FWONK vs TKO: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

Last updated August 2026

Short answer

TKO is the larger of the two ($34.75B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (47.49x forward earnings, beta 0.62). FWONK is the smaller challenger ($26.05B), actually pricier on forward earnings (55.26x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.

FWONK vs TKO: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricFWONKTKOWhat it tells you
Market cap$26.05B$34.75BSize. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove.
Forward P/E55.2647.49Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Trailing P/E128.2767.59Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price.
Beta0.650.62Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through.
Price vs 52-week range81% of range40% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.
Price / book3.284.04How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price.

Reading it: TKO is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.

Before you buy: how FWONK and TKO affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. FWONK and TKO share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined FWONK and TKO exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does Formula One Group (FWONK) do?

The Formula One Group owns the commercial rights to Formula 1, which means it does not own the teams and does not build cars. It sells the sport. Revenue comes from three main lines: race promotion fees paid by circuits and their government backers for the right to host a Grand Prix, media rights sold to broadcasters and streamers territory by territory, and sponsorship from global brands that want the paddock's audience. Under the Concorde Agreement, a large share of the resulting profit is paid out to the ten (now eleven) competing teams before anything reaches shareholders, so the reported OIBDA is what survives that split. In July 2025 Liberty completed the purchase of Dorna Sports, the commercial rights holder of MotoGP, giving the group a second racing property with the same basic economic shape. Quint, the hospitality business, left the group with the Liberty Live split-off in December 2025, and MotoGP hospitality revenue is now recognised on a net basis as a result.

Full FWONK guide

What does TKO Group Holdings (TKO) do?

TKO Group Holdings owns two of the most recognizable combat-sports and entertainment brands in the world, the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) and World Wrestling Entertainment (WWE), and after a February 2025 transaction also owns IMG, On Location, and Professional Bull Riders (PBR). The company makes money primarily from media rights (multi-year deals to broadcast and stream its events), live event ticketing and site fees, sponsorship, licensing, and hospitality. The headline example is the roughly $7.7 billion, seven-year UFC media-rights agreement with Paramount that begins in 2026, moving UFC's numbered events onto Paramount+ and away from the traditional pay-per-view model; across all brands TKO says it has more than $15 billion of long-term media rights secured.

Full TKO guide

FWONK vs TKO: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • FWONK drivers: Contracted rights with long visibility; The US media reset under Apple.
  • TKO drivers: Media-rights repricing; Scarce, must-watch live IP.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: Team payments under the Concorde Agreement scale with the sport's profitability, which caps how much of any revenue increase reaches shareholders. For TKO, tKO's value is concentrated in a small number of large rights deals, so any renewal at lower-than-expected terms, or a slip in audience engagement, would matter a lot.

FWONK or TKO: which should you pick?

Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick FWONK if you believe its drivers more; TKO if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the FWONK and TKO guides.

FWONK vs TKO: the full fundamentals

FWONK. At roughly $26.05 billion of market value on roughly $4.02 billion of trailing revenue, FWONK trades near 6.5 times sales, and adding attributed net debt across Formula 1 and MotoGP puts enterprise value closer to $29 billion. Conventional earnings multiples are not useful here: reported operating income was about $73 million for Formula 1 in the second quarter of 2026 purely because four fewer races landed in the period. Comparing full seasons rather than quarters, and watching Adjusted OIBDA after team payments rather than revenue, is the only way the numbers stay legible.

TKO. Figures are approximate and tied to the asOf date; verify current numbers before acting. TKO reported full-year 2025 revenue of about $4.74 billion and adjusted EBITDA near $1.585 billion, and guided to roughly $5.7 billion of revenue and $2.2 to 2.3 billion of adjusted EBITDA for 2026. The high P/E reflects amortization and acquisition accounting weighing on reported net income, which is why many investors watch EV/EBITDA and the contracted rights backlog instead.

Headline figures (approximate, August 2026): FWONK shows revenue (ttm) ~$4.02 billion, market capitalisation ~$26.05 billion, share price ~$103.90, formula 1 revenue (q2 2026) ~$764 million, down ~38% on four fewer races; TKO shows revenue (fy2025) ~$4.74 billion, adjusted ebitda (fy2025) ~$1.585 billion (up ~47% YoY), adjusted ebitda margin ~33.5%, net income (fy2025) ~$546 million.

The bottom line: FWONK vs TKO

FWONK and TKO are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined FWONK and TKO exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Wondering how FWONK or TKO fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.

Investing in Formula One Group with AI

Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how FWONK fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.

FAQ

What is the difference between FWONK and TKO?

+

The Formula One Group owns the commercial rights to Formula 1, which means it does not own the teams and does not build cars. TKO Group Holdings owns two of the most recognizable combat-sports and entertainment brands in the world, the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) and World Wrestling Entertainment (WWE), and after a February 2025 transaction also owns IMG, On Location, and Professional Bull Riders (PBR). They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is FWONK or TKO the better stock?

+

Neither is universally better. TKO is the larger incumbent; FWONK is the smaller challenger and looks pricier on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, FWONK or TKO?

+

On forward P/E (as of August 2026), FWONK trades at 55.26x and TKO at 47.49x, so TKO is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both FWONK and TKO?

+

Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of FWONK vs TKO?

+

FWONK: Team payments under the Concorde Agreement scale with the sport's profitability, which caps how much of any revenue increase reaches shareholders. Race promotion revenue leans on state-backed and government-adjacent hosts in a handful of countries, so it carries political and fiscal risk that a normal customer base does not. The quarterly numbers are close to uninformative in isolation: the 2026 calendar moved from 24 races to 23, the Bahrain Grand Prix was hosted in Malaysia, the Saudi Arabian Grand Prix was not held, and those shifts produced a 38% revenue decline in a quarter where the underlying business was fine. Formula 1 carried about $3,330 million of senior loan facilities against roughly $1,024 million of cash at June 30, 2026, at roughly 2.7 times leverage, with MotoGP levered higher, so refinancing terms matter to equity value. Liberty Media is a controlled structure in which the Series C shares that trade under FWONK carry no votes, leaving public holders with economic exposure and effectively no governance say. TKO: TKO's value is concentrated in a small number of large rights deals, so any renewal at lower-than-expected terms, or a slip in audience engagement, would matter a lot. The business carries talent, reputational, and regulatory exposure (athlete relations, litigation, and the inherent headline risk of combat sports and a high-profile leadership). A controlling shareholder, Endeavor, holds roughly 61% of votes, which limits the influence of public minority holders. And the stock trades at a high earnings multiple, so disappointments can be punished sharply.

Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell FWONK or TKO; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.

    FWONK vs TKO: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026? - Walnut AI Investing App