CROX vs HLI: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

Last updated October 2026

Short answer

HLI is the larger of the two ($9.05B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (15.00x forward earnings, beta 1.01). CROX is the smaller challenger ($5.90B), cheaper on forward earnings (8.21x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.

CROX vs HLI: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of October 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricCROXHLIWhat it tells you
Market cap$5.90B$9.05BSize. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove.
Forward P/E8.2115.00Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Trailing P/E10.7921.74Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price.
Beta1.561.01Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through.
Price vs 52-week range73% of range18% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.
Price / book4.284.02How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price.

Reading it: CROX is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.

Before you buy: how CROX and HLI affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. CROX and HLI share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined CROX and HLI exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does Crocs (CROX) do?

Crocs, Inc. designs and sells casual footwear under two brands. The Crocs Brand centers on its signature molded clog made from a proprietary closed-cell resin the company calls Croslite, extended through sandals, sneakers, and the Jibbitz charms that let buyers personalize their shoes. In 2022 Crocs acquired HEYDUDE, a lightweight casual-shoe brand, to add a second growth engine. The company sells through wholesale partners and a growing direct-to-consumer channel that includes its own websites and stores, and it markets heavily through collaborations and celebrity tie-ins. Crocs is known for operating margins well above most footwear peers (about 24% on a trailing basis, with gross margin near 57%), driven by a simple core product, strong pricing, and relatively low marketing spend versus sales.

Full CROX guide

What does Houlihan Lokey (HLI) do?

Houlihan Lokey, Inc. (NYSE: HLI) is an independent, advisory-focused investment bank founded in 1972 and headquartered in Los Angeles. It advises corporations, private equity sponsors, and governments across three segments: Corporate Finance (M&A and capital-raising, the largest slice at roughly two-thirds of revenue), Financial Restructuring (out-of-court workouts and bankruptcy advisory, where it is a global market leader by deal volume), and Financial and Valuation Advisory (fairness opinions, portfolio valuation, and financial consulting). Unlike bulge-bracket banks, Houlihan Lokey does not trade for its own account or make large loans, so its revenue is almost entirely advisory fees.

Full HLI guide

CROX vs HLI: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • CROX drivers: High-margin core Crocs Brand; Cash generation and share buybacks.
  • HLI drivers: Restructuring ballast; M&A and capital-markets recovery.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: The largest risk is that Crocs depends heavily on one iconic product, so a shift in fashion or a fading of the clog trend could hurt demand quickly, and single-product concentration makes the stock sensitive to sentiment about the brand's staying power. For HLI, advisory revenue is inherently lumpy and tied to deal completions, so a prolonged M&A slowdown or credit freeze can pressure results even with the restructuring hedge; the two most recent quarters both missed EPS estimates, and the June 2026 quarter's $1.35 was about 18% below consensus.

CROX or HLI: which should you pick?

Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick CROX if you believe its drivers more; HLI if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the CROX and HLI guides.

CROX vs HLI: the full fundamentals

CROX. Even after a roughly 44% gain in 2026, Crocs trades near 11 times trailing and 8 times forward earnings, cheap for a business with mid-20s operating margins, because the market still questions how long single-product profitability lasts and how much HEYDUDE will cost. Analysts' mean target is about $138.75 across 12 covering firms. The October 29, 2026 Q3 report (consensus ~$1.0 billion revenue, $3.30 EPS) will show whether the second-quarter return to growth holds.

HLI. At roughly $130 per share in mid-October 2026, HLI trades near a market cap of about $9.1 billion, with a trailing P/E around 22x and a forward multiple near 15x on expected EPS of about $8.63, a discount to the premium the stock has often held. The gap between those two multiples reflects a bet that deal fees recover after a soft first half of fiscal 2027. The nine covering analysts carry a mean target near $155 and a buy rating, and the fiscal second-quarter report on October 28, 2026 is the next test.

Headline figures (approximate, October 2026): CROX shows revenue (ttm) ~$4.05 billion; Q2 2026 ~$1.18 billion, up ~2.6% year over year, margins (ttm) Gross ~57%, operating ~24%, net ~15%, net income / eps (ttm) ~$593 million; trailing EPS ~$11.41, p/e (trailing / forward) ~10.9x / ~8.3x; HLI shows revenue (ttm) ~$2.52B (June 2026 quarter ~$511M, down ~15.5% YoY), revenue (fy2026, ended mar 2026) ~$2.62B (up ~10%), net income (ttm) ~$406M (~16% net margin), eps (latest quarter) ~$1.35 vs ~$1.64 expected.

The bottom line: CROX vs HLI

CROX and HLI are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined CROX and HLI exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Wondering how CROX or HLI fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.

Investing in Crocs with AI

Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how CROX fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.

FAQ

What is the difference between CROX and HLI?

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Crocs, Inc. Houlihan Lokey, Inc. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is CROX or HLI the better stock?

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Neither is universally better. HLI is the larger incumbent; CROX is the smaller challenger and looks cheaper on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, CROX or HLI?

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On forward P/E (as of October 2026), CROX trades at 8.21x and HLI at 15.00x, so CROX is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both CROX and HLI?

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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of CROX vs HLI?

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CROX: The largest risk is that Crocs depends heavily on one iconic product, so a shift in fashion or a fading of the clog trend could hurt demand quickly, and single-product concentration makes the stock sensitive to sentiment about the brand's staying power. HEYDUDE remains a drag, and there is no guarantee the turnaround works; the acquisition also added debt, which still stood near $1.69 billion against about $170 million of cash at June 30, 2026. Tariffs on footwear sourced from Asia raise costs and can squeeze margins or force price increases that dampen demand. As a consumer-discretionary name, Crocs is exposed to slowdowns in spending. After a roughly 50% one-year rise, expectations are higher going into the October 29, 2026 report, so a miss would land on a stock that is no longer priced for disappointment. The low earnings multiple still signals that the market doubts the durability of current profits. HLI: Advisory revenue is inherently lumpy and tied to deal completions, so a prolonged M&A slowdown or credit freeze can pressure results even with the restructuring hedge; the two most recent quarters both missed EPS estimates, and the June 2026 quarter's $1.35 was about 18% below consensus. The business depends heavily on retaining senior bankers, and competition for talent is intense against boutiques and bulge brackets alike, so continued hiring adds compensation cost ahead of revenue. Fees can swing quarter to quarter based on the timing of transaction closings, making near-term earnings hard to forecast. The stock has traded at a premium multiple, which leaves less room for error if growth disappoints, as the 26% year-to-date decline shows. Regulatory scrutiny of large restructurings and M&A, plus macro shocks to capital markets, are additional external factors outside the firm's control.

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Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell CROX or HLI; figures are approximate and dated (as of October 2026). Verify current data before investing.