FR vs PLD: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

Last updated August 2026

Short answer

PLD is the larger of the two ($138.08B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (42.50x forward earnings, beta 1.34). FR is the smaller challenger ($9.02B), cheaper on forward earnings (35.02x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.

FR vs PLD: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricFRPLDWhat it tells you
Market cap$9.02B$138.08BSize. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove.
Forward P/E35.0242.50Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Trailing P/E23.9432.28Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price.
Beta1.071.34Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through.
Price vs 52-week range82% of range82% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.
Price / book3.142.51How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price.

Reading it: FR is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.

Before you buy: how FR and PLD affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. FR and PLD share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined FR and PLD exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does First Industrial Realty Trust (FR) do?

First Industrial Realty Trust is a real estate investment trust that owns, develops, and manages industrial properties, mostly bulk and regional distribution warehouses plus lighter industrial and flex buildings. As of early 2026 it owned or had under development roughly 71.6 million square feet concentrated in 15 target US markets such as Southern California, Phoenix, Dallas, Chicago, Pennsylvania, and South Florida. As a REIT it leases space to logistics, e-commerce, manufacturing, and distribution tenants, collects rent, and is required to distribute most of its taxable income to shareholders, which is why the dividend is central to the investment case.

Full FR guide

What does Prologis (PLD) do?

Prologis (NYSE: PLD) is a self-administered, self-managed real estate investment trust focused exclusively on industrial and logistics properties. The company owns and operates approximately 1.3 billion square feet across roughly 5,882 buildings in 20 countries, with a strong concentration in high-barrier, last-mile markets in North America, Europe, and Asia. Revenue comes primarily from long-term leases on warehouse, distribution center, and fulfillment facility space, supplemented by a Strategic Capital segment that manages approximately $60 billion in third-party assets on behalf of institutional co-investment partners. Rental income is the dominant and most stable revenue stream, while strategic capital fees (including periodic promote income) add a more variable layer of earnings.

Full PLD guide

FR vs PLD: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • FR drivers: Rent growth on lease renewals; Development and land pipeline.
  • PLD drivers: E-Commerce as a Structural Tailwind; Reshoring and Supply Chain Reconfiguration.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: Like all REITs, First Industrial is sensitive to interest rates: higher rates raise its borrowing costs, can pressure property values, and make its dividend yield less attractive versus bonds. For PLD, the primary bear case centers on the interest rate environment: Prologis carries a debt-to-EBITDA ratio near 5x, and sustained elevated rates could raise refinancing costs, expand capitalization rates, and compress net asset values even if occupancy holds.

FR or PLD: which should you pick?

Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick FR if you believe its drivers more; PLD if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the FR and PLD guides.

FR vs PLD: the full fundamentals

FR. First Industrial trades on funds from operations (FFO) rather than standard earnings per share, because depreciation makes GAAP net income a poor proxy for a property company's cash generation. At roughly 21 times 2025 FFO the stock is valued as a growth-oriented industrial REIT, richer than diversified or slower-growth REITs but below sector leader Prologis. Figures are approximate and as of July 2026; verify current numbers before acting.

PLD. For industrial REITs, Core Funds from Operations (Core FFO) is a more relevant cash-flow metric than GAAP net earnings, as GAAP figures are affected by depreciation, gains on property sales, and promote income timing. PLD's trailing GAAP P/E of approximately 37x is roughly 50% above the broader real estate sector average, reflecting the market's premium for its scale, portfolio quality, and long-term demand drivers. The dividend payout ratio on a GAAP earnings basis exceeds 100%, which is normal for REITs given depreciation, but coverage on a Core FFO basis remains comfortable.

Headline figures (approximate, JULY 2026): FR shows revenue (fy2025) ~$727.6 million, nareit ffo per share (fy2025) ~$2.96 (up ~12%), ffo (fy2025) ~$403.8 million, in-service occupancy (ye2025) ~94.4%; PLD shows revenue (full year 2025) ~$8.79 billion, net earnings attributable to common stockholders (fy2025) ~$3.32 billion, core ffo per diluted share (fy2024, most recent full-year figure) ~$5.56, trailing p/e ratio ~37x (based on TTM EPS of ~$3.45).

The bottom line: FR vs PLD

FR and PLD are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined FR and PLD exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Wondering how FR or PLD fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.

Investing in First Industrial Realty Trust with AI

Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how FR fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.

FAQ

What is the difference between FR and PLD?

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First Industrial Realty Trust is a real estate investment trust that owns, develops, and manages industrial properties, mostly bulk and regional distribution warehouses plus lighter industrial and flex buildings. Prologis (NYSE: PLD) is a self-administered, self-managed real estate investment trust focused exclusively on industrial and logistics properties. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is FR or PLD the better stock?

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Neither is universally better. PLD is the larger incumbent; FR is the smaller challenger and looks cheaper on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, FR or PLD?

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On forward P/E (as of August 2026), FR trades at 35.02x and PLD at 42.50x, so FR is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both FR and PLD?

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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of FR vs PLD?

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FR: Like all REITs, First Industrial is sensitive to interest rates: higher rates raise its borrowing costs, can pressure property values, and make its dividend yield less attractive versus bonds. Industrial demand is cyclical and tied to consumer spending, e-commerce, trade flows, and supply-chain trends, so a slowdown or a wave of new warehouse construction could soften occupancy and rent growth. The portfolio is concentrated in a limited number of markets and property types, which adds regional and sector exposure, and tenant defaults, longer lease-up times on new developments, or rising construction and financing costs could weigh on results. FFO guidance is management's estimate and actual results can differ. PLD: The primary bear case centers on the interest rate environment: Prologis carries a debt-to-EBITDA ratio near 5x, and sustained elevated rates could raise refinancing costs, expand capitalization rates, and compress net asset values even if occupancy holds. Localized industrial oversupply, particularly in large-format big-box facilities in select Sunbelt and inland markets, could pressure rents and occupancy in specific submarkets. A meaningful slowdown in global trade or e-commerce growth, whether from recession, tariff disruption, or shifts in consumer behavior, would reduce leasing velocity and rental rate growth across key logistics hubs. Additionally, concentration of leasing activity among a small number of large tenants, including major e-commerce operators, creates customer concentration risk if any single tenant significantly reduces its footprint.

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Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell FR or PLD; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.

    FR vs PLD: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026? - Walnut AI Investing App