BX vs OWL: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?
Last updated September 2026
Short answer
BX is the larger of the two ($163.35B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (18.24x forward earnings, beta 1.55). OWL is the smaller challenger ($18.30B), cheaper on forward earnings (11.83x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.
BX vs OWL: the tie-breaker metrics
Same yardstick, side by side (as of September 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.
| Metric | BX | OWL | What it tells you |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $163.35B | $18.30B | Size. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove. |
| Forward P/E | 18.24 | 11.83 | Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up. |
| Trailing P/E | 30.57 | 97.33 | Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price. |
| Beta | 1.55 | 1.18 | Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through. |
| Price vs 52-week range | 40% of range | 33% of range | Where today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why. |
| Price / book | 12.13 | 4.00 | How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price. |
Reading it: OWL is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.
Before you buy: how BX and OWL affect your concentration
The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. BX and OWL share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.
This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined BX and OWL exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
What does Blackstone (BX) do?
Blackstone Inc. is the world's largest alternative asset manager, investing on behalf of pension funds, sovereign wealth funds, insurers, endowments, and increasingly individual investors. It runs money across several major strategies: real estate (historically its largest), private equity, credit and insurance, infrastructure, life sciences, growth equity, secondaries, and hedge fund solutions. The business model has two engines. First, it earns recurring management fees on the capital it manages, which produces relatively stable fee-related earnings and grows as assets under management climb. Second, it earns performance fees (carried interest and incentive fees) when its funds generate strong returns, which are lumpier and depend on realizations and market conditions. Because most of its capital is locked up in long-dated funds, Blackstone has durable, contracted fee streams, and it distributes a large share of its distributable earnings to shareholders as a variable quarterly dividend rather than a fixed one.
What does Blue Owl Capital (OWL) do?
Blue Owl Capital Inc. is an alternative asset manager that ended Q1 2026 with about $315 billion in assets under management across three franchises: Credit (direct lending, alternative credit, and investment-grade credit), GP Strategic Capital (minority stakes in other private-market managers), and Real Assets (net-lease real estate and digital infrastructure). A defining feature is that a large share of its capital is permanent or long-dated, which makes fee-related earnings unusually stable versus peers that lean on episodic fund launches. The firm grew AUM past $300 billion in late 2025 and raised roughly $56 billion of new commitments that year, with the private-wealth channel a major driver.
BX vs OWL: how do they differ?
Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.
- BX drivers: Growth of assets under management; Private wealth and retail channel.
- OWL drivers: Permanent-capital fee engine; Private-credit and private-wealth growth.
Which fits which kind of investor
A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: Blackstone's risks stem from its market-linked, cyclical model. For OWL, blue Owl is heavily exposed to private credit, so a deterioration in middle-market borrower credit quality or a wave of defaults could pressure fee-paying AUM, the value of its BDC relationships, and sentiment.
BX or OWL: which should you pick?
Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick BX if you believe its drivers more; OWL if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the BX and OWL guides.
BX vs OWL: the full fundamentals
BX. These figures are qualitative and approximate as of the asOf date, not precise real-time numbers. Because performance fees and the variable dividend move with realizations and markets, quarterly results can be uneven. Confirm live AUM, revenue, fee-related earnings, dividend, and valuation before acting.
OWL. Blue Owl's revenue grew about 25 percent in 2025 to roughly $2.87 billion, and AUM crossed $315 billion by Q1 2026. The shares fell sharply in 2026, pushing the dividend yield to around 10 percent and leaving the stock below typical sell-side price targets near the mid-$17 range. Valuation therefore hinges on whether investors weight the durable fee stream or the private-credit and rate risks more heavily.
Headline figures (approximate, Jul 2026): BX shows assets under management More than $1.3 trillion as of early 2026, the largest of any alternative asset manager, after record inflows (roughly $70 billion in a recent quarter), revenue trend Full-year 2025 revenue was about $14.5 billion, up roughly $1.2 billion year over year; management and advisory fees were about $8.1 billion, profitability Emphasizes fee-related earnings (recurring management fees) as the stable core, with performance fees (carried interest) adding lumpier upside tied to realizations, capital returns Pays a variable quarterly dividend tied to distributable earnings (not a fixed rate) plus buybacks, so the payout rises and falls with results; OWL shows revenue (ttm) ~$3.1B, revenue (fy2025) ~$2.87B, aum (q1 2026) ~$315B, fee-related earnings (q1 2026) ~$394M.
The bottom line: BX vs OWL
BX and OWL are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined BX and OWL exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.
Wondering how BX or OWL fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.
Investing in Blackstone with AI
Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how BX fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.
FAQ
What is the difference between BX and OWL?
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Blackstone Inc. Blue Owl Capital Inc. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.
Is BX or OWL the better stock?
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Neither is universally better. BX is the larger incumbent; OWL is the smaller challenger and looks cheaper on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.
Which is cheaper, BX or OWL?
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On forward P/E (as of September 2026), BX trades at 18.24x and OWL at 11.83x, so OWL is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.
Should you own both BX and OWL?
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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.
What are the risks of BX vs OWL?
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BX: Blackstone's risks stem from its market-linked, cyclical model. Fundraising and deal activity slow when markets are volatile, interest rates are high, or investors pull back, which can crimp both management-fee growth and the realizations that drive performance fees. Performance fees (carried interest) are inherently lumpy and can swing distributable earnings and the variable dividend from quarter to quarter, so the payout is not fixed. Real estate remains a large exposure, and stress in commercial property or elevated rates can pressure valuations and prompt redemption requests in semi-liquid vehicles; Blackstone has faced redemption caps in its perpetual real estate fund during past stress. Rising rates raise the bar for private-market returns and can compress asset values. The business is also exposed to regulatory scrutiny of private markets, retail alternatives, and carried-interest taxation. Finally, as a leveraged play on private-market growth, the stock tends to be more volatile than the broad market. OWL: Blue Owl is heavily exposed to private credit, so a deterioration in middle-market borrower credit quality or a wave of defaults could pressure fee-paying AUM, the value of its BDC relationships, and sentiment. The stock is rate-sensitive and fell sharply in 2026 amid rising-rate and geopolitical fears. Much of the model relies on continued strong fundraising, especially through private wealth, which can slow in risk-off markets. The firm also carries meaningful debt and its shares have traded at premium multiples, leaving room for de-rating. Regulatory scrutiny of private credit and non-traded retail vehicles is an added overhang.
Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell BX or OWL; figures are approximate and dated (as of September 2026). Verify current data before investing.