AVAV vs KRMN: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?
Last updated August 2026
Short answer
AVAV and KRMN are similarly sized, but AVAV trades noticeably cheaper on forward earnings (33.77x vs 52.29x): the market is paying up for KRMN's profile and pricing AVAV more conservatively, or for faster growth. Which you prefer comes down to the drivers you believe, and whether adding either over-concentrates what you already own.
AVAV vs KRMN: the tie-breaker metrics
Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.
| Metric | AVAV | KRMN | What it tells you |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $7.56B | $6.38B | Size. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove. |
| Forward P/E | 33.77 | 52.29 | Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up. |
| Price vs 52-week range | 5% of range | 6% of range | Where today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why. |
| Price / book | 1.71 | 15.73 | How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price. |
Reading it: AVAV is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.
Before you buy: how AVAV and KRMN affect your concentration
The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. AVAV and KRMN share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.
This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined AVAV and KRMN exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
What does AeroVironment (AVAV) do?
AeroVironment (AVAV) is a defense technology company specializing in unmanned and autonomous systems. It is best known for small, man-portable drones used by militaries for reconnaissance and surveillance, and for loitering munitions, notably the Switchblade family, which are precision-strike drones that have drawn significant attention from conflicts and rising global demand. AeroVironment also builds larger unmanned aircraft systems, uncrewed ground robots, and develops autonomy software and counter-drone solutions. Its primary customer is the US Department of Defense, with growing international and allied-government sales. The company has expanded through acquisitions into adjacent areas such as space, loitering munitions, and autonomy. The investment story centers on the structural growth of drones and autonomous systems in modern warfare, where small, attritable, intelligent systems are reshaping how militaries operate. Founded in 1971 and historically associated with pioneering work in efficient flight, AeroVironment is headquartered in Arlington, Virginia, and is a mid-cap defense growth company tied closely to defense budgets and procurement.
What does Karman Holdings (KRMN) do?
Karman Holdings, which operates as Karman Space & Defense, is a Huntington Beach, California maker of highly engineered systems that go inside missiles, missile-defense interceptors, hypersonic vehicles, unmanned aircraft, and space launch vehicles. Its products fall into three families: payload protection and deployment systems (such as fairings and shrouds), propulsion systems, and aerodynamic interstage structures. It sells into three end markets, Hypersonics and Strategic Missile Defense, Missile and Integrated Defense Systems, and Space and Launch, and counts primes like Northrop Grumman and Lockheed Martin among its customers. The company says it runs more than 100 active programs with no single program above roughly 10% of sales, which spreads its revenue across many contracts.
AVAV vs KRMN: how do they differ?
Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.
- AVAV drivers: Loitering munitions demand; Small unmanned systems franchise.
- KRMN drivers: Defense budget and missile-defense tailwind; Record backlog and demand visibility.
Which fits which kind of investor
A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: AeroVironment depends heavily on US defense procurement, so budget cycles, appropriations timing, and program decisions cause lumpy, hard-to-predict revenue and order flow. For KRMN, the most immediate risk is valuation: with a trailing P/E reported above 200 and slim GAAP earnings, the stock prices in years of strong growth, so any disappointment can drive a sharp de-rating (the shares have already swung widely, trading between roughly $43 and $118 over the past year).
AVAV or KRMN: which should you pick?
AVAV vs KRMN: the full fundamentals
AVAV. AeroVironment trades on a growth multiple that reflects its leadership in fast-growing drone and loitering-munition categories rather than current earnings. The valuation embeds expectations of sustained defense procurement growth and successful expansion into autonomy and space. It is more volatile and richly valued than traditional defense primes, sensitive to order timing and conflict-driven demand swings.
KRMN. Figures are approximate and tied to the asOf date; verify live numbers before acting. KRMN's very high P/E reflects strong revenue growth and rising adjusted EBITDA against still-modest GAAP net income, so the multiple is best read as a gauge of how much future growth is already priced in rather than a normal earnings valuation. The 52-week range (roughly $43 to $118) shows how sensitive the shares are to sentiment on defense spending and growth.
Headline figures (approximate, early 2026): AVAV shows revenue (ttm) ~$800 million-$1 billion, operating margin ~low-double-digit percent, net income (ttm) Modest; growth reinvested, p/e (ttm) Elevated (growth multiple); KRMN shows revenue (q1 2026 quarterly) ~$151.2 million, up 51% year over year, full-year 2026 revenue guidance ~$720 to $735 million, adjusted ebitda (q1 2026) ~$44.8 million, up ~48% year over year, backlog ~$1.03 billion (up ~61% year over year).
The bottom line: AVAV vs KRMN
AVAV and KRMN are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined AVAV and KRMN exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.
Wondering how AVAV or KRMN fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.
Investing in AeroVironment with AI
Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how AVAV fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.
FAQ
What is the difference between AVAV and KRMN?
+
AeroVironment (AVAV) is a defense technology company specializing in unmanned and autonomous systems. Karman Holdings, which operates as Karman Space & Defense, is a Huntington Beach, California maker of highly engineered systems that go inside missiles, missile-defense interceptors, hypersonic vehicles, unmanned aircraft, and space launch vehicles. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.
Is AVAV or KRMN the better stock?
+
Neither is universally better; they suit different views and risk levels. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.
Which is cheaper, AVAV or KRMN?
+
On forward P/E (as of August 2026), AVAV trades at 33.77x and KRMN at 52.29x, so AVAV is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.
Should you own both AVAV and KRMN?
+
Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.
What are the risks of AVAV vs KRMN?
+
AVAV: AeroVironment depends heavily on US defense procurement, so budget cycles, appropriations timing, and program decisions cause lumpy, hard-to-predict revenue and order flow. It is mid-cap and competes against far larger defense primes as well as a wave of new drone and autonomy startups, which could pressure pricing and share. Demand spikes tied to specific conflicts may not be sustainable, and any easing of geopolitical tension could slow orders. Acquisitions add integration risk and have raised the share count and balance-sheet complexity. The stock is volatile and trades on a growth multiple that embeds optimistic defense-spending and order assumptions, leaving it sensitive to any procurement disappointment. KRMN: The most immediate risk is valuation: with a trailing P/E reported above 200 and slim GAAP earnings, the stock prices in years of strong growth, so any disappointment can drive a sharp de-rating (the shares have already swung widely, trading between roughly $43 and $118 over the past year). Revenue is concentrated in US defense procurement, so budget shifts, continuing resolutions, program delays, or a change in national-security priorities would hit results directly. The heavy reliance on acquisitions adds integration risk and debt from deals like Seemann and MSC. As a private-equity-controlled company (Trive Capital), future share sales as lockups expire can add supply, and public float is still relatively limited. Finally, defense contracting carries fixed-price contract, cost-overrun, and supply-chain execution risks.
Related comparisons
Browse all stock comparisons.
Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell AVAV or KRMN; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.