GNW vs RDN: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?
Last updated October 2026
Short answer
GNW and RDN are similarly sized, but RDN trades noticeably cheaper on forward earnings (6.00x vs 8.59x): the market is paying up for GNW's profile and pricing RDN more conservatively, or for faster growth. Which you prefer comes down to the drivers you believe, and whether adding either over-concentrates what you already own.
GNW vs RDN: the tie-breaker metrics
Same yardstick, side by side (as of October 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.
| Metric | GNW | RDN | What it tells you |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $3.57B | $4.19B | Size. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove. |
| Forward P/E | 8.59 | 6.00 | Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up. |
| Trailing P/E | 18.53 | 7.83 | Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price. |
| Beta | 0.86 | 0.70 | Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through. |
| Price vs 52-week range | 56% of range | 11% of range | Where today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why. |
| Price / book | 0.41 | 0.88 | How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price. |
Reading it: RDN is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.
Before you buy: how GNW and RDN affect your concentration
The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. GNW and RDN share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.
This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined GNW and RDN exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
What does Genworth Financial (GNW) do?
Genworth Financial, based in Richmond, Virginia, is what is left of a much larger insurer after two decades of restructuring. It reports three main pieces. Enact is a private mortgage insurance business that Genworth took public in 2021 and still owns roughly 81% of, and it produces essentially all of the group's operating earnings. The Long-Term Care Insurance segment is a closed block: policies written largely between the 1970s and the 2000s, no longer sold, whose claims and reserves Genworth manages down over decades. A smaller Life and Annuities segment is also in runoff. The newer effort is CareScout, which builds a quality-assured network of home care and senior living providers, earns fees on placements and preferred pricing, and through CareScout Insurance is writing fresh long-term care coverage on modern assumptions. Trailing twelve-month revenue is ~$7.4 billion against a market capitalisation of ~$3.84 billion at ~$10.16 per share.
What does Radian Group (RDN) do?
Radian Group runs two operating segments after a year of restructuring. The Mortgage segment, written through Radian Guaranty, sells private mortgage insurance to lenders on conventional loans where the borrower puts down less than 20 percent. The insurer collects a monthly or single premium and pays a claim if the loan defaults and the property sells for less than the outstanding balance. Scale is measured in insurance in force rather than in revenue: ~$284 billion of primary insurance in force at June 30, 2026, sitting on ~$75.4 billion of risk in force, produced ~$474.5 million of net premiums earned in the first half. The Specialty segment is Inigo, the Lloyd's of London underwriter Radian bought for ~$1.67 billion on February 2, 2026, which writes property, casualty, marine, energy and other specialty lines through Syndicate 1301 and contributed ~$431.7 million of net premiums earned over the same six months. Three other businesses are on their way out. Real Estate Services was sold to PLACE in August 2026, the title insurance business is under a definitive agreement expected to close in the fourth quarter, and the mortgage conduit has been substantially wound down, all three carried as discontinued operations.
GNW vs RDN: how do they differ?
Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.
- GNW drivers: Enact cash flow and the holding company discount; The multi-year rate action plan on legacy long-term care.
- RDN drivers: The in-force book runs on persistency, not new sales; Half the premium now comes from a Lloyd's syndicate.
Which fits which kind of investor
A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: The core risk is that the long-term care closed block turns out to cost more than reserved: morbidity, mortality, policyholder lapse behaviour and long-run interest rates all feed the reserve, and a deterioration can require capital that the holding company would rather deploy elsewhere. For RDN, the Specialty segment ran a ~93.0 percent combined ratio in the first half of 2026, which leaves thin margin before an underwriting loss, and Lloyd's syndicates carry catastrophe exposure that arrives in lumps rather than in trend lines.
GNW or RDN: which should you pick?
GNW vs RDN: the full fundamentals
GNW. Figures are approximate and tied to the asOf date; check live numbers before acting. Standard earnings multiples do little work here, because GAAP results consolidate all of Enact while charging the full drag of the long-term care closed block, and reported equity of ~$8.7 billion at June 30, 2026 includes the minority interest in Enact and swings with accumulated other comprehensive income. Most analysis of GNW is sum-of-the-parts instead: the market value of the Enact stake, less holding company debt and corporate costs, less whatever haircut the long-term care block deserves.
RDN. Insurance holding companies are read on book value and return on equity, so the ~2.9 times sales multiple a screener prints for RDN carries almost no information about what the business is worth. At ~1.02 times book the stock sits at the low end of the ~0.9 to ~1.3 times range US mortgage insurers have generally occupied, while the forward multiple of ~7.3 times already embeds the mid-teens EPS accretion management guided to from Inigo. Whether the discount reflects the delinquency cycle, the ~93 percent specialty combined ratio, or the change of chief executive is the open argument.
Headline figures (approximate, August 2026): GNW shows revenue (ttm) ~$7.4 billion, market cap ~$3.84 billion (~$10.16 per share), enact stake ~81% of Enact Holdings (ACT), worth ~$5.5 billion at Enact's ~$6.9 billion market value, adjusted operating income ex-closed block (q2 2026) ~$112 million, or ~$0.29 per diluted share; RDN shows revenue (ttm) ~$1.65 billion for the twelve months to June 30, 2026, up ~37.5 percent, against ~$1.197 billion in fiscal 2025, ~$1.206 billion in 2024 and ~$1.177 billion in 2023. The increase is acquired rather than organic: it represents roughly five months of Inigo, consolidated from February 2, 2026. Second-quarter revenue alone was ~$575 million, up ~93 percent year over year, on net premiums earned of ~$504 million (up ~115.7 percent) and net investment income of ~$70 million (up ~21.1 percent). First-half 2026 total revenue was ~$1.041 billion., earnings and eps Net income of ~$536 million for the twelve months to June 30, 2026, down ~8.6 percent, for diluted EPS of ~$3.89 against ~$4.14 in 2025, ~$3.92 in 2024 and ~$3.77 in 2023. First-half 2026 net income was ~$240.0 million, split between ~$247.7 million from continuing operations and a ~$7.7 million loss from discontinued ones. The second quarter produced ~$118 million, or ~$0.87 diluted, from continuing operations, with adjusted diluted net operating income of ~$1.14 per share., segment mix and operating metrics In the first half of 2026 the Mortgage segment earned ~$474.5 million of net premiums at a ~33.0 percent combined ratio, while the Specialty segment earned ~$431.7 million at a ~93.0 percent combined ratio that still carries integration and purchase-accounting effects. Primary mortgage insurance in force reached a record ~$284 billion at June 30, 2026, up ~3 percent, on ~$75.4 billion of risk in force. New insurance written was ~$16.3 billion in the quarter, up ~14 percent. Persistency was ~82 percent, up ~70 basis points, and the primary default rate ~2.47 percent versus ~2.27 percent a year earlier., balance sheet and regulatory capital Total assets of ~$10.66 billion at June 30, 2026, up ~31 percent on the acquisition, with shareholders' equity of ~$4.8 billion and reserves for losses and loss adjustment expense of ~$1.91 billion. Total debt was ~$1.345 billion, up from ~$1.193 billion at year-end 2025, and ~$600 million of the Inigo purchase price came from a 10-year, 6.50 percent intercompany note issued by Radian Guaranty. Book value per share was ~$36.00, up ~8.5 percent year over year. Radian Guaranty held ~$1.5 billion of available assets above its PMIERs minimum..
The bottom line: GNW vs RDN
GNW and RDN are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined GNW and RDN exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.
Wondering how GNW or RDN fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.
Investing in Genworth Financial with AI
Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how GNW fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.
FAQ
What is the difference between GNW and RDN?
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Genworth Financial, based in Richmond, Virginia, is what is left of a much larger insurer after two decades of restructuring. Radian Group runs two operating segments after a year of restructuring. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.
Is GNW or RDN the better stock?
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Neither is universally better; they suit different views and risk levels. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.
Which is cheaper, GNW or RDN?
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On forward P/E (as of October 2026), GNW trades at 8.59x and RDN at 6.00x, so RDN is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.
Should you own both GNW and RDN?
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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.
What are the risks of GNW vs RDN?
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GNW: The core risk is that the long-term care closed block turns out to cost more than reserved: morbidity, mortality, policyholder lapse behaviour and long-run interest rates all feed the reserve, and a deterioration can require capital that the holding company would rather deploy elsewhere. Rate increases are approved one state at a time, so the multi-year rate action plan can slow without warning. Because Enact supplies almost all earnings and cash, a US housing downturn would hit Genworth twice, through mortgage delinquencies and through the market value of the stake itself. There is no announced plan to divest or distribute Enact, so the holding company discount can persist for years regardless of what the parts are worth. Genworth also remains a defendant in policyholder class actions over long-term care rate increase disclosures, and while the long-running securities class action was dismissed on summary judgment in August 2026, litigation outcomes are outside the company's control. RDN: The Specialty segment ran a ~93.0 percent combined ratio in the first half of 2026, which leaves thin margin before an underwriting loss, and Lloyd's syndicates carry catastrophe exposure that arrives in lumps rather than in trend lines. Syndicate 1301 writes property and specialty risk into a market that has been softening since the 2023 rate peak, so the ~1.4 times tangible equity Radian paid assumes pricing holds up reasonably well. Purchase accounting both flatters and distorts the first year in different places, and a clean run-rate will not be visible until 2027. Integration risk sits on top of a leadership change: Mike Weinbach took over as chief executive on August 13, 2026, Rick Thornberry departs at year end after nearly a decade, and the London business is being kept under its own management. On the mortgage side the credit cycle has begun to turn. Primary delinquencies rose to ~2.47 percent of loans at June 30, 2026 from ~2.27 percent a year earlier, and the 2021 and 2022 vintages are entering the years when defaults historically peak. First-half earnings leaned on reserve releases, visible in the ~33.0 percent combined ratio, and a rising default rate reverses that arithmetic quickly, because the same loans that release reserves on cure consume them on default. Rates cut both ways. A fall in mortgage rates would lift new insurance written but drag persistency below ~82 percent, shrinking the in-force book that generates the premium. Capital is tighter than it was: total debt of ~$1.345 billion at June 30, 2026 against ~$4.8 billion of equity, with ~$600 million of the purchase funded by that intercompany note out of Radian Guaranty, whose PMIERs excess available assets stood at ~$1.5 billion. Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the FHFA set those capital requirements and have revised them before.
Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell GNW or RDN; figures are approximate and dated (as of October 2026). Verify current data before investing.