HLI vs LCLN: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?
Last updated August 2026
Short answer
HLI is the larger of the two ($8.77B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (14.21x forward earnings, beta 0.96). LCLN is the smaller challenger ($2.69B), priced similarly on forward earnings (14.73x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.
HLI vs LCLN: the tie-breaker metrics
Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.
| Metric | HLI | LCLN | What it tells you |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $8.77B | $2.69B | Size. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove. |
| Forward P/E | 14.21 | 14.73 | Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up. |
| Price vs 52-week range | 13% of range | 93% of range | Where today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why. |
| Price / book | 3.72 | 6.63 | How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price. |
Before you buy: how HLI and LCLN affect your concentration
The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. HLI and LCLN share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.
This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined HLI and LCLN exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
What does Houlihan Lokey (HLI) do?
Houlihan Lokey, Inc. (NYSE: HLI) is an independent, advisory-focused investment bank founded in 1972 and headquartered in Los Angeles. It advises corporations, private equity sponsors, and governments across three segments: Corporate Finance (M&A and capital-raising, the largest slice at roughly two-thirds of revenue), Financial Restructuring (out-of-court workouts and bankruptcy advisory, where it is a global market leader by deal volume), and Financial and Valuation Advisory (fairness opinions, portfolio valuation, and financial consulting). Unlike bulge-bracket banks, Houlihan Lokey does not trade for its own account or make large loans, so its revenue is almost entirely advisory fees.
What does Lincoln International, Inc. (LCLN) do?
Lincoln International advises on mergers and acquisitions in the private capital markets, working mainly for private equity firms, their portfolio companies and privately held business owners rather than for large public acquirers. The firm reports two segments. Investment Banking Advisory, which covers sell-side and buy-side M&A, private funds advisory and capital markets work, produced ~$177.7M of the ~$225.7M in second-quarter 2026 revenue. Valuations and Opinions, which marks illiquid private holdings for fund managers and writes fairness opinions, contributed the other ~$47.9M and behaves more like a subscription than a deal fee. Roughly ~1,450 professionals work from more than ~30 offices across ~14 countries, and the firm counts ~162 Managing Directors. Its October 2025 purchase of MarshBerry, an advisory and consulting business focused on the insurance and wealth-management sectors, added ~$210M of goodwill and explains a visible share of the recent growth rate.
HLI vs LCLN: how do they differ?
Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.
- HLI drivers: Restructuring ballast; M&A and capital-markets recovery.
- LCLN drivers: Sponsor M&A is thawing; Valuations and Opinions is the ballast.
Which fits which kind of investor
A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: Advisory revenue is inherently lumpy and tied to deal completions, so a prolonged M&A slowdown or credit freeze can pressure results even with the restructuring hedge. For LCLN, advisory revenue is cyclical and lumpy, and a stall in private equity exit activity would hit the segment generating roughly four fifths of the top line.
HLI or LCLN: which should you pick?
Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick HLI if you believe its drivers more; LCLN if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the HLI and LCLN guides.
HLI vs LCLN: the full fundamentals
HLI. At roughly $137 per share in mid-July 2026, HLI trades near a market cap of about $11.4 billion, with a trailing P/E around 22x that sits below its multi-year median. The dividend was raised about 17 percent to $0.70 per quarter (roughly $2.80 annualized). The 52-week range has been wide (roughly $131 to $212), reflecting the market's shifting expectations for deal activity.
LCLN. At roughly ~$25.6 a share across ~102.2M total shares in all three classes, Lincoln carries a market value near ~$2.6B, or about ~3x trailing revenue. The trailing P/E near ~5.7 quoted by most data providers divides a post-IPO share count into pre-IPO partnership earnings, so it reflects an accounting structure that no longer exists. Revenue of ~$772M in fiscal 2025 and ~$572M in fiscal 2024 is the cleaner growth comparison, because the reorganization changed the expense lines while leaving the top line untouched.
Headline figures (approximate, July 2026): HLI shows revenue (fy2026, ended mar 2026) ~$2.62B, net income (fy2026) ~$426M, diluted eps (fy2026) ~$6.22, adjusted eps (fy2026) ~$7.56; LCLN shows revenue (ttm) ~$874M, q2 2026 revenue ~$226M, up ~51% year over year, q2 2026 diluted eps, gaap vs adjusted ~$0.01 vs ~$0.26, adjusted compensation ratio (q2 2026) ~61% of revenue.
The bottom line: HLI vs LCLN
HLI and LCLN are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined HLI and LCLN exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.
Wondering how HLI or LCLN fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.
Investing in Houlihan Lokey with AI
Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how HLI fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.
FAQ
What is the difference between HLI and LCLN?
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Houlihan Lokey, Inc. Lincoln International advises on mergers and acquisitions in the private capital markets, working mainly for private equity firms, their portfolio companies and privately held business owners rather than for large public acquirers. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.
Is HLI or LCLN the better stock?
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Neither is universally better. HLI is the larger incumbent; LCLN is the smaller challenger and looks pricier on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.
Which is cheaper, HLI or LCLN?
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On forward P/E (as of August 2026), HLI trades at 14.21x and LCLN at 14.73x, so HLI is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.
Should you own both HLI and LCLN?
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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.
What are the risks of HLI vs LCLN?
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HLI: Advisory revenue is inherently lumpy and tied to deal completions, so a prolonged M&A slowdown or credit freeze can pressure results even with the restructuring hedge. The business depends heavily on retaining senior bankers, and competition for talent is intense against boutiques and bulge brackets alike. Fees can swing quarter to quarter based on the timing of transaction closings, making near-term earnings hard to forecast. The stock has traded at a premium multiple, which leaves less room for error if growth disappoints. Regulatory scrutiny of large restructurings and M&A, plus macro shocks to capital markets, are additional external factors outside the firm's control. LCLN: Advisory revenue is cyclical and lumpy, and a stall in private equity exit activity would hit the segment generating roughly four fifths of the top line. The Up-C structure hides complications behind a simple share count: only ~34.8M of the ~102.2M total shares are publicly traded Class A stock, a Tax Receivable Agreement obligation of ~$84.8M sits on the balance sheet, and the firm qualifies as a controlled company under NYSE rules, so it is not required to maintain a majority independent board. Float will keep growing as lock-ups expire and LILP units convert into Class A stock, and the company already issued ~1.43M additional Class A shares on August 12, 2026 to former partners under an obligation disclosed in the prospectus. Compensation is both the largest cost and the hardest to hold down, since retaining producers competes directly against margin. The public record is genuinely thin: the quarter ended June 30, 2026 produced the first Form 10-Q, no annual report has been filed yet, and the company stated in that filing that it is not currently a party to any material litigation.
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Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell HLI or LCLN; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.