BLND vs NCNO: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?
Last updated August 2026
Short answer
NCNO is the larger of the two ($2.28B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (13.92x forward earnings, beta 0.66). BLND is the smaller challenger ($430.97M), actually pricier on forward earnings (17.45x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.
BLND vs NCNO: the tie-breaker metrics
Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.
| Metric | BLND | NCNO | What it tells you |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $430.97M | $2.28B | Size. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove. |
| Forward P/E | 17.45 | 13.92 | Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up. |
| Beta | 1.10 | 0.66 | Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through. |
| Price vs 52-week range | 18% of range | 35% of range | Where today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why. |
Reading it: NCNO is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.
Before you buy: how BLND and NCNO affect your concentration
The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. BLND and NCNO share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.
This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined BLND and NCNO exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
What does Blend Labs (BLND) do?
Blend Labs is a cloud-based software company that powers digital-first consumer experiences for financial institutions in the United States and select international markets. Its platform lets banks, credit unions, and non-bank lenders originate and service a range of products through a single system, including mortgages, home equity loans and lines of credit, vehicle and personal loans, credit cards, and deposit accounts. Blend reports in two suites: the Mortgage Suite, historically its largest business, and the Consumer Banking Suite, which spans the broader deposit and non-mortgage lending products. The model is largely software subscription and usage revenue, supplemented by a smaller professional services line.
What does nCino, Inc. (NCNO) do?
nCino sells cloud software that financial institutions use to originate and manage loans, open deposit accounts, price and analyse commercial credit, and handle mortgage workflows. The platform was built on Salesforce infrastructure and has expanded through acquisition into onboarding data (FullCircl) and integration middleware (Sandbox Banking). As of fiscal 2026 the company served over 2,700 customers, roughly 1,500 of them depository institutions, ranging from community banks and credit unions to some of the largest global banks. Concentration is low: 620 customers generated more than $100,000 in subscription revenue, 114 generated more than $1.0 million, 14 generated more than $5.0 million, and no single customer was more than 10% of revenue. Founder Pierre Naudé handed the CEO role to Sean Desmond, and the company employs about 1,684 people from Wilmington, North Carolina.
BLND vs NCNO: how do they differ?
Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.
- BLND drivers: Mortgage Suite recovery; Consumer Banking diversification.
- NCNO drivers: A high-mix subscription base with a new pricing model underneath it; Cost discipline turned a loss-making platform into a cash generator.
Which fits which kind of investor
A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: The dominant risk is cyclicality: a large share of Blend's revenue is tied to mortgage origination, so a fresh downturn in housing or a jump in rates can quickly pressure its biggest suite. For NCNO, deceleration is the central problem: subscription growth has stepped down from ~14.6% in fiscal 2025 to ~11.5% in fiscal 2026 to roughly ~10% guided for fiscal 2027, and second-quarter fiscal 2027 revenue guidance of ~$157.75M to ~$159.75M implies only about ~7% year-over-year growth, slower than the ~11% just reported and sequentially flat against the March quarter.
BLND or NCNO: which should you pick?
Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick BLND if you believe its drivers more; NCNO if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the BLND and NCNO guides.
BLND vs NCNO: the full fundamentals
BLND. Figures are approximate and tied to the asOf date; verify live numbers before acting. Blend is mid-turnaround, so headline revenue and margins can shift quarter to quarter, and non-GAAP operating income excludes items such as stock-based compensation that still affect GAAP results. Treat any valuation multiple as a bet on the profitability path rather than a reflection of steady current earnings, and check the latest filings for updated revenue, margin, and cash figures.
NCNO. The gap between the two profit measures is the thing to hold onto: nCino guides to ~$166M to ~$171M of non-GAAP operating income for fiscal 2027 while trailing GAAP net income sits near ~$13M, a difference driven mostly by ~$73.9M of annual stock-based compensation plus purchased-intangible amortisation. Cash conversion is the stronger signal, since free cash flow of ~$80.8M in one quarter and a ~$135M to ~$140M full-year guide are hard to manufacture through accounting choices. On enterprise value of roughly ~$2.44B, including ~$262.8M of credit facility borrowings net of ~$102.8M of cash, the shares trade around ~4x sales, a multiple that assumes subscription growth stabilises rather than continuing to slide.
Headline figures (approximate, Jul 2026): BLND shows revenue trend Roughly $30 million in Q1 2026, back to modest year-over-year growth after a deep mortgage-driven downturn, gross margin Elevated for software, in the high-70s to around 80 percent on a non-GAAP basis, and expanding year over year, gaap profitability Still an operating loss, though the loss has narrowed materially, non-gaap operating income Modestly positive in recent quarters, a key part of the turnaround thesis; NCNO shows revenue (ttm) ~$610M, up ~10% year over year, subscription revenue (q1 fy2027, quarter ended april 30, 2026) ~$140.9M, ~88% of total, up ~12% year over year, subscription revenue net retention ~110% in fiscal 2026, versus ~110% in fiscal 2025 and ~116% in fiscal 2024, operating margin (q1 fy2027) ~13% GAAP versus ~(1)% a year earlier, ~28% non-GAAP.
The bottom line: BLND vs NCNO
BLND and NCNO are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined BLND and NCNO exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.
Wondering how BLND or NCNO fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.
Investing in Blend Labs with AI
Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how BLND fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.
FAQ
What is the difference between BLND and NCNO?
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Blend Labs is a cloud-based software company that powers digital-first consumer experiences for financial institutions in the United States and select international markets. nCino sells cloud software that financial institutions use to originate and manage loans, open deposit accounts, price and analyse commercial credit, and handle mortgage workflows. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.
Is BLND or NCNO the better stock?
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Neither is universally better. NCNO is the larger incumbent; BLND is the smaller challenger and looks pricier on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.
Which is cheaper, BLND or NCNO?
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On forward P/E (as of August 2026), BLND trades at 17.45x and NCNO at 13.92x, so NCNO is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.
Should you own both BLND and NCNO?
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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.
What are the risks of BLND vs NCNO?
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BLND: The dominant risk is cyclicality: a large share of Blend's revenue is tied to mortgage origination, so a fresh downturn in housing or a jump in rates can quickly pressure its biggest suite. Profitability is not yet proven on a GAAP basis, so if the turnaround stalls the company could face renewed cash pressure and dilution risk from stock-based compensation. Competitively, Blend often layers on top of core loan-origination systems owned by larger players like ICE (Encompass), which limits pricing power and leaves it exposed to platform owners bundling similar front-end and AI features. Customer concentration among large lenders, execution risk on the Consumer Banking pivot, and the need to keep converting pipeline into recurring revenue all add uncertainty. As a smaller-cap software name, the stock can also be volatile on single quarters and guidance changes. NCNO: Deceleration is the central problem: subscription growth has stepped down from ~14.6% in fiscal 2025 to ~11.5% in fiscal 2026 to roughly ~10% guided for fiscal 2027, and second-quarter fiscal 2027 revenue guidance of ~$157.75M to ~$159.75M implies only about ~7% year-over-year growth, slower than the ~11% just reported and sequentially flat against the March quarter. Subscription revenue net retention has fallen from ~116% in fiscal 2024 to ~110% in both fiscal 2025 and fiscal 2026, which means expansion inside the installed base is no longer offsetting a maturing new-logo pipeline, and management has previously attributed shortfalls to softer sales execution in Europe. GAAP profitability remains thin relative to the valuation, with roughly ~$13M of trailing twelve-month net income against ~$73.9M of fiscal 2026 stock-based compensation, so the ~28% non-GAAP operating margin and the reported GAAP margin describe quite different businesses. Demand is tied to bank and credit union technology budgets and to lending volumes, both sensitive to interest rates and credit conditions, and the platform's dependence on Salesforce infrastructure carries an ongoing user-fee cost line and a third-party dependency. Separately, plaintiff firms including Levi and Korsinsky have publicised investigations into potential securities claims following the April 2025 guidance reduction that sent the shares down about ~20% in a day; as of the quarterly report for the period ended April 30, 2026, nCino disclosed no pending proceedings it believed likely to have a material adverse effect, and no filed securities class action complaint has been identified.
Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell BLND or NCNO; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.