FDXF vs ODFL: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

Last updated August 2026

Short answer

ODFL is the larger of the two ($44.12B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (32.14x forward earnings, beta 1.18). FDXF is the smaller challenger ($20.93B), priced similarly on forward earnings (28.05x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.

FDXF vs ODFL: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricFDXFODFLWhat it tells you
Market cap$20.93B$44.12BSize. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove.
Forward P/E28.0532.14Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Trailing P/E30.8940.80Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price.
Price vs 52-week range9% of range68% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.
Price / book0.009.69How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price.

Before you buy: how FDXF and ODFL affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. FDXF and ODFL share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined FDXF and ODFL exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does FedEx Freight Holding Company (FDXF) do?

FedEx Freight Holding Company (NYSE: FDXF) is the largest pure-play less-than-truckload carrier in North America, operating the LTL trucking network that FedEx built and then separated into its own public company. The spinoff completed on June 1, 2026, when FedEx distributed 80.1% of the shares to FedEx stockholders (one FDXF share for every two FDX shares) while retaining 19.9% that it plans to dispose of within about 24 months. LTL freight consolidates multiple customers' palletized shipments onto shared trailers, a business that rewards dense terminal networks, pricing discipline, and operating efficiency measured by the operating ratio.

Full FDXF guide

What does Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL) do?

Old Dominion Freight Line is a non-union less-than-truckload (LTL) motor carrier that moves palletized freight for thousands of business customers across a company-owned network of roughly 260 service centers spanning the continental US. LTL means consolidating multiple shippers' partial loads onto one trailer, a dense, service-intensive business where Old Dominion has built a reputation for best-in-class on-time delivery (about 99%) and a very low cargo claims ratio (under 0.1%). That service premium lets it charge higher yields (revenue per hundredweight) and consistently run the lowest operating ratio in the industry, meaning it keeps more of every revenue dollar as profit than peers.

Full ODFL guide

FDXF vs ODFL: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • FDXF drivers: Margin self-help under independent management; Scale and network density.
  • ODFL drivers: Market-share gains from service leadership; Yield and pricing discipline.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: The current valuation already embeds a margin-improvement story, so a stumble in execution could pressure the stock. For ODFL, freight demand is cyclical and tied to industrial production and goods consumption, so a prolonged soft patch pressures volumes, as seen in the roughly 7.7% Q1 2026 tonnage decline.

FDXF or ODFL: which should you pick?

Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick FDXF if you believe its drivers more; ODFL if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the FDXF and ODFL guides.

FDXF vs ODFL: the full fundamentals

FDXF. FedEx Freight trades around $152 for a market cap near $22.7 billion, roughly 3x revenue and in the mid-20s on adjusted operating income. Fiscal 2026 revenue of about $8.8 billion fell around 1% in a weak freight market, and adjusted operating margin near 12.6% sits below the prior year and below the strongest LTL peers. The multiple embeds an expectation that margins climb toward the company's 15% target by 2029.

ODFL. ODFL posted Q1 2026 revenue of about $1.33 billion, down roughly 2.9% year over year, with EPS of about $1.14 that beat estimates on firm pricing despite lower volumes. Trailing-twelve-month revenue is around $5.5 billion against roughly $1.0 billion of net income. The premium multiple (P/E near 40) reflects the market's willingness to pay up for the strongest margins and service record in LTL.

Headline figures (approximate, July 2026): FDXF shows revenue (fy2026) ~$8.8B, adjusted operating margin (fy2026) ~12.6%, reported operating margin (fy2026) ~7.0%, market cap ~$22.7B; ODFL shows revenue (ttm) ~$5.5B, net income (ttm) ~$1.0B, market cap ~$42B, q1 2026 diluted eps ~$1.14.

The bottom line: FDXF vs ODFL

FDXF and ODFL are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined FDXF and ODFL exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Wondering how FDXF or ODFL fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.

Investing in FedEx Freight Holding Company with AI

Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how FDXF fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.

FAQ

What is the difference between FDXF and ODFL?

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FedEx Freight Holding Company (NYSE: FDXF) is the largest pure-play less-than-truckload carrier in North America, operating the LTL trucking network that FedEx built and then separated into its own public company. Old Dominion Freight Line is a non-union less-than-truckload (LTL) motor carrier that moves palletized freight for thousands of business customers across a company-owned network of roughly 260 service centers spanning the continental US. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is FDXF or ODFL the better stock?

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Neither is universally better. ODFL is the larger incumbent; FDXF is the smaller challenger and looks cheaper on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, FDXF or ODFL?

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On forward P/E (as of August 2026), FDXF trades at 28.05x and ODFL at 32.14x, so FDXF is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both FDXF and ODFL?

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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of FDXF vs ODFL?

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FDXF: The current valuation already embeds a margin-improvement story, so a stumble in execution could pressure the stock. Freight demand remains soft and cyclical, and shipment weakness plus higher wage rates weighed on recent results. FedEx still holds a 19.9% stake it intends to dispose of within about 24 months, which can create a share overhang. Separation and standalone-company costs are elevated in the early quarters, and competitors like Old Dominion run at structurally better operating ratios, so FDXF has to prove it can narrow a durable profitability gap. As a newly independent company, it also has a limited standalone operating history for investors to judge. ODFL: Freight demand is cyclical and tied to industrial production and goods consumption, so a prolonged soft patch pressures volumes, as seen in the roughly 7.7% Q1 2026 tonnage decline. The premium valuation (a P/E near 40) leaves little room for disappointment and can compress sharply if growth stalls. Fuel costs, wage inflation, and aggressive expansion by peers such as Saia, XPO, Estes, and FedEx Freight can erode pricing and share. A weaker operating ratio during downturns amplifies earnings swings, and any loss of the service edge that justifies premium pricing would undercut the core thesis.

Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell FDXF or ODFL; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.

    FDXF vs ODFL: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026? - Walnut AI Investing App