CZR vs MGM: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

Last updated August 2026

Short answer

CZR and MGM are similarly sized, but MGM trades noticeably cheaper on forward earnings (21.80x vs 41.13x): the market is paying up for CZR's profile and pricing MGM more conservatively, or for faster growth. Which you prefer comes down to the drivers you believe, and whether adding either over-concentrates what you already own.

CZR vs MGM: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricCZRMGMWhat it tells you
Forward P/E41.1321.80Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Beta1.761.29Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through.
Price vs 52-week range91% of range69% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.
Price / book1.804.46How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price.

Reading it: MGM is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.

Before you buy: how CZR and MGM affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. CZR and MGM share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined CZR and MGM exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does Caesars Entertainment (CZR) do?

Caesars Entertainment operates roughly 50 domestic gaming properties spread across the Las Vegas Strip and regional US markets, along with hotels, restaurants, entertainment venues, and its Caesars Digital segment (Caesars Sportsbook plus online iGaming across dozens of jurisdictions). Las Vegas and regional casinos each contribute close to half of property EBITDAR, and the digital business, though smaller, is the main growth engine: Q1 2026 digital net revenue set a first-quarter record near $374 million with adjusted EBITDA up sharply year over year. The company carries a heavy balance sheet, roughly $11.9 billion of gross debt and about $11.0 billion net, plus large annual lease obligations, so deleveraging has been a central management priority.

Full CZR guide

What does MGM Resorts International (MGM) do?

MGM Resorts International is a global casino, hotel, and entertainment company best known for its cluster of Las Vegas Strip resorts, including the Bellagio, Aria, MGM Grand, Mandalay Bay, and others. Beyond Las Vegas it operates regional casinos across the United States, controls MGM China (which runs properties in Macau, the world's largest gaming market), and is building a digital business that spans the BetMGM online sports-betting and iGaming joint venture with Entain and the LeoVegas online-casino operations. Its revenue is spread across these segments, so results depend on travel demand, consumer spending, and the health of both the US and Chinese economies.

Full MGM guide

CZR vs MGM: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • CZR drivers: Pending Fertitta cash acquisition; Caesars Digital growth.
  • MGM drivers: Las Vegas Strip recovery and margins; Macau and MGM China.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: The largest risk is deal-specific: a failure or renegotiation of the Fertitta acquisition, driven by regulatory or financing setbacks, could send shares back toward the lower unaffected pre-rumor level. For MGM, the biggest risk is economic cyclicality: gaming, travel, and entertainment spending fall in a downturn, and MGM's largely fixed-cost resorts mean earnings can drop quickly when visitation or spending weakens.

CZR or MGM: which should you pick?

Pick CZR if you believe its drivers more; MGM if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the CZR and MGM guides.

CZR vs MGM: the full fundamentals

CZR. CZR trades close to the $31.00 all-cash offer from Fertitta, so its market value of roughly $6 billion reflects deal terms more than a standalone multiple. On an enterprise basis the transaction values the company near $17.6 billion including assumed debt. Reported net income remains negative because interest and lease costs exceed operating profit, so investors focus on adjusted EBITDA, leverage, and deal-completion probability.

MGM. Figures are approximate and tied to the asOf date; verify live numbers before acting. MGM is often valued on cash flow and adjusted EBITDA rather than simple earnings, partly because of its lease structure and buyback-driven share count. The key inputs are Las Vegas visitation and margins, the pace of Macau's recovery, and whether the digital arm converts revenue growth into durable profit, more than any single quarter's headline number.

Headline figures (approximate, July 2026): CZR shows revenue (ttm) ~$11.5B, q1 2026 net revenue ~$2.9B, q1 2026 adjusted ebitda ~$887M, net debt ~$11.0B; MGM shows q1 2026 net revenue ~$4.5 billion (up roughly 4% year over year, a Q1 record), las vegas strip Returned to year-over-year revenue growth after several soft quarters, mgm china (macau) Revenue up sharply on continued Macau recovery, betmgm Positive quarterly adjusted EBITDA; targeting larger profitability.

The bottom line: CZR vs MGM

CZR and MGM are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined CZR and MGM exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Wondering how CZR or MGM fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.

Investing in Caesars Entertainment with AI

Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how CZR fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.

FAQ

What is the difference between CZR and MGM?

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Caesars Entertainment operates roughly 50 domestic gaming properties spread across the Las Vegas Strip and regional US markets, along with hotels, restaurants, entertainment venues, and its Caesars Digital segment (Caesars Sportsbook plus online iGaming across dozens of jurisdictions). MGM Resorts International is a global casino, hotel, and entertainment company best known for its cluster of Las Vegas Strip resorts, including the Bellagio, Aria, MGM Grand, Mandalay Bay, and others. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is CZR or MGM the better stock?

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Neither is universally better; they suit different views and risk levels. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, CZR or MGM?

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On forward P/E (as of August 2026), CZR trades at 41.13x and MGM at 21.80x, so MGM is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both CZR and MGM?

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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of CZR vs MGM?

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CZR: The largest risk is deal-specific: a failure or renegotiation of the Fertitta acquisition, driven by regulatory or financing setbacks, could send shares back toward the lower unaffected pre-rumor level. The long expected close in mid-to-late 2027 also ties up capital for an extended period for a modest arbitrage spread. Beyond the deal, Caesars remains highly leveraged, with about $11.9 billion of debt, heavy interest expense, and roughly $1.3 billion of annual lease payments that keep GAAP results in a net loss. Casino revenue is cyclical and sensitive to consumer spending and Las Vegas travel demand, and the digital segment faces intense competition from FanDuel and DraftKings. Regulatory, tax, and gaming-license changes across many jurisdictions add further uncertainty. MGM: The biggest risk is economic cyclicality: gaming, travel, and entertainment spending fall in a downturn, and MGM's largely fixed-cost resorts mean earnings can drop quickly when visitation or spending weakens. Macau exposure adds a distinct set of risks tied to Chinese consumer health, travel policy, regulation, and geopolitics that are outside the company's control. The digital business, while growing, competes with well-capitalized leaders in US online betting, so BetMGM's path to durable profit is not guaranteed. MGM also carries meaningful debt and long-term lease obligations from its asset-heavy model, which raises sensitivity to interest rates and to any revenue shortfall. Competition is intense in every market, from Las Vegas and regional US casinos to Macau, and new supply or license outcomes elsewhere can shift the landscape. MGM does not offer a large dividend, so returns rely mainly on the stock price and buybacks.

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Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell CZR or MGM; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.

    CZR vs MGM: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026? - Walnut AI Investing App