TJX vs ULTA: How TJX Companies and Ulta Beauty Compare (2026)

Last updated August 2026

Short answer

TJX is the larger of the two ($173.81B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (27.32x forward earnings, beta 0.62). ULTA is the smaller challenger ($22.05B), cheaper on forward earnings (16.09x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.

TJX vs ULTA: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricTJXULTAWhat it tells you
Market cap$173.81B$22.05BSize. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove.
Forward P/E27.3216.09Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Trailing P/E30.5519.23Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price.
Beta0.620.88Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through.
Price vs 52-week range71% of range26% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.
Price / book16.718.08How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price.

Reading it: ULTA is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.

Before you buy: how TJX and ULTA affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. TJX and ULTA share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined TJX and ULTA exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does TJX Companies (TJX) do?

TJX Companies operates the largest off-price retail business in the world. Brands include T.J. Maxx, Marshalls, HomeGoods, HomeSense, Sierra (off-price outdoor), and TK Maxx internationally. The model is opportunistic buying: TJX merchandise teams buy branded and designer apparel and home goods at deep discounts from manufacturers, brands, and other retailers (overstock, cancellations, end-of-season). These products are then sold at 20-60% below department store prices.

Full TJX guide

What does Ulta Beauty (ULTA) do?

Ulta Beauty operates the largest beauty retail chain in the US. The differentiation is unusual within beauty retail: Ulta sells products across the full price range, from drugstore-tier (Maybelline, L'Oréal Paris, e.l.f.) to mass-prestige (Clinique, Lancôme, Tarte) to luxury (Chanel, Dior, MAC, Pat McGrath). Each store has a salon for hair services, plus brow bars and increasingly skin services, which drives store traffic beyond just retail.

Full ULTA guide

TJX vs ULTA: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • TJX drivers: Consumer trade-down driving traffic; International expansion.
  • ULTA drivers: Beauty category resilience; Loyalty program scale.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: If consumer pressure eases significantly, the off-price trade-down dynamic moderates. For ULTA, sephora's expansion through Kohl's partnership has narrowed Ulta's geographic advantage.

TJX or ULTA: which should you pick?

Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick TJX if you believe its drivers more; ULTA if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the TJX and ULTA guides.

TJX vs ULTA: the full fundamentals

TJX. TJX trades at a premium to traditional department stores and apparel retailers, reflecting the counter-cyclical model durability and consistent execution. The valuation is supported by sustained same-store sales growth even during periods of consumer pressure.

ULTA. Ulta's P/E has compressed materially from peak levels reached during 2021-2023 as same-store sales growth decelerated and Sephora competition intensified. Current valuation reflects more conservative expectations and provides margin of safety relative to the historical premium.

Headline figures (approximate, early 2026): TJX shows revenue (ttm) ~$58 billion, operating margin ~12%, net income (ttm) ~$5 billion, eps (ttm) ~$4.30; ULTA shows revenue (ttm) ~$11 billion, operating margin ~15%, net income (ttm) ~$1.2 billion, eps (ttm) ~$24.

The bottom line: TJX vs ULTA

TJX and ULTA are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined TJX and ULTA exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Wondering how TJX or ULTA fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.

Investing in TJX Companies with AI

Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how TJX fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.

FAQ

What is the difference between TJX and ULTA?

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TJX Companies operates the largest off-price retail business in the world. Ulta Beauty operates the largest beauty retail chain in the US. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is TJX or ULTA the better stock?

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Neither is universally better. TJX is the larger incumbent; ULTA is the smaller challenger and looks cheaper on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, TJX or ULTA?

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On forward P/E (as of August 2026), TJX trades at 27.32x and ULTA at 16.09x, so ULTA is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both TJX and ULTA?

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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of TJX vs ULTA?

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TJX: If consumer pressure eases significantly, the off-price trade-down dynamic moderates. Inventory sourcing depends on full-price retail health; if traditional retail recovers fully, less excess inventory flows to off-price. ULTA: Sephora's expansion through Kohl's partnership has narrowed Ulta's geographic advantage. Same-store sales growth has decelerated; the question is whether this is temporary or structural. Mass beauty brand consolidation (e.g., e.l.f. taking share) creates pricing pressure.

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Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell TJX or ULTA; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.

    TJX vs ULTA: How TJX Companies and Ulta Beauty Compare (2026), Walnut