DUK vs PNW: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?
Last updated August 2026
Short answer
DUK is the larger of the two ($97.78B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (17.50x forward earnings, beta 0.37). PNW is the smaller challenger ($12.04B), priced similarly on forward earnings (17.85x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.
DUK vs PNW: the tie-breaker metrics
Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.
| Metric | DUK | PNW | What it tells you |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $97.78B | $12.04B | Size. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove. |
| Forward P/E | 17.50 | 17.85 | Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up. |
| Trailing P/E | 19.30 | 19.07 | Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price. |
| Beta | 0.37 | 0.44 | Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through. |
| Price vs 52-week range | 56% of range | 54% of range | Where today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why. |
| Price / book | 1.82 | 1.71 | How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price. |
Before you buy: how DUK and PNW affect your concentration
The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. DUK and PNW share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.
This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined DUK and PNW exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
What does Duke Energy (DUK) do?
Duke Energy is a holding company for a group of regulated electric and gas utilities serving roughly eight and a half million electric customers across six states, including the Carolinas, Florida, Indiana, Ohio, Kentucky, and Tennessee, plus natural gas distribution to over a million customers. As a regulated utility, Duke earns an authorized return on the capital it invests in power plants, poles, wires, and pipes, so its profit grows largely as it grows its regulated asset base, or rate base, subject to approval from state utility commissions. This regulated model produces relatively stable, predictable cash flows that fund a long-running dividend, which is the core of the income case for the stock.
What does Pinnacle West Capital Corporation (PNW) do?
Pinnacle West Capital Corporation (NYSE: PNW) is a holding company, and essentially all of its earnings come from Arizona Public Service, the largest electric utility in Arizona. APS serves roughly 1.46 million retail customers across most of the state, owns and operates the Palo Verde Generating Station (the largest nuclear plant in the United States by output), and earns a regulated return on its transmission, distribution and generation investment. Rates are set by the Arizona Corporation Commission for retail service and by FERC for transmission. In the twelve months through June 2026 the company produced about $5.55 billion of operating revenue and roughly $640 million of net income attributable to common shareholders, on total assets of about $32.6 billion.
DUK vs PNW: how do they differ?
Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.
- DUK drivers: Rate-base growth from a $103B capital plan; Data-center and large-load demand.
- PNW drivers: The 2025 rate case and the formula rate proposal; Load growth that is unusually concentrated in large customers.
Which fits which kind of investor
A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: Duke is highly capital-intensive and carries substantial debt to fund its build-out, which makes it sensitive to interest rates: higher rates raise its borrowing costs and tend to compress the valuations investors assign to regulated utilities, while also making bond yields more competitive with its dividend. For PNW, the single largest risk is regulatory.
DUK or PNW: which should you pick?
Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick DUK if you believe its drivers more; PNW if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the DUK and PNW guides.
DUK vs PNW: the full fundamentals
DUK. As of late June 2026, DUK traded near the high-$120s per share with a market cap around ~$100 billion. The trailing P/E of roughly ~19x to ~20x is broadly in line with large regulated-utility peers, reflecting steady but moderate earnings growth rather than the higher multiples of faster-growing sectors. Revenue for full-year 2025 was about ~$31.8 billion, and Q1 2026 adjusted EPS was ~$1.93, up from ~$1.76 a year earlier. Figures are approximate, drawn from the Q1 2026 release and public market data, and move with the share price.
PNW. The trailing multiple understates the forward one because 2025 included an El Dorado investment gain and favorable weather that do not repeat, so the stock is closer to 21 times guided 2026 earnings than to 19 times. Against a $32.6 billion balance sheet carrying roughly $10.6 billion of long-term debt (including current maturities) and about $7.0 billion of common equity, the valuation reflects a long-term EPS growth target of 5% to 7% off the original 2024 midpoint rather than the 9%-plus sales growth being reported. The difference between those two numbers is regulatory lag and financing cost, which is exactly what the pending rate case and the proposed formula rate mechanism are meant to address.
Headline figures (approximate, 2026-06-27): DUK shows revenue (ttm) ~$31.8B, adjusted eps guidance (fy2026) ~$6.55 to ~$6.80, adjusted eps growth target ~5% to ~7% per year through 2030, dividend yield ~3.4%; PNW shows revenue (ttm) ~$5.55B (FY2025 $5.34B; 2026 guidance $5.56B to $5.66B), diluted eps (ttm) ~$5.21 (FY2025 $5.05; 2026 guidance $4.55 to $4.75), net income to common (ttm) ~$640M, market cap ~$12.0B (~$99 per share, ~121.2M shares outstanding).
The bottom line: DUK vs PNW
DUK and PNW are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined DUK and PNW exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.
Wondering how DUK or PNW fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.
Investing in Duke Energy with AI
Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how DUK fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.
FAQ
What is the difference between DUK and PNW?
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Duke Energy is a holding company for a group of regulated electric and gas utilities serving roughly eight and a half million electric customers across six states, including the Carolinas, Florida, Indiana, Ohio, Kentucky, and Tennessee, plus natural gas distribution to over a million customers. Pinnacle West Capital Corporation (NYSE: PNW) is a holding company, and essentially all of its earnings come from Arizona Public Service, the largest electric utility in Arizona. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.
Is DUK or PNW the better stock?
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Neither is universally better. DUK is the larger incumbent; PNW is the smaller challenger and looks pricier on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.
Which is cheaper, DUK or PNW?
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On forward P/E (as of August 2026), DUK trades at 17.50x and PNW at 17.85x, so DUK is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.
Should you own both DUK and PNW?
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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.
What are the risks of DUK vs PNW?
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DUK: Duke is highly capital-intensive and carries substantial debt to fund its build-out, which makes it sensitive to interest rates: higher rates raise its borrowing costs and tend to compress the valuations investors assign to regulated utilities, while also making bond yields more competitive with its dividend. Its earnings depend on the outcomes of frequent rate cases before multiple state commissions, where regulators can grant less than requested, delay recovery, or impose conditions. The ~$103 billion capital plan carries execution, supply-chain, and financing risk, and the data-center load growth, though increasingly contracted, is not guaranteed. As a major operator in the Carolinas and Florida, Duke is also exposed to hurricanes and severe storms, which drive restoration costs that must be recovered through the regulatory process. PNW: The single largest risk is regulatory. Arizona corporation commissioners are elected, a 14.69% day-one bill increase is a politically difficult ask, and the gap between what APS requested and what staff recommended is wide enough that the outcome materially changes the earnings trajectory; the company has been on the wrong end of Arizona rate decisions before. Financing is the second issue: capital spending of roughly $2.6 billion a year against about $640 million of trailing earnings means continuous debt and equity issuance, with interest expense net of AFUDC guided to $415 million to $435 million for 2026 and average diluted shares guided to 123.8 million against roughly 119.4 million a year earlier, so dilution is a live drag on per-share results. Earnings are extremely seasonal because the territory is summer-peaking, which leaves the first quarter near breakeven and makes a mild summer expensive. Palo Verde concentrates operational, outage and nuclear regulatory risk in one asset, and planned outages are a scheduled drag on specific quarters. Drought and water supply, wildfire exposure, and the durability of large data center and manufacturing load commitments round out the list, and the dividend at roughly 78% of the 2026 guidance midpoint leaves modest headroom for the low single digit dividend growth the company has been delivering.
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Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell DUK or PNW; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.