CHDN vs CZR: How Churchill Downs Incorporated and Caesars Entertainment Compare (2026)

Same yardstick, side by side (as of July 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

Reading it: CHDN is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. CHDN and CZR share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined CHDN and CZR exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

Churchill Downs Incorporated operates through three reportable segments: Live and Historical Racing (the Churchill Downs Racetrack that hosts the Kentucky Derby plus Derby City Gaming and a growing fleet of historical racing machine, or HRM, venues in Kentucky and Virginia), Wagering Services and Solutions (the TwinSpires online horse-race wagering platform, the Exacta HRM technology business, and United Tote), and Gaming (regional casino and racetrack properties). The Kentucky Derby remains the crown jewel, generating record luxury ticket sales and TV audiences, while HRM parlors have become the primary growth engine as new venues open across Kentucky and Virginia.

Full CHDN guide

Caesars Entertainment operates roughly 50 domestic gaming properties spread across the Las Vegas Strip and regional US markets, along with hotels, restaurants, entertainment venues, and its Caesars Digital segment (Caesars Sportsbook plus online iGaming across dozens of jurisdictions). Las Vegas and regional casinos each contribute close to half of property EBITDAR, and the digital business, though smaller, is the main growth engine: Q1 2026 digital net revenue set a first-quarter record near $374 million with adjusted EBITDA up sharply year over year. The company carries a heavy balance sheet, roughly $11.9 billion of gross debt and about $11.0 billion net, plus large annual lease obligations, so deleveraging has been a central management priority.

Full CZR guide

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

• CHDN drivers: Historical racing machine expansion; Kentucky Derby franchise and pricing power.
• CZR drivers: Pending Fertitta cash acquisition; Caesars Digital growth.

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: Churchill Downs carries substantial leverage, with net debt of roughly $4.9 billion and a debt-to-equity ratio well above peers, which magnifies both returns and downside as interest costs and maturities in 2027 and 2028 come due. For CZR, the largest risk is deal-specific: a failure or renegotiation of the Fertitta acquisition, driven by regulatory or financing setbacks, could send shares back toward the lower unaffected pre-rumor level.

Pick CHDN if you believe its drivers more; CZR if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the CHDN and CZR guides.

CHDN. Churchill Downs trades at a mid-teens earnings multiple after record Q1 2026 revenue of about $663 million and adjusted EBITDA near $257 million, with diluted EPS of $1.16. The valuation reflects steady growth alongside heavy leverage (net debt around $4.9 billion), so much of the equity story hinges on HRM expansion continuing to compound EBITDA faster than interest costs rise.

CZR. CZR trades close to the $31.00 all-cash offer from Fertitta, so its market value of roughly $6 billion reflects deal terms more than a standalone multiple. On an enterprise basis the transaction values the company near $17.6 billion including assumed debt. Reported net income remains negative because interest and lease costs exceed operating profit, so investors focus on adjusted EBITDA, leverage, and deal-completion probability.

Headline figures (approximate, July 2026): CHDN shows revenue (ttm) ~$2.9B, fy2025 net income ~$383M, q1 2026 revenue ~$663M (record), q1 2026 adjusted ebitda ~$257M (record); CZR shows revenue (ttm) ~$11.5B, q1 2026 net revenue ~$2.9B, q1 2026 adjusted ebitda ~$887M, net debt ~$11.0B.

CHDN and CZR are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined CHDN and CZR exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.