CLMT vs VLO: How Calumet and Valero Energy Compare (2026)

Last updated August 2026

Short answer

VLO is the larger of the two ($90.09B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (11.56x forward earnings, beta 0.55). CLMT is the smaller challenger ($3.51B), actually pricier on forward earnings (95.86x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.

CLMT vs VLO: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricCLMTVLOWhat it tells you
Market cap$3.51B$90.09BSize. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove.
Forward P/E95.8611.56Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Beta0.710.55Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through.
Price vs 52-week range85% of range96% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.

Reading it: VLO is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.

Before you buy: how CLMT and VLO affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. CLMT and VLO share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined CLMT and VLO exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does Calumet (CLMT) do?

Calumet runs three reportable businesses. Specialty Products and Solutions is the historic core: solvents, waxes, white oils, petrolatums, gels, esters and customised lubricating oils sold into industrial, personal care and packaging end markets, made mostly at the Shreveport, Louisiana complex plus a handful of smaller plants. Performance Brands is the smaller but far higher margin piece, blending and packaging finished products under the Royal Purple, Bel-Ray and TruFuel names. Montana/Renewables covers the Great Falls, Montana site, where renewable feedstocks are converted into renewable diesel, sustainable aviation fuel, renewable hydrogen, renewable naphtha and renewable propane, alongside a specialty asphalt operation. For roughly two decades this was Calumet Specialty Products Partners, L.P., a master limited partnership that sent unitholders a K-1 and, until 2016, a quarterly distribution. It converted to a Delaware corporation, Calumet, Inc., in July 2024. That swap removed the K-1, made the shares eligible for index funds and institutions that cannot hold partnership units, and turned CLMT into an ordinary Nasdaq-listed common stock.

Full CLMT guide

What does Valero Energy (VLO) do?

Valero Energy is the largest independent petroleum refiner in the world, operating 15 refineries across the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom with a combined throughput capacity of roughly 3.2 million barrels per day. Unlike an integrated major, Valero does not produce much of its own crude oil, so it makes money on the spread between the cost of crude and the price of refined products like gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel (the refining margin, or crack spread). It reports three segments: Refining, which is the core profit engine; Renewable Diesel, run through the Diamond Green Diesel joint venture with Darling Ingredients; and Ethanol, from a network of corn ethanol plants.

Full VLO guide

CLMT vs VLO: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • CLMT drivers: Sustainable aviation fuel volumes stepping up; Renewable fuel policy and credit economics.
  • VLO drivers: Scale in refining and record throughput; Heavy capital returns to shareholders.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: Leverage is the first thing to look at: roughly $2.3 billion of debt against a company that has not produced consistent GAAP profits. For VLO, valero's earnings are highly cyclical and depend on refining crack spreads, which can collapse quickly when product demand weakens or new refining capacity comes online, as shown by the net loss it reported in the first quarter of 2025.

CLMT or VLO: which should you pick?

Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick CLMT if you believe its drivers more; VLO if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the CLMT and VLO guides.

CLMT vs VLO: the full fundamentals

CLMT. Standard earnings multiples do not compute here because trailing net income is negative, so the market prices CLMT on enterprise value against a forward EBITDA that assumes the new SAF capacity runs and the credit environment holds. Enterprise value is roughly $5.7 billion once the debt is added, against 2025 Adjusted EBITDA with Tax Attributes of about $293 million, a multiple that only looks reasonable if 2027 earnings power is materially higher. Note that the company's headline profitability metric includes tax credits, which is not the same thing as operating cash flow.

VLO. Valero swung from a Q1 2025 net loss to about $1.3 billion of net income in Q1 2026 as refining margins recovered, and full-year 2025 net income was roughly $2.3 billion (about $3.3 billion adjusted). At a share price near $290 and a market cap around $86 billion, the stock trades near 20 times trailing earnings, though refiner multiples are noisy because earnings gyrate with the margin cycle.

Headline figures (approximate, August 2026): CLMT shows revenue (ttm) ~$4.2 billion, net income (ttm) ~-$189 million (~-$2.17 per share), adjusted ebitda with tax attributes (fy2025) ~$293 million, market cap ~$3.5 billion (~87 million shares); VLO shows revenue (ttm) ~$130 billion, net income (fy2025) ~$2.3 billion ($7.57 EPS), adjusted eps (fy2025) ~$10.61, q1 2026 net income ~$1.3 billion ($4.22 EPS).

The bottom line: CLMT vs VLO

CLMT and VLO are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined CLMT and VLO exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Wondering how CLMT or VLO fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.

Investing in Calumet with AI

Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how CLMT fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.

FAQ

What is the difference between CLMT and VLO?

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Calumet runs three reportable businesses. Valero Energy is the largest independent petroleum refiner in the world, operating 15 refineries across the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom with a combined throughput capacity of roughly 3.2 million barrels per day. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is CLMT or VLO the better stock?

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Neither is universally better. VLO is the larger incumbent; CLMT is the smaller challenger and looks pricier on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, CLMT or VLO?

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On forward P/E (as of August 2026), CLMT trades at 95.86x and VLO at 11.56x, so VLO is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both CLMT and VLO?

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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of CLMT vs VLO?

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CLMT: Leverage is the first thing to look at: roughly $2.3 billion of debt against a company that has not produced consistent GAAP profits. The renewable segment's economics depend on rules the company does not control, and RIN prices, RVO volumes and the 45Z credit have all been revised sharply before. Feedstock costs for renewable diesel and SAF are volatile and the crush spread can compress quickly when vegetable oil and tallow prices rise. Refinery turnarounds, unplanned outages and the remaining MaxSAF construction all carry execution risk at a company with limited balance sheet slack. The stock has roughly tripled off its 52-week low, so a good deal of the favourable policy environment is already reflected in the price, and reported results have swung between EPS beats and large EBITDA misses in the same quarter. VLO: Valero's earnings are highly cyclical and depend on refining crack spreads, which can collapse quickly when product demand weakens or new refining capacity comes online, as shown by the net loss it reported in the first quarter of 2025. Because it buys most of its crude, both crude cost spikes and narrow product spreads can squeeze margins at the same time. The renewable diesel and ethanol businesses are volatile and heavily exposed to changes in tax credits, blending mandates, and feedstock prices. Long term, the energy transition and rising electric-vehicle adoption could erode gasoline demand, while refinery operations carry significant safety, environmental, and regulatory risk.

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Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell CLMT or VLO; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.

    CLMT vs VLO: How Calumet and Valero Energy Compare (2026) - Walnut AI Investing App