AVA vs POR: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

Last updated October 2026

Short answer

POR is the larger of the two ($5.19B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (12.31x forward earnings, beta 0.51). AVA is the smaller challenger ($3.07B), priced similarly on forward earnings (13.15x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.

AVA vs POR: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of October 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricAVAPORWhat it tells you
Market cap$3.07B$5.19BSize. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove.
Forward P/E13.1512.31Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Trailing P/E13.2419.54Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price.
Beta0.210.51Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through.
Price vs 52-week range24% of range8% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.
Price / book1.091.24How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price.

Before you buy: how AVA and POR affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. AVA and POR share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined AVA and POR exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does Avista Corporation (AVA) do?

Avista Corporation is a regulated utility holding company headquartered in Spokane, Washington. Through Avista Utilities it generates, transmits, and distributes electricity and delivers natural gas to roughly 1.7 million customers across eastern Washington, northern Idaho, and parts of Oregon, and through Alaska Electric Light and Power (AEL&P) it serves Juneau, Alaska. Its earnings come almost entirely from monopoly regulated operations, where state utility commissions set the rates and allowed returns, making revenue and profit relatively predictable but capped by the regulatory framework.

Full AVA guide

What does Portland General Electric (POR) do?

Portland General Electric is a vertically integrated, regulated electric utility that generates, transmits, and distributes power to roughly 950,000 customers across a service territory in northwest Oregon, all under the oversight of the Oregon Public Utility Commission. Its earnings are set by that regulator through rate cases that let it recover the cost of, and earn an allowed return on, its invested capital (its rate base). The company is pushing hard into the clean energy transition while managing reliability and affordability, and it is one of the more direct utility plays on surging electricity demand from data centers and high-tech manufacturing in the region.

Full POR guide

AVA vs POR: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • AVA drivers: Rate base and capital plan; Regulated earnings and dividend.
  • POR drivers: Data center and high-tech load growth; Rate base and capital plan.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: Avista is a small-cap utility with concentrated exposure to Pacific Northwest regulation, so an unfavorable rate-case outcome, such as the Washington order expected around mid-December 2026, can directly compress earnings. For POR, as a rate-regulated utility, POR's returns depend on Oregon (and prospectively Washington) regulators approving cost recovery and allowed returns, and outcomes can lag rising costs during periods of heavy capital spending.

AVA or POR: which should you pick?

Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick AVA if you believe its drivers more; POR if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the AVA and POR guides.

AVA vs POR: the full fundamentals

AVA. At about 13 times trailing and forward earnings and roughly 1.1 times book value, AVA trades at a discount to most larger utilities because of its small size, wildfire exposure and the pending Washington rate decision. The 5.4% yield is high for the sector, and the payout ratio near 71% sits within a normal utility range. Third-quarter results on November 4, 2026 (consensus about $0.40 per share) and the December Washington order are the next catalysts.

POR. POR trades around $44 per share with a market capitalization near $5.2 billion as of mid-October 2026, down from about $52 and $6.1 billion in July. Trailing earnings are depressed by a mild-winter first quarter and a slight second-quarter miss, which is why the trailing P/E near 20 sits well above the forward multiple near 12; analysts expect EPS to recover to about $3.36 in 2026 and $3.59 in 2027. Like most regulated utilities, POR is valued heavily on its dividend yield, rate-base growth, and allowed returns, and Q3 results arrive October 29, 2026.

Headline figures (approximate, October 2026): AVA shows revenue (ttm) ~$1.92B (Q2 2026 ~$413M), net income (ttm) ~$227M (net margin ~11.8%), eps (ttm) / q2 2026 ~$2.77 / $0.43 vs $0.24 expected, p/e trailing / forward ~13.2x / ~13.1x; POR shows revenue (ttm) ~$3.53B, latest quarter up ~1% year over year, q2 2026 Revenue ~$814M, net income ~$68M, EPS $0.64 vs ~$0.67 expected, net income (ttm) ~$257M; EPS ~$2.26, p/e ~19.6x trailing, ~12.3x forward.

The bottom line: AVA vs POR

AVA and POR are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined AVA and POR exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Wondering how AVA or POR fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.

Investing in Avista Corporation with AI

Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how AVA fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.

FAQ

What is the difference between AVA and POR?

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Avista Corporation is a regulated utility holding company headquartered in Spokane, Washington. Portland General Electric is a vertically integrated, regulated electric utility that generates, transmits, and distributes power to roughly 950,000 customers across a service territory in northwest Oregon, all under the oversight of the Oregon Public Utility Commission. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is AVA or POR the better stock?

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Neither is universally better. POR is the larger incumbent; AVA is the smaller challenger and looks pricier on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, AVA or POR?

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On forward P/E (as of October 2026), AVA trades at 13.15x and POR at 12.31x, so POR is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both AVA and POR?

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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of AVA vs POR?

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AVA: Avista is a small-cap utility with concentrated exposure to Pacific Northwest regulation, so an unfavorable rate-case outcome, such as the Washington order expected around mid-December 2026, can directly compress earnings. Wildfire is a material and now live risk: the summer 2026 Spokane-area fires damaged transmission lines and cut service to thousands of customers, the cause was still under investigation at the August call, mitigation spending is rising (around $45 million capital and $20 million O&M in 2026), and liability from a catastrophic fire could pressure the balance sheet despite deferral mechanisms and supportive legislation. Heavy capital spending means ongoing reliance on debt (about $3.4 billion against $25 million of cash in mid-2026) and equity issuance, which is sensitive to interest rates and can dilute shareholders; free cash flow was about negative $235 million over the last twelve months. Gains on non-utility investments add volatility, as the 2026 investment gain showed. Weather variability and the Energy Recovery Mechanism (ERM) also introduce quarter-to-quarter earnings swings. As a regulated utility, upside is structurally capped by allowed returns. POR: As a rate-regulated utility, POR's returns depend on Oregon (and prospectively Washington) regulators approving cost recovery and allowed returns, and outcomes can lag rising costs during periods of heavy capital spending. Earnings are weather-sensitive, as the mild winter that pushed first quarter 2026 results below expectations demonstrated, and second-quarter EPS also came in slightly short. The balance sheet is stretched by the build-out: about $5.6 billion of debt against roughly $35 million of cash, trailing free cash flow near negative $416 million, and a dividend that equals about 94% of trailing earnings. The PacifiCorp acquisition carries integration, financing, regulatory-approval, and reported litigation risk, and a large capital program means continued reliance on debt and equity markets, where new share issuance can dilute existing holders. Wildfire liability, commodity and hydro variability, and clean energy transition execution add further uncertainty.

Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell AVA or POR; figures are approximate and dated (as of October 2026). Verify current data before investing.