ESLT vs NOC: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

Last updated August 2026

Short answer

NOC is the larger of the two ($77.07B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (17.86x forward earnings, beta -0.10). ESLT is the smaller challenger ($37.89B), actually pricier on forward earnings (44.77x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.

ESLT vs NOC: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricESLTNOCWhat it tells you
Market cap$37.89B$77.07BSize. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove.
Forward P/E44.7717.86Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Trailing P/E65.3217.24Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price.
Beta-0.23-0.10Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through.
Price vs 52-week range64% of range22% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.
Price / book8.824.50How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price.

Reading it: NOC is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.

Before you buy: how ESLT and NOC affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. ESLT and NOC share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined ESLT and NOC exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does Elbit Systems Ltd (ESLT) do?

Elbit Systems Ltd (Nasdaq and Tel Aviv: ESLT) is an Israel-based defense technology company that develops, manufactures, integrates and sustains military systems across land, sea, air, cyber and space domains. Its portfolio spans C4ISR (command, control and intelligence systems), electro-optics and thermal imaging, unmanned aerial and ground systems, precision munitions and artillery rockets (including its PULS launcher), helmet-mounted displays for pilots, and electronic warfare. The company employs more than 20,000 people across five continents and generates a large share of sales from export customers, with roughly 72% of its order backlog attributable to orders from outside Israel as of the end of 2025.

Full ESLT guide

What does Northrop Grumman (NOC) do?

Northrop Grumman is one of the largest US defense contractors, supplying advanced aerospace, defense, and security systems primarily to the US government and allied militaries. Its business is organized around four segments: Aeronautics Systems (military aircraft and the B-21 Raider stealth bomber), Space Systems (satellites, launch, and missile-defense and space sensors), Mission Systems (radars, electronic warfare, sensors, and networking), and Defense Systems (missiles, ammunition, and the ground-based strategic deterrent program modernizing US intercontinental ballistic missiles). Northrop is a leader in stealth aircraft, space systems, and strategic deterrence, holding key positions on programs that are central to long-term US defense priorities. Revenue is dominated by long-duration government contracts, providing visibility and a large multi-year backlog, though margins depend on program execution and the mix of fixed-price versus cost-plus work. As a prime contractor on strategic programs like the B-21 bomber and the Sentinel ICBM, Northrop is tied to defense-budget trends and great-power competition. Founded in 1939 (modern form from the 1994 Northrop-Grumman merger) and headquartered in Virginia, it is a large-cap defense and aerospace company that pays a growing dividend.

Full NOC guide

ESLT vs NOC: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • ESLT drivers: Record backlog and revenue visibility; European rearmament tailwind.
  • NOC drivers: Strategic franchise programs; Large backlog and revenue visibility.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: The most cited risk is valuation: ESLT trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio around the low-to-mid 60s, far above the industrials-sector average, so disappointing execution could compress the multiple sharply. For NOC, northrop depends heavily on the US government, so defense-budget cuts, continuing resolutions, or shifting priorities directly affect revenue.

ESLT or NOC: which should you pick?

Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick ESLT if you believe its drivers more; NOC if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the ESLT and NOC guides.

ESLT vs NOC: the full fundamentals

ESLT. As of July 2026, ESLT traded around $800 per share with a market cap in the mid-$30 billion range, valuing the company at roughly 63 times trailing earnings, well above the industrials-sector average near 30. The premium reflects a record backlog, double-digit revenue growth and strong free cash flow. The small dividend (about $2.70 per share annually) signals a growth-and-reinvestment profile rather than an income story.

NOC. Northrop trades at a valuation in line with large defense primes, reflecting backlog visibility, strategic-program leadership, and steady cash generation balanced against program-execution and budget risk. The multiple tends to expand during periods of rising defense budgets and geopolitical tension and compress when budget concerns or program charges weigh on sentiment. The dividend and buybacks support total return.

Headline figures (approximate, JULY 2026): ESLT shows revenue (fy2025) ~$7.9B, revenue growth (yoy) ~16%, gaap eps (fy2025) ~$11.39, order backlog (q1 2026) ~$30.2B; NOC shows revenue (ttm) ~$42 billion, operating margin ~10-11% (sensitive to program mix and charges), net income (ttm) ~$3.5-4 billion, eps (ttm) ~$25.

The bottom line: ESLT vs NOC

ESLT and NOC are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined ESLT and NOC exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Wondering how ESLT or NOC fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.

Investing in Elbit Systems Ltd with AI

Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how ESLT fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.

FAQ

What is the difference between ESLT and NOC?

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Elbit Systems Ltd (Nasdaq and Tel Aviv: ESLT) is an Israel-based defense technology company that develops, manufactures, integrates and sustains military systems across land, sea, air, cyber and space domains. Northrop Grumman is one of the largest US defense contractors, supplying advanced aerospace, defense, and security systems primarily to the US government and allied militaries. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is ESLT or NOC the better stock?

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Neither is universally better. NOC is the larger incumbent; ESLT is the smaller challenger and looks pricier on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, ESLT or NOC?

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On forward P/E (as of August 2026), ESLT trades at 44.77x and NOC at 17.86x, so NOC is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both ESLT and NOC?

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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of ESLT vs NOC?

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ESLT: The most cited risk is valuation: ESLT trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio around the low-to-mid 60s, far above the industrials-sector average, so disappointing execution could compress the multiple sharply. Israel-specific geopolitical and reputational exposure is real, as some European governments have at times restricted or scrutinized arms purchases from Israeli suppliers, and ESG-driven divestment pressure has surfaced. The company also carries currency exposure to the Israeli shekel and depends on sustained elevated global defense spending, which could soften if conflicts de-escalate or budgets are reprioritized. Program delays, supply-chain constraints and heavy reliance on government customers add execution and concentration risk. NOC: Northrop depends heavily on the US government, so defense-budget cuts, continuing resolutions, or shifting priorities directly affect revenue. Large development programs like the B-21 and Sentinel carry execution and cost risk, and fixed-price contracts can produce charges if costs run over (Northrop has taken charges on certain programs). Margins are sensitive to program mix and inflation in labor and materials. Political risk, procurement delays, and program cancellations are persistent. The valuation reflects defense-sector premium and backlog visibility, but disappointing program execution or budget pressure can weigh on the stock. Concentration in a handful of major programs means problems on any one can be material, and ESG-driven exclusions limit part of the investor base.

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Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell ESLT or NOC; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.

    ESLT vs NOC: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026? - Walnut AI Investing App