FTS vs XEL: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?
Last updated October 2026
Short answer
XEL is the larger of the two ($47.67B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (16.81x forward earnings, beta 0.37). FTS is the smaller challenger ($28.49B), actually pricier on forward earnings (20.22x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.
FTS vs XEL: the tie-breaker metrics
Same yardstick, side by side (as of October 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.
| Metric | FTS | XEL | What it tells you |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $28.49B | $47.67B | Size. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove. |
| Forward P/E | 20.22 | 16.81 | Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up. |
| Trailing P/E | 22.67 | 20.68 | Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price. |
| Beta | 0.41 | 0.37 | Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through. |
| Price vs 52-week range | 63% of range | 49% of range | Where today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why. |
| Price / book | 1.71 | 1.98 | How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price. |
Reading it: XEL is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.
Before you buy: how FTS and XEL affect your concentration
The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. FTS and XEL share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.
This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined FTS and XEL exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
What does Fortis (FTS) do?
Fortis Inc. is a St. John's, Newfoundland-based utility holding company that owns 10 regulated electric and gas businesses serving roughly 3.5 million customers across Canada, the United States, and the Caribbean. Its largest platforms include ITC Holdings (U.S. electricity transmission, ~80% owned), UNS Energy (Tucson Electric Power and other Arizona utilities), Central Hudson in New York, and FortisBC in British Columbia. About 99% of assets are regulated, which means earnings come largely from rate-base returns approved by regulators rather than from commodity prices or competition, giving the business unusually predictable cash flows.
What does Xcel Energy (XEL) do?
Xcel Energy (XEL) is a large regulated electric and natural gas utility serving roughly 3.9 million electric and 2.1 million natural gas customers across eight Western and Midwestern states, including Colorado, Minnesota, Texas, and the Dakotas. Its earnings come mainly from regulated operations, where state commissions set the rates it can charge and allow a return on the capital it invests in poles, wires, power plants, and pipelines. That rate-regulated model produces relatively stable, predictable cash flows and has supported dividend increases for more than two decades. Xcel is also one of the largest operators of wind and renewable generation in the United States and has publicly targeted a shift toward carbon-free electricity, funded by a large multi-year capital-investment plan that expands and modernizes its grid. Rising electricity demand from data centers, electrification, and economic growth in its service territories supports that spending. The main overhang is wildfire liability: like other Western utilities, Xcel faces the risk that its equipment could be linked to fires, and it has recognized costs tied to the Smokehouse Creek fire in Texas. Over the trailing twelve months Xcel generated about $14.6 billion of revenue and $2.2 billion of net income. Second-quarter 2026 EPS of $0.93 beat the roughly $0.79 consensus, and the company reports third-quarter results on October 29, 2026, where analysts expect about $1.37 per share on $4.28 billion of revenue. In early October 2026 it agreed to sell its small Michigan gas and electric operations (about 6,000 gas and 9,000 electric customers) to Semco Energy Gas Company and Upper Peninsula Power Company, with closing expected in 2027 pending approvals. As of October 16, 2026 the stock traded near $76, up about 2% year to date and down about 6% over the past year. Headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota, Xcel is widely held as a defensive, income-oriented, rate-sensitive utility.
FTS vs XEL: how do they differ?
Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.
- FTS drivers: Rate-base growth engine; Long dividend-growth record.
- XEL drivers: Regulated utility model and stable cash flows; Renewables leadership and grid investment.
Which fits which kind of investor
A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: As a capital-intensive utility, Fortis carries substantial debt (about CAD 36 billion as of mid-2026) and is sensitive to interest rates; higher rates raise financing costs and make its dividend yield less attractive relative to bonds, which can pressure the share price. For XEL, xcel's most significant risk is wildfire liability: like other Western utilities, its equipment could be linked to fires, and it has recognized costs tied to the Smokehouse Creek fire in Texas, with related litigation outstanding.
FTS or XEL: which should you pick?
Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick FTS if you believe its drivers more; XEL if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the FTS and XEL guides.
FTS vs XEL: the full fundamentals
FTS. Fortis trades at about 23 times trailing and 20 times forward earnings, with EV/EBITDA near 12x, still a premium utility multiple that prices in regulated, predictable cash flows and a five-decade dividend-growth record. Reported figures are in Canadian dollars; the NYSE price and market cap are in U.S. dollars. Consensus for the November 3 Q3 report is about $0.64 of EPS, and the valuation leaves limited room for multiple expansion, so returns lean on earnings and dividend growth rather than re-rating.
XEL. As of October 16, 2026 XEL traded near $76, about 20.6 times trailing and 16.8 times forward earnings, with a dividend yield near 3.2%. Xcel is valued like a regulated utility, so investors focus on its rate base, allowed returns, dividend and earnings-growth target (long described by the company as about 6-8% a year) rather than revenue growth, and the valuation stays sensitive to interest rates and wildfire headlines. Third-quarter results are due October 29, 2026, with consensus EPS near $1.37; figures are approximate and change over time, so verify current numbers before relying on them.
Headline figures (approximate, October 2026): FTS shows market cap ~$28B USD (NYSE price ~$55.47), revenue (ttm) ~CAD 12.4B (Q2 2026 up ~4% y/y), net income (ttm) ~CAD 1.7B, q2 2026 net earnings ~CAD 396M (EPS $0.56 vs $0.54 est.); XEL shows revenue (ttm) ~$14.6 billion, net income (ttm) ~$2.2 billion (net margin ~15%), eps (ttm / 2026 consensus) ~$3.69 GAAP / ~$4.12, p/e (trailing / forward) ~20.6x / ~16.8x.
The bottom line: FTS vs XEL
FTS and XEL are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined FTS and XEL exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.
Wondering how FTS or XEL fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.
Investing in Fortis with AI
Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how FTS fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.
FAQ
What is the difference between FTS and XEL?
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Fortis Inc. Xcel Energy (XEL) is a large regulated electric and natural gas utility serving roughly 3.9 million electric and 2.1 million natural gas customers across eight Western and Midwestern states, including Colorado, Minnesota, Texas, and the Dakotas. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.
Is FTS or XEL the better stock?
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Neither is universally better. XEL is the larger incumbent; FTS is the smaller challenger and looks pricier on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.
Which is cheaper, FTS or XEL?
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On forward P/E (as of October 2026), FTS trades at 20.22x and XEL at 16.81x, so XEL is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.
Should you own both FTS and XEL?
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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.
What are the risks of FTS vs XEL?
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FTS: As a capital-intensive utility, Fortis carries substantial debt (about CAD 36 billion as of mid-2026) and is sensitive to interest rates; higher rates raise financing costs and make its dividend yield less attractive relative to bonds, which can pressure the share price. Its capital program also runs ahead of operating cash flow, so free cash flow is negative and the gap is funded with new debt, such as the fixed-to-fixed rate junior subordinated notes priced in September 2026, or equity. Earnings depend on regulators approving allowed returns and cost recovery, so adverse rate-case outcomes are a real risk. A large portion of assets and earnings are in U.S. dollars, adding currency translation exposure for Canadian reporting. A larger new capital plan in November could mean more equity issuance that may dilute shareholders or add leverage. Growth is inherently modest (analysts see 2026 EPS roughly flat before about 7% growth in 2027), so the stock can lag in strong bull markets and is best viewed as a defensive rather than high-return holding. XEL: Xcel's most significant risk is wildfire liability: like other Western utilities, its equipment could be linked to fires, and it has recognized costs tied to the Smokehouse Creek fire in Texas, with related litigation outstanding. As a regulated utility it is rate-sensitive, so higher interest rates raise its borrowing costs and can make its dividend less attractive versus bonds. Its growth depends on regulators approving rate increases and capital spending, which is not guaranteed. The business is capital intensive and carries meaningful debt, about $41.7 billion as of mid-2026 against roughly $2 billion of cash, with free cash flow deeply negative while the build-out continues. Earnings growth is steady but modest, so it is a defensive income holding rather than a high-growth stock. Weather, fuel costs, and environmental rules also affect results. Several brokers (JPMorgan, Barclays, KeyBanc and Goldman Sachs) trimmed price targets in mid-October 2026 ahead of the third-quarter report.
Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell FTS or XEL; figures are approximate and dated (as of October 2026). Verify current data before investing.