FCN vs HLI: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

Last updated October 2026

Short answer

HLI is the larger of the two ($9.05B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (15.00x forward earnings, beta 1.01). FCN is the smaller challenger ($4.10B), priced similarly on forward earnings (13.67x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.

FCN vs HLI: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of October 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricFCNHLIWhat it tells you
Market cap$4.10B$9.05BSize. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove.
Forward P/E13.6715.00Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Trailing P/E17.9021.74Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price.
Beta-0.061.01Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through.
Price vs 52-week range32% of range18% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.
Price / book3.024.02How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price.

Before you buy: how FCN and HLI affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. FCN and HLI share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined FCN and HLI exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does FTI Consulting (FCN) do?

FTI Consulting is a global expert firm that advises corporations, law firms, governments, and financial institutions through five segments: Corporate Finance and Restructuring (its largest, roughly 41% of revenue), Forensic and Litigation Consulting (~20%), Economic Consulting (~19%), Technology (~10%), and Strategic Communications (~10%). Its work spans turnaround and restructuring, transactions, disputes and investigations, antitrust and regulatory economics, e-discovery, and corporate reputation. The firm employs roughly 8,100 people, of whom about 6,400 are billable professionals, and generates around 63% of revenue from US-based professionals.

Full FCN guide

What does Houlihan Lokey (HLI) do?

Houlihan Lokey, Inc. (NYSE: HLI) is an independent, advisory-focused investment bank founded in 1972 and headquartered in Los Angeles. It advises corporations, private equity sponsors, and governments across three segments: Corporate Finance (M&A and capital-raising, the largest slice at roughly two-thirds of revenue), Financial Restructuring (out-of-court workouts and bankruptcy advisory, where it is a global market leader by deal volume), and Financial and Valuation Advisory (fairness opinions, portfolio valuation, and financial consulting). Unlike bulge-bracket banks, Houlihan Lokey does not trade for its own account or make large loans, so its revenue is almost entirely advisory fees.

Full HLI guide

FCN vs HLI: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • FCN drivers: Restructuring and Corporate Finance strength; Record Strategic Communications demand.
  • HLI drivers: Restructuring ballast; M&A and capital-markets recovery.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: The Economic Consulting segment has been a clear drag, with revenue declining and swinging to a segment EBITDA loss on softer antitrust and economic-analysis demand plus elevated compensation; the October 2026 leadership change at Compass Lexecon is an attempt to reset that unit. For HLI, advisory revenue is inherently lumpy and tied to deal completions, so a prolonged M&A slowdown or credit freeze can pressure results even with the restructuring hedge; the two most recent quarters both missed EPS estimates, and the June 2026 quarter's $1.35 was about 18% below consensus.

FCN or HLI: which should you pick?

Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick FCN if you believe its drivers more; HLI if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the FCN and HLI guides.

FCN vs HLI: the full fundamentals

FCN. FCN closed near $145.85 on October 16, 2026, within a 52-week range of roughly $129 to $189, down about 14% year to date. Its trailing P/E near 17.6x falls to about 13.4x on forward estimates, a discount that reflects margin worries and two straight EPS misses even as revenue keeps growing. Q3 2026 results are due October 29, with consensus near $2.74 per share on about $1.01 billion of revenue.

HLI. At roughly $130 per share in mid-October 2026, HLI trades near a market cap of about $9.1 billion, with a trailing P/E around 22x and a forward multiple near 15x on expected EPS of about $8.63, a discount to the premium the stock has often held. The gap between those two multiples reflects a bet that deal fees recover after a soft first half of fiscal 2027. The nine covering analysts carry a mean target near $155 and a buy rating, and the fiscal second-quarter report on October 28, 2026 is the next test.

Headline figures (approximate, October 2026): FCN shows revenue (ttm) ~$3.92B (Q2 2026 up ~5.3% YoY), revenue (q2 2026) ~$993M, net income (ttm) ~$253M (profit margin ~6.4%), eps (q2 2026 vs estimate) ~$1.99 vs ~$2.26; HLI shows revenue (ttm) ~$2.52B (June 2026 quarter ~$511M, down ~15.5% YoY), revenue (fy2026, ended mar 2026) ~$2.62B (up ~10%), net income (ttm) ~$406M (~16% net margin), eps (latest quarter) ~$1.35 vs ~$1.64 expected.

The bottom line: FCN vs HLI

FCN and HLI are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined FCN and HLI exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Wondering how FCN or HLI fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.

Investing in FTI Consulting with AI

Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how FCN fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.

FAQ

What is the difference between FCN and HLI?

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FTI Consulting is a global expert firm that advises corporations, law firms, governments, and financial institutions through five segments: Corporate Finance and Restructuring (its largest, roughly 41% of revenue), Forensic and Litigation Consulting (~20%), Economic Consulting (~19%), Technology (~10%), and Strategic Communications (~10%). Houlihan Lokey, Inc. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is FCN or HLI the better stock?

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Neither is universally better. HLI is the larger incumbent; FCN is the smaller challenger and looks cheaper on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, FCN or HLI?

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On forward P/E (as of October 2026), FCN trades at 13.67x and HLI at 15.00x, so FCN is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both FCN and HLI?

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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of FCN vs HLI?

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FCN: The Economic Consulting segment has been a clear drag, with revenue declining and swinging to a segment EBITDA loss on softer antitrust and economic-analysis demand plus elevated compensation; the October 2026 leadership change at Compass Lexecon is an attempt to reset that unit. FTI is fundamentally a people business, so rising staff costs, senior-professional attrition, and utilization swings can compress margins even when revenue grows, and earnings fell about 7% year over year in the latest quarter while EPS missed estimates twice in a row. Heavy reliance on the US market ties results to domestic economic conditions and regulatory activity. Much of the work is project-based and can be lumpy, making quarterly earnings volatile. Competition for talent and clients from larger and specialist advisory firms is intense. HLI: Advisory revenue is inherently lumpy and tied to deal completions, so a prolonged M&A slowdown or credit freeze can pressure results even with the restructuring hedge; the two most recent quarters both missed EPS estimates, and the June 2026 quarter's $1.35 was about 18% below consensus. The business depends heavily on retaining senior bankers, and competition for talent is intense against boutiques and bulge brackets alike, so continued hiring adds compensation cost ahead of revenue. Fees can swing quarter to quarter based on the timing of transaction closings, making near-term earnings hard to forecast. The stock has traded at a premium multiple, which leaves less room for error if growth disappoints, as the 26% year-to-date decline shows. Regulatory scrutiny of large restructurings and M&A, plus macro shocks to capital markets, are additional external factors outside the firm's control.

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Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell FCN or HLI; figures are approximate and dated (as of October 2026). Verify current data before investing.