FND vs HD: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

Last updated October 2026

Short answer

HD is the larger of the two ($308.91B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (19.32x forward earnings, beta 1.00). FND is the smaller challenger ($4.82B), priced similarly on forward earnings (20.72x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.

FND vs HD: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of October 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricFNDHDWhat it tells you
Market cap$4.82B$308.91BSize. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove.
Forward P/E20.7219.32Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Trailing P/E21.1421.67Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price.
Beta1.601.00Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through.
Price vs 52-week range7% of range27% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.
Price / book1.9418.60How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price.

Before you buy: how FND and HD affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. FND and HD share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined FND and HD exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does Floor & Decor Holdings (FND) do?

Floor & Decor Holdings operates large-format warehouse stores that sell hard-surface flooring and related products (tile, wood, laminate, vinyl, natural stone, and installation materials) at value prices, serving both do-it-yourself homeowners and professional installers (its growing Pro customer base). The company ended the first quarter of fiscal 2026 with 276 warehouse stores, five design studios, and five distribution centers, and it frames its long-term opportunity as roughly 500 warehouse stores across the United States, positioning unit growth as the central driver of the story. Openings continue through the fall of 2026, including Florence, Kentucky and its first store in Raleigh, North Carolina.

Full FND guide

What does The Home Depot (HD) do?

The Home Depot, Inc. is the world's largest home improvement retailer, operating approximately 2,300 stores across the United States, Canada, and other locations in North America. The company sells building materials, home improvement products, lawn and garden supplies, and provides installation and tool-rental services to two main customer groups: do-it-yourself homeowners (DIY) and professional contractors (Pros). Revenue is generated almost entirely through retail store sales and, increasingly, through digital channels (online sales reached 15.9% of total revenue in fiscal 2025) and through its specialty trade distribution arm, SRS Distribution, which serves Pros directly with roofing, landscaping, pool supplies, and now drywall and steel framing products following the September 2025 acquisition of GMS Inc. The company earns a gross margin of roughly 33% and an operating margin in the low-to-mid teens, with strong free cash flow that funds a steadily growing dividend (156 consecutive quarterly payments as of early 2026) and periodic share repurchases.

Full HD guide

FND vs HD: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • FND drivers: New store expansion runway; Pro customer and share gains.
  • HD drivers: Pro contractor ecosystem buildout; Pent-up housing demand and a potential mortgage rate cycle turn.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: The business is highly cyclical and sensitive to housing turnover, mortgage rates, and consumer confidence, so a prolonged remodeling slowdown can keep comparable-store sales negative. For HD, the most direct risk is a prolonged freeze in the US housing market: low inventory, elevated mortgage rates, and high home prices have kept transaction volumes near multi-decade lows, directly suppressing demand for the large remodeling projects that drive Home Depot's highest-ticket sales.

FND or HD: which should you pick?

Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick FND if you believe its drivers more; HD if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the FND and HD guides.

FND vs HD: the full fundamentals

FND. Revenue is growing in the low single digits as new stores offset weak comparable-store sales. At about 22 times trailing earnings and roughly 1 times sales, FND trades well below its historical growth-retailer multiples, and the 22 covering analysts (Hold consensus) have a mean target near $58. The October 29 report (consensus EPS about $0.58 on roughly $1.22 billion of revenue) will show whether comps are stabilizing.

HD. Home Depot grew total revenue 3.2% in fiscal 2025, mostly from the SRS and GMS acquisitions rather than organic comparable-store performance, which was essentially flat at +0.3%, and the fiscal second quarter of 2026 lifted revenue about 5.7% with EPS ahead of consensus. After a roughly 10% decline in 2026, the stock trades near 22x trailing and 19.5x forward earnings, below the ~23x it carried in mid-2026 but still above the peer group, and the dividend yield has risen to about 3%. Analysts expect fiscal 2026 EPS of about $15.02 and fiscal 2027 EPS near $15.99, so the multiple still assumes a housing recovery eventually shows up; the November 17 report is the next read.

Headline figures (approximate, October 2026): FND shows revenue (ttm) ~$4.7B (Q2 FY2026 up ~3% YoY), q2 fy2026 net sales ~$1.25B, margins (ttm) gross ~45%, operating ~5.4%, net income (ttm) ~$232M; HD shows revenue (ttm) ~$169.2 billion (fiscal 2025: ~$164.7 billion), q2 fy2026 revenue (ended aug 2, 2026) ~$47.9 billion, up ~5.7% year over year, q2 fy2026 eps vs estimate $4.92 vs $4.73, net earnings (ttm) ~$14.2 billion (~8.4% net margin).

The bottom line: FND vs HD

FND and HD are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined FND and HD exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Wondering how FND or HD fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.

Investing in Floor & Decor Holdings with AI

Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how FND fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.

FAQ

What is the difference between FND and HD?

+

Floor & Decor Holdings operates large-format warehouse stores that sell hard-surface flooring and related products (tile, wood, laminate, vinyl, natural stone, and installation materials) at value prices, serving both do-it-yourself homeowners and professional installers (its growing Pro customer base). The Home Depot, Inc. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is FND or HD the better stock?

+

Neither is universally better. HD is the larger incumbent; FND is the smaller challenger and looks pricier on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, FND or HD?

+

On forward P/E (as of October 2026), FND trades at 20.72x and HD at 19.32x, so HD is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both FND and HD?

+

Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of FND vs HD?

+

FND: The business is highly cyclical and sensitive to housing turnover, mortgage rates, and consumer confidence, so a prolonged remodeling slowdown can keep comparable-store sales negative. Recent quarters have shown declining comps and transaction counts, and earnings missed estimates in the first quarter of 2026. Tariffs and sourcing costs on imported flooring products can pressure gross margins, and aggressive new-store openings carry execution and cannibalization risk if demand stays weak. Debt of about $2.0 billion (largely lease-related) sits against about $0.3 billion of cash. The stock has historically traded at a growth-retailer valuation and has already de-rated, falling about 35% over one year to near its 52-week low of $42.64; a further delay in the housing recovery could extend that. Competition from much larger home-improvement chains is intense. HD: The most direct risk is a prolonged freeze in the US housing market: low inventory, elevated mortgage rates, and high home prices have kept transaction volumes near multi-decade lows, directly suppressing demand for the large remodeling projects that drive Home Depot's highest-ticket sales. Tariffs on imported goods (a significant portion of Home Depot's product mix is sourced internationally) could compress margins or require price increases that dampen consumer demand, even as management has worked to diversify its supply chain. The SRS and GMS acquisitions added substantial long-term debt to the balance sheet and pushed ROIC down to approximately 25.7% from 31.3%, and integration execution risk remains elevated while buybacks are paused. Total debt stood near $63 billion against about $2 billion of cash at the latest balance sheet. Finally, the stock trades at a trailing P/E of roughly 22x (about 19.5x forward), a premium to the broader retail industry, which leaves limited margin for error if earnings guidance is revised lower. The share price itself has already absorbed some of this: HD fell about 19% over the year to mid-October 2026 even as reported quarters beat estimates.

Related comparisons

Browse all stock comparisons.

Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell FND or HD; figures are approximate and dated (as of October 2026). Verify current data before investing.