HESM vs WMB: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?
Last updated October 2026
Short answer
WMB is the larger of the two ($87.19B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (26.91x forward earnings, beta 0.66). HESM is the smaller challenger ($6.32B), cheaper on forward earnings (10.80x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.
HESM vs WMB: the tie-breaker metrics
Same yardstick, side by side (as of October 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.
| Metric | HESM | WMB | What it tells you |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $6.32B | $87.19B | Size. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove. |
| Forward P/E | 10.80 | 26.91 | Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up. |
| Trailing P/E | 10.57 | 28.40 | Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price. |
| Beta | 0.56 | 0.66 | Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through. |
| Price vs 52-week range | 7% of range | 63% of range | Where today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why. |
| Price / book | 7.65 | 6.63 | How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price. |
Reading it: HESM is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.
Before you buy: how HESM and WMB affect your concentration
The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. HESM and WMB share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.
This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined HESM and WMB exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
What does Hess Midstream LP (HESM) do?
Hess Midstream LP owns and operates midstream infrastructure in the Williston Basin (Bakken and Three Forks shale plays) in North Dakota, running three segments: gathering (oil, gas, and produced water pipelines), processing and storage (natural gas processing and NGL fractionation), and terminaling and export (crude and NGL loading and transport). It earns essentially all revenue from fixed, fee-based, long-term contracts, historically with Hess Corporation and now with Chevron following Chevron's July 2026 completion of its Hess acquisition. This structure insulates cash flow from short-term commodity-price swings, since HESM is paid for handling volumes rather than for the value of the barrels. Trailing revenue is about $1.61 billion and trailing net income about $375 million (as of October 2026); second-quarter 2026 revenue was ~$399 million and EPS of $0.75 beat the ~$0.66 estimate.
What does Williams Companies (WMB) do?
The Williams Companies, Inc. (NYSE: WMB) is a Tulsa-based energy infrastructure company focused almost entirely on natural gas. Its crown jewel is Transco, an interstate pipeline running more than 10,000 miles from south Texas and the Gulf Coast up the Atlantic Seaboard to the New York City area, complemented by the Northwest Pipeline in the Pacific Northwest and an extensive footprint of gathering, processing, and storage assets in basins such as the Marcellus and Haynesville. Williams makes most of its money through long-term, fee-based and capacity-reservation contracts under which customers pay to reserve and use pipeline space largely regardless of how much gas actually flows, which gives its cash flows a utility-like stability. Across its systems, Williams handles roughly a third of the natural gas used in the United States.
HESM vs WMB: how do they differ?
Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.
- HESM drivers: Fee-based, contracted cash flow; Return of capital, reset.
- WMB drivers: Fee-based gas transport core; LNG export and Transco expansion growth.
Which fits which kind of investor
A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: HESM still carries significant concentration risk: Bakken volumes depend on Chevron's drilling activity, and Chevron's move from three rigs to two is expected to reduce volumes about 5% through 2027. For WMB, williams carries meaningful leverage, with total debt of roughly $30.8 billion as of mid-2026 (net debt was about $29.5 billion at the end of FY2025), so a period of higher-for-longer interest rates would raise refinancing costs and could compress free cash flow.
HESM or WMB: which should you pick?
Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick HESM if you believe its drivers more; WMB if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the HESM and WMB guides.
HESM vs WMB: the full fundamentals
HESM. After the October 2026 sell-off, HESM trades at about 10.6 times trailing earnings and roughly 6 times trailing EBITDA, with a trailing yield near 10%, cheaper than before the Chevron deal was announced. Those trailing figures overstate future earnings power: preliminary 2027 adjusted EBITDA of about $900 million is well below the ~$1.23 billion trailing figure, and analysts' 2027 revenue estimate is about $1.45 billion. The market is pricing lower Bakken fees, a paused distribution and higher leverage against contracts that now run to 2045.
WMB. Reading a midstream C-corp like Williams is less about GAAP net income and more about contracted cash flow: adjusted EBITDA, available funds from operations, dividend coverage and net debt to EBITDA. At about 16.7 times EBITDA and 26 times forward earnings in October 2026, the market is paying for durability plus growth from Transco expansions and power projects, and analysts' average target near $85 sits above the $69.89 close. Because Williams is a C-corporation, the payout is reported on a 1099 rather than a K-1. Figures are from Yahoo Finance and company reports as of October 16, 2026.
Headline figures (approximate, October 2026): HESM shows revenue (ttm) ~$1.61B, q2 2026 revenue ~$399M (-3.7% YoY), net income (ttm) ~$375M, preliminary 2027 adj. ebitda ~$900M; WMB shows revenue (ttm) ~$12.3 billion; Q2 2026 revenue ~$3.05 billion, up ~8% YoY, adjusted ebitda FY2025 ~$7.75 billion (up ~9%); 2026 guidance midpoint ~$8.2 billion, net income (ttm) ~$3.07 billion; operating margin ~40%, p/e ~28x trailing, ~26x forward; EV/EBITDA ~16.7x.
The bottom line: HESM vs WMB
HESM and WMB are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined HESM and WMB exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.
Wondering how HESM or WMB fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.
Investing in Hess Midstream LP with AI
Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how HESM fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.
FAQ
What is the difference between HESM and WMB?
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Hess Midstream LP owns and operates midstream infrastructure in the Williston Basin (Bakken and Three Forks shale plays) in North Dakota, running three segments: gathering (oil, gas, and produced water pipelines), processing and storage (natural gas processing and NGL fractionation), and terminaling and export (crude and NGL loading and transport). The Williams Companies, Inc. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.
Is HESM or WMB the better stock?
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Neither is universally better. WMB is the larger incumbent; HESM is the smaller challenger and looks cheaper on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.
Which is cheaper, HESM or WMB?
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On forward P/E (as of October 2026), HESM trades at 10.80x and WMB at 26.91x, so HESM is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.
Should you own both HESM and WMB?
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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.
What are the risks of HESM vs WMB?
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HESM: HESM still carries significant concentration risk: Bakken volumes depend on Chevron's drilling activity, and Chevron's move from three rigs to two is expected to reduce volumes about 5% through 2027. The October 2026 restructuring cuts Bakken rates from 2027, drops preliminary 2027 adjusted EBITDA to about $900 million, and lifts leverage to 3.75-4.0x against a long-term target of 3.5-3.75x, with debt of about $3.7 billion and very little cash. Distribution growth is paused through 2027, and coverage after distributions is thinner, so analysts flag leverage and payout coverage as watchpoints; the consensus rating is underperform with an average target near $33.67. The deal still has to close (expected end of 2026), integrating the DJ Basin assets is new execution risk, and the units trade near the bottom of their 52-week range (~$29.85-41.44). As a partnership with an Up-C structure it has tax and structural considerations that differ from a standard corporation, and it lacks the diversified export and energy-transition exposure of larger midstream peers. WMB: Williams carries meaningful leverage, with total debt of roughly $30.8 billion as of mid-2026 (net debt was about $29.5 billion at the end of FY2025), so a period of higher-for-longer interest rates would raise refinancing costs and could compress free cash flow. Although most revenue is fee-based, the company still has some exposure to natural gas volumes and a smaller slice of commodity-linked gathering and processing margins, meaning a sustained drop in drilling activity or gas prices in its key basins would weigh on results. Large interstate pipeline and power projects face permitting, legal, and regulatory risk, including FERC reviews and litigation that can delay or scale back expansions and the new gas-generation buildout. Project execution risk is real as Williams ramps spending on data-center power, and a faster-than-expected energy transition or policy shift away from gas infrastructure could impair the long-term value of its asset base. Heavy spending on power and pipeline projects pushed trailing free cash flow negative (about -$1.5 billion), so the growth program is being funded partly with debt. Rate sensitivity showed up in practice in early October 2026, when rising Treasury yields weighed on dividend stocks and WMB fell about 3% over the month, and a few brokers (TD Cowen, Jefferies) trimmed price targets.
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Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell HESM or WMB; figures are approximate and dated (as of October 2026). Verify current data before investing.