APA vs OXY: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

Last updated August 2026

Short answer

APA and OXY are similarly sized, but APA trades noticeably cheaper on forward earnings (9.05x vs 14.53x): the market is paying up for OXY's profile and pricing APA more conservatively, or for faster growth. Which you prefer comes down to the drivers you believe, and whether adding either over-concentrates what you already own.

APA vs OXY: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricAPAOXYWhat it tells you
Forward P/E9.0514.53Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Trailing P/E8.7077.12Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price.
Beta0.350.15Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through.
Price vs 52-week range70% of range64% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.
Price / book2.041.85How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price.

Reading it: APA is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.

Before you buy: how APA and OXY affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. APA and OXY share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined APA and OXY exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does APA Corporation (APA) do?

APA Corporation is the Houston-based parent of Apache, an independent exploration and production company. Its asset base spans the Permian Basin in West Texas (its core cash generator, expanded through the 2024 Callon Petroleum acquisition across the Delaware and Midland basins), high-margin production sharing contracts in Egypt operated with partners including the Egyptian government and Sinopec, a 50% interest in the deepwater Block 58 in Suriname developed alongside operator TotalEnergies, and legacy North Sea assets it is winding down. As of year-end 2025 the company reported roughly 1,056 million barrels of oil equivalent of proved reserves, about 74% of which sat in the United States.

Full APA guide

What does Occidental Petroleum (OXY) do?

Occidental Petroleum (Oxy) is a large US-based oil and gas company with three main businesses. Upstream exploration and production is the core: Oxy finds and produces crude oil and natural gas, with a flagship position in the Permian Basin, the most prolific US oil field, plus operations in the Rocky Mountains, the Gulf of Mexico, and internationally. Its chemicals arm, OxyChem, is a major producer of chlor-alkali and PVC-related chemicals. Oxy is also building a carbon-management business through its 1PointFive subsidiary, developing direct air capture (DAC) facilities that pull CO2 from the atmosphere. The company makes most of its money selling oil and gas, so cash flow swings with commodity prices. Oxy is notable for Berkshire Hathaway's large ownership stake and for its 2019 acquisition of Anadarko, which left it heavily indebted. Headquartered in Houston, Texas, Oxy has since prioritized cutting debt and returning cash, while positioning carbon capture as a long-term option.

Full OXY guide

APA vs OXY: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • APA drivers: Permian cash engine and Callon integration; Egypt high-margin production.
  • OXY drivers: Permian Basin scale; Debt reduction and capital return.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: APA's results are directly tied to oil and natural gas prices, so a downturn in commodity prices can sharply reduce revenue, cash flow, and the pace of shareholder returns. For OXY, oxy's earnings and cash flow are highly sensitive to oil and gas prices, which are volatile and outside its control.

APA or OXY: which should you pick?

Pick APA if you believe its drivers more; OXY if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the APA and OXY guides.

APA vs OXY: the full fundamentals

APA. APA trades at a low single-digit-to-high-single-digit earnings multiple typical of a cyclical E and P producer, reflecting both cheap-looking commodity earnings and the market's discount for price volatility. Q1 2026 beat estimates on revenue and adjusted EPS, helped by lower lease operating expenses and U.S. oil output above guidance, yet the stock still fell after the report. Figures are approximate and move with oil and gas prices.

OXY. Oxy's valuation is dominated by oil-price sensitivity and balance-sheet repair. Strong free cash flow at favorable commodity prices funds debt reduction and capital return, while the carbon-capture business adds long-dated optionality. The financial profile is that of a leveraged, cyclical Permian producer working to deleverage.

Headline figures (approximate, Q1 2026): APA shows revenue (ttm) ~$9B, q1 2026 revenue ~$2.33B, q1 2026 adjusted eps ~$1.38, market cap ~$11-15B; OXY shows revenue (ttm) ~$27 billion, operating margin ~20%, highly oil-price dependent, production ~1.2+ million barrels of oil equivalent per day, free cash flow strong at mid-cycle oil prices.

The bottom line: APA vs OXY

APA and OXY are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined APA and OXY exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Wondering how APA or OXY fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.

Investing in APA Corporation with AI

Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how APA fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.

FAQ

What is the difference between APA and OXY?

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APA Corporation is the Houston-based parent of Apache, an independent exploration and production company. Occidental Petroleum (Oxy) is a large US-based oil and gas company with three main businesses. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is APA or OXY the better stock?

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Neither is universally better; they suit different views and risk levels. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, APA or OXY?

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On forward P/E (as of August 2026), APA trades at 9.05x and OXY at 14.53x, so APA is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both APA and OXY?

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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of APA vs OXY?

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APA: APA's results are directly tied to oil and natural gas prices, so a downturn in commodity prices can sharply reduce revenue, cash flow, and the pace of shareholder returns. Its Egypt operations carry geopolitical, currency, and counterparty exposure, while the Suriname project faces deepwater execution, cost, and timing risk before first oil arrives around 2028. The company still carries meaningful debt from the Callon acquisition, and its North Sea assets are being wound down under an unfavorable tax regime. As a commodity producer with no control over the price of its output, APA remains a volatile, cyclical holding. OXY: Oxy's earnings and cash flow are highly sensitive to oil and gas prices, which are volatile and outside its control. The balance sheet still carries meaningful debt and preferred equity (including Berkshire's preferreds) from the Anadarko deal, leaving less flexibility in a downturn. Direct air capture is expensive, unproven at commercial scale, and dependent on policy support and carbon-credit demand, so the carbon business may not pay off as hoped. Regulatory, environmental, and energy-transition pressures could constrain long-term oil demand and raise costs. Capital intensity, depletion of producing wells, and execution risk on large projects add further variability to results.

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Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell APA or OXY; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.

    APA vs OXY: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026? - Walnut AI Investing App