slow-growth regional bank. Quarterly net income has run in the roughly $75 million to $85 million range following the Lakeland deal, with recent quarters showing pre-provision net revenue growth and record non-interest income. Figures are approximate and move with interest rates, loan growth, and credit provisions.

VLY. VLY trades at a low double-digit trailing price to earnings (around 12) and a forward multiple near 10, a discount that reflects market caution on its commercial real estate book. Total assets were about $64.1 billion with roughly $50.8 billion in loans and $52.9 billion in deposits as of Q1 2026. The bank pays a dividend that has historically produced a mid-single-digit yield.

Headline figures (approximate, JULY 2026): PFS shows market cap ~$3.1B, total assets ~$24B, revenue (ttm, net interest + fees) ~$900M, eps (ttm) ~$2.35; VLY shows market cap ~$8 billion, revenue (q1 2026) ~$540 million, net income (q1 2026) ~$164 million, diluted eps (q1 2026) ~$0.28.

The bottom line: PFS vs VLY

PFS and VLY are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined PFS and VLY exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Wondering how PFS or VLY fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.

Investing in Provident Financial Services with AI

Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how PFS fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.

FAQ

What is the difference between PFS and VLY?

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Provident Financial Services, Inc. Valley National Bancorp is the holding company for Valley National Bank, a regional lender headquartered in the New York metro area with operations concentrated in New Jersey, New York, Florida, Alabama and California. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is PFS or VLY the better stock?

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Neither is universally better. VLY is the larger incumbent; PFS is the smaller challenger and looks pricier on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, PFS or VLY?

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On forward P/E (as of September 2026), PFS trades at 8.85x and VLY at 8.67x, so VLY is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both PFS and VLY?

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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of PFS vs VLY?

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PFS: Commercial real estate concentration is the most watched risk, since a large share of the loan book is CRE and office and multifamily exposure could pressure credit costs if property values or occupancy weaken. As a New Jersey regional bank, PFS is geographically concentrated and exposed to the local economy and to deposit competition from larger banks. Interest rate moves cut both ways: falling rates can compress asset yields while rising rates lift deposit costs and can create unrealized securities losses. Integration risk from the Lakeland merger, regulatory capital requirements, and the general cyclicality of bank credit provisions round out the picture. VLY: Valley's commercial real estate concentration, near 58 percent of loans and among the highest of comparable regional banks, is the central risk: a downturn in office, multifamily or construction values could drive higher provisions and charge-offs. The bank is also sensitive to interest rates and deposit competition, which can compress margin quickly. Credit provisioning has stayed elevated, and its geographic focus on New York and New Jersey ties results to those regional economies. A broader repeat of the 2023 regional-bank deposit stress would pressure the stock, and the dividend, while attractive, depends on continued earnings stability.

Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell PFS or VLY; figures are approximate and dated (as of September 2026). Verify current data before investing.