BBVA vs NU: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

Last updated September 2026

Short answer

BBVA is the larger of the two ($158.04B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (11.54x forward earnings, beta 0.89). NU is the smaller challenger ($69.85B), priced similarly on forward earnings (12.61x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.

BBVA vs NU: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of September 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricBBVANUWhat it tells you
Market cap$158.04B$69.85BSize. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove.
Forward P/E11.5412.61Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Trailing P/E13.0819.81Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price.
Beta0.890.94Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through.
Price vs 52-week range94% of range42% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.
Price / book2.425.27How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price.

Before you buy: how BBVA and NU affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. BBVA and NU share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined BBVA and NU exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria (BBVA) do?

Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. (NYSE: BBVA) is a global financial group headquartered in Bilbao and Madrid, Spain, and one of the largest banks in the euro zone by market value. It operates retail and commercial banking, corporate and investment banking, and asset management across several geographies, but unlike most European peers the bulk of its earnings comes from emerging markets. Its main reporting areas are Spain, Mexico, Turkey (through its Garanti BBVA subsidiary), and South America, with a smaller Rest of Business unit. Mexico is the single largest profit contributor, typically generating a larger share of group net profit than the home market, which is why BBVA is often described as a Spanish bank with a Mexican engine. Like any bank it makes money mainly from net interest income (the spread between what it earns on loans and pays on deposits) plus fees and commissions from cards, payments, asset management, and investment banking.

Full BBVA guide

What does Nu Holdings (NU) do?

Nu Holdings is the parent of Nubank, a digital bank built entirely around a mobile app rather than branches. It earns money the way a bank does: net interest income from credit cards and personal loans, plus fees and interchange, increasingly funded by a large, low-cost deposit base. By March 2026 deposits had grown roughly 29% year over year to nearly $42 billion and the loan book had passed $30 billion, while the company kept its cost structure unusually lean, reporting an efficiency ratio under 18%. Growth comes from two levers stacked together: signing up new customers (over 135 million globally, with Brazil past ~115 million, Mexico past ~15 million, and Colombia approaching ~5 million) and raising how much each customer transacts and borrows over time.

Full NU guide

BBVA vs NU: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • BBVA drivers: Mexico as the profit engine; Record profitability and high return on equity.
  • NU drivers: Customer growth still compounding; Monetizing the existing base.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: BBVA's biggest distinguishing risk is geographic concentration in emerging markets: with Mexico, Turkey, and South America driving much of group profit, reported euro earnings are highly sensitive to the Mexican peso and Turkish lira, which can weaken sharply and erode results even when local-currency performance is strong. For NU, the dominant risk is the consumer credit cycle.

BBVA or NU: which should you pick?

Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick BBVA if you believe its drivers more; NU if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the BBVA and NU guides.

BBVA vs NU: the full fundamentals

BBVA. BBVA trades at a low-double-digit price-to-earnings multiple, cheaper than many US banks, reflecting the market discount applied to its emerging-market exposure. Its return on tangible equity near 19% is well above most western European peers, and it returns capital through a high dividend and buybacks. Because the ADR reports in euros while much of the profit is earned in pesos and lira, currency moves are a material driver of the figures above.

NU. Figures are approximate and tied to the asOf date; verify live numbers before acting. NU trades at a premium to traditional banks on a P/E basis, which reflects its growth and high returns on equity rather than incumbent-bank multiples. The valuation already embeds continued customer growth and contained credit losses, so the figures matter most as a gauge of how much optimism is priced in.

Headline figures (approximate, July 2026): BBVA shows net attributable profit (fy2025) ~EUR 10.5 billion (record, up ~4.5%), net interest income (fy2025) ~EUR 25 billion, return on tangible equity (fy2025) ~19% (rising toward ~22% in Q1 2026), net profit (q1 2026) ~EUR 3.0 billion (up ~11% year over year); NU shows revenue (q1 2026 quarterly) ~$5.0 billion, a record single quarter, customers ~135 million+ across Brazil, Mexico, Colombia, net income (q1 2026) ~$871 million, a record first quarter, return on equity ~high-20s to ~30% (historical range).

The bottom line: BBVA vs NU

BBVA and NU are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined BBVA and NU exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Wondering how BBVA or NU fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.

Investing in Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria with AI

Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how BBVA fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.

FAQ

What is the difference between BBVA and NU?

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Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. Nu Holdings is the parent of Nubank, a digital bank built entirely around a mobile app rather than branches. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is BBVA or NU the better stock?

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Neither is universally better. BBVA is the larger incumbent; NU is the smaller challenger and looks pricier on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, BBVA or NU?

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On forward P/E (as of September 2026), BBVA trades at 11.54x and NU at 12.61x, so BBVA is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both BBVA and NU?

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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of BBVA vs NU?

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BBVA: BBVA's biggest distinguishing risk is geographic concentration in emerging markets: with Mexico, Turkey, and South America driving much of group profit, reported euro earnings are highly sensitive to the Mexican peso and Turkish lira, which can weaken sharply and erode results even when local-currency performance is strong. Turkey in particular carries high inflation, hyperinflation accounting adjustments, and political and monetary-policy uncertainty. As a bank, BBVA is also exposed to the credit cycle, where recessions or rising unemployment in its markets would increase loan losses, and to interest-rate moves that compress net interest margins. Regulatory, capital, and windfall-tax pressures in Spain and other jurisdictions can affect earnings and distributions. Finally, having lost the Sabadell bid, BBVA faces the strategic question of growing without a transformative deal, and broader macro, trade, and geopolitical shocks could weigh on all of its markets at once. NU: The dominant risk is the consumer credit cycle. Most of Nu's profit comes from unsecured lending in Brazil and Mexico, where inflation, currency moves, or a slowdown can push delinquencies up and force larger loan-loss provisions; 90-day-plus non-performing loans sat around 6.5% in Q1 2026, off a prior peak but still meaningful. Brazil's high Selic rate raises funding costs and has not fully repriced across the book. Because results report in US dollars, a weaker Brazilian real or Mexican peso drags reported revenue and earnings. Competition is intensifying as incumbents modernize and new neobanks enter, which can lift acquisition costs and pressure fees, and tighter fintech regulation across the region adds uncertainty.

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Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell BBVA or NU; figures are approximate and dated (as of September 2026). Verify current data before investing.