COST vs UNH: How Costco Wholesale and UnitedHealth Group Compare (2026)
Last updated July 2026
Short answer
COST and UNH are similarly sized, but UNH trades noticeably cheaper on forward earnings (18.97x vs 42.90x): the market is paying up for COST's profile and pricing UNH more conservatively, or for faster growth. Which you prefer comes down to the drivers you believe, and whether adding either over-concentrates what you already own.
COST vs UNH: the tie-breaker metrics
Same yardstick, side by side (as of July 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.
| Metric | COST | UNH | What it tells you |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $430.88B | $386.52B | Size. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove. |
| Forward P/E | 42.90 | 18.97 | Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up. |
| Trailing P/E | 48.80 | 32.03 | Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price. |
| Beta | 0.87 | 0.63 | Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through. |
| Price vs 52-week range | 51% of range | 84% of range | Where today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why. |
| Price / book | 26.06 | 3.69 | How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price. |
Reading it: UNH is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.
Before you buy: how COST and UNH affect your concentration
The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. COST and UNH share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.
This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined COST and UNH exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
What does Costco Wholesale (COST) do?
Costco Wholesale operates a membership-based warehouse club chain. Members pay an annual fee (currently $65 for basic Gold Star, $130 for Executive) for access to Costco warehouses, where they can buy products at lower markups than traditional retailers. Costco operates approximately 900 warehouses globally, with the largest concentration in the United States plus meaningful presence in Canada, Mexico, the UK, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, Australia, and other markets.
What does UnitedHealth Group (UNH) do?
UnitedHealth Group is the largest US health insurer and one of the largest healthcare companies in the world. It runs through two main engines. UnitedHealthcare is the insurance arm, providing employer, individual, Medicare Advantage, and Medicaid health plans to tens of millions of members. Optum is the faster-growing health-services arm: Optum Health (physician groups and care delivery, including value-based care), Optum Insight (healthcare data, analytics, and technology), and Optum Rx (one of the largest pharmacy benefit managers in the country). The combination lets UnitedHealth manage both the financing and the delivery of care, capturing margin across the system and using vast claims data to manage costs. Headquartered in Minnetonka, Minnesota, UnitedHealth is a Dow component and one of the largest companies in the S&P 500 by revenue. Its scale, vertical integration, and Medicare Advantage leadership define its competitive position.
COST vs UNH: how do they differ?
Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.
- COST drivers: Membership fee growth; International expansion.
- UNH drivers: Optum growth engine; Medicare Advantage scale.
Which fits which kind of investor
A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: Costco's premium valuation embeds high expectations for continued same-store sales growth and margin expansion. For UNH, unitedHealth faces a difficult medical-cost environment: rising utilization (especially in Medicare Advantage) can spike the medical loss ratio and compress margins, as the company has experienced.
COST or UNH: which should you pick?
COST vs UNH: the full fundamentals
COST. Costco trades at one of the highest P/E ratios in retail, reflecting the durable membership model, consistent same-store sales growth, and the long runway for international expansion. The premium is also driven by Costco being widely viewed as a quality compounder in retail. The valuation has compressed historically only during severe market drawdowns.
UNH. UnitedHealth's revenue is enormous but its insurance margins are thin by design, so earnings hinge on the medical loss ratio and Optum's higher-margin growth. The valuation reflects scale and integration but has been pressured by cost inflation, regulatory uncertainty, and reputational headwinds. The market weighs Optum's durable growth against insurance-cycle and political risk.
Headline figures (approximate, early 2026): COST shows revenue (ttm) ~$260 billion, operating margin ~3.5% (low, by design; membership fees are the profit lever), net income (ttm) ~$7.5 billion, eps (ttm) ~$17.00; UNH shows revenue (ttm) ~$400 billion, operating margin ~6-8%, net income (ttm) ~$15-22 billion (sensitive to medical costs), medical loss ratio ~85-89%.
The bottom line: COST vs UNH
COST and UNH are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined COST and UNH exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.
Investing in Costco Wholesale with AI
Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how COST fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.
FAQ
What is the difference between COST and UNH?
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Costco Wholesale operates a membership-based warehouse club chain. UnitedHealth Group is the largest US health insurer and one of the largest healthcare companies in the world. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.
Is COST or UNH the better stock?
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Neither is universally better; they suit different views and risk levels. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.
Which is cheaper, COST or UNH?
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On forward P/E (as of July 2026), COST trades at 42.90x and UNH at 18.97x, so UNH is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.
Should you own both COST and UNH?
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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.
What are the risks of COST vs UNH?
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COST: Costco's premium valuation embeds high expectations for continued same-store sales growth and margin expansion. Any consumer slowdown or competitive pressure from BJ's, Sam's Club, or Amazon would compress the multiple. UNH: UnitedHealth faces a difficult medical-cost environment: rising utilization (especially in Medicare Advantage) can spike the medical loss ratio and compress margins, as the company has experienced. Regulatory and political risk is significant, including Medicare Advantage rate changes, scrutiny of PBM practices, and proposals to limit insurer-provider integration. The company has faced antitrust attention, a major cyberattack on its Change Healthcare unit, and intense public criticism of the insurance industry. Reimbursement is set by government programs that can change with each cycle. Litigation, regulatory fines, and reputational risk are persistent. Its size makes it a target for legislation, and any sustained period of elevated medical costs directly pressures earnings.
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Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell COST or UNH; figures are approximate and dated (as of July 2026). Verify current data before investing.