CMI vs GTX: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

Last updated September 2026

Short answer

CMI is the larger of the two ($75.87B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (15.97x forward earnings, beta 1.25). GTX is the smaller challenger ($4.96B), cheaper on forward earnings (11.57x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.

CMI vs GTX: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of September 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricCMIGTXWhat it tells you
Market cap$75.87B$4.96BSize. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove.
Forward P/E15.9711.57Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Trailing P/E28.1614.62Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price.
Beta1.250.82Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through.
Price vs 52-week range46% of range60% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.

Reading it: GTX is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.

Before you buy: how CMI and GTX affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. CMI and GTX share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined CMI and GTX exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does Cummins (CMI) do?

Cummins Inc. is one of the world's largest independent makers of diesel and natural gas engines, and it operates across five segments: Engine, Components, Distribution, Power Systems, and Accelera (its low-carbon and electrification arm). Its products power heavy- and medium-duty trucks, buses, construction and mining equipment, and standby and prime power generators, and it runs a large aftermarket parts and service network. The Distribution segment is the largest by revenue, while Power Systems has been the fastest-growing thanks to demand for backup power at data centers.

Full CMI guide

What does Garrett Motion (GTX) do?

Garrett Motion Inc. designs and manufactures turbochargers, electric and hybrid boosting systems, and related powertrain technologies for passenger cars, commercial vehicles, and industrial applications. Spun out of Honeywell in 2018, it is one of a small handful of Tier-1 turbocharger suppliers (alongside BorgWarner, IHI, and Mitsubishi Heavy Industries) that together control roughly two-thirds of global original-equipment turbo supply. The company sells to major automakers and increasingly pushes into electrified boosting for hybrids, fuel-cell compressors, and industrial and cooling technologies as it tries to diversify beyond the traditional combustion engine.

Full GTX guide

CMI vs GTX: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • CMI drivers: Data center backup power; North American truck cycle.
  • GTX drivers: Cash generation and capital return; Electrified and hybrid boosting.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: Cummins is exposed to the industrial and freight cycle, so a downturn in truck demand or construction spending can cut engine volumes and margins quickly. For GTX, garrett's core turbocharger business is tied to internal-combustion and hybrid vehicles, which face long-term decline as battery-electric adoption grows, creating a secular headwind for its largest revenue source.

CMI or GTX: which should you pick?

Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick CMI if you believe its drivers more; GTX if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the CMI and GTX guides.

CMI vs GTX: the full fundamentals

CMI. Cummins trades at a premium to its historical multiple after a large 2025-2026 run tied to data center power demand. The forward P/E near 23x sits well below the trailing figure, reflecting expected earnings growth as guidance was raised. The dividend is modest in yield but backed by a long record of annual increases.

GTX. As of July 2026, Garrett trades around a mid-teens forward price-to-earnings multiple, reflecting its profile as a cash-generative but slower-growth auto supplier rather than a high-multiple growth name. The heavy buyback program has reduced shares outstanding to roughly 188 million, a large reduction since 2023, so per-share metrics benefit even when total revenue grows only modestly. Figures are approximate and reference the July 2026 date.

Headline figures (approximate, JUNE 2026): CMI shows revenue (fy2025) ~$33.7B, revenue (q1 2026) ~$8.4B, up ~3% YoY, net income (fy2025) ~$2.8B, market cap ~$96B; GTX shows revenue (ttm) ~$3.7 billion, 2026 revenue guidance ~$3.6 to $3.9 billion, q1 2026 net sales ~$985 million, market cap ~$3.6 billion.

The bottom line: CMI vs GTX

CMI and GTX are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined CMI and GTX exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Wondering how CMI or GTX fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.

Investing in Cummins with AI

Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how CMI fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.

FAQ

What is the difference between CMI and GTX?

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Cummins Inc. Garrett Motion Inc. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is CMI or GTX the better stock?

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Neither is universally better. CMI is the larger incumbent; GTX is the smaller challenger and looks cheaper on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, CMI or GTX?

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On forward P/E (as of September 2026), CMI trades at 15.97x and GTX at 11.57x, so GTX is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both CMI and GTX?

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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of CMI vs GTX?

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CMI: Cummins is exposed to the industrial and freight cycle, so a downturn in truck demand or construction spending can cut engine volumes and margins quickly. The recent stock re-rating leaves valuation elevated versus history, which raises the bar for execution and makes the shares sensitive to any slowdown in data center power orders. Tightening or shifting emissions regulations can trigger costly product changes and demand pull-forwards or air pockets. Accelera continues to lose money and has produced restructuring charges, adding uncertainty. Tariffs, supply chain costs, and exposure to China and other international markets add further variability to results. GTX: Garrett's core turbocharger business is tied to internal-combustion and hybrid vehicles, which face long-term decline as battery-electric adoption grows, creating a secular headwind for its largest revenue source. The business is cyclical and concentrated among a handful of large automakers, so weakness in global auto production or the loss of a major platform would pressure results. The company carries substantial debt (roughly $1.5 billion) against a modest cash balance, which limits flexibility in a downturn and channels free cash flow toward deleveraging and buybacks. Currency swings, tariffs, and supply-chain costs can move margins, and its electrification and diversification bets may not scale quickly enough to fully replace declining combustion demand.

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Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell CMI or GTX; figures are approximate and dated (as of September 2026). Verify current data before investing.