HTH vs PB: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

Last updated August 2026

Short answer

PB is the larger of the two ($8.97B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (10.24x forward earnings, beta 0.65). HTH is the smaller challenger ($2.26B), actually pricier on forward earnings (16.03x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.

HTH vs PB: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricHTHPBWhat it tells you
Market cap$2.26B$8.97BSize. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove.
Forward P/E16.0310.24Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Trailing P/E14.6612.98Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price.
Beta0.870.65Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through.
Price vs 52-week range91% of range86% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.
Price / book1.060.91How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price.

Reading it: PB is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.

Before you buy: how HTH and PB affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. HTH and PB share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined HTH and PB exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does Hilltop Holdings (HTH) do?

Hilltop Holdings Inc. is a diversified financial holding company headquartered in Dallas, Texas, operating through three segments: Banking (PlainsCapital Bank, which provides business and consumer banking, wealth management, and lending across Texas), Broker-Dealer (HilltopSecurities, covering public finance, capital markets, retail, structured finance, clearing, and securities lending), and Mortgage Origination (PrimeLending, a national home-loan originator). The mix means Hilltop earns spread income from its bank balance sheet plus fee and trading revenue from its securities and mortgage businesses, giving it more diversification than a pure community bank but also more exposure to capital-markets and housing cycles.

Full HTH guide

What does Prosperity Bancshares (PB) do?

Prosperity Bancshares, founded in 1983 and headquartered in Houston, is a regional financial holding company serving consumers and businesses across Texas and Oklahoma. As of March 31, 2026 it held roughly $43.6 billion in assets and operated more than 300 full-service banking locations, offering traditional deposits and loans alongside digital banking, mortgage, treasury management, trust and wealth, and retail brokerage services. The bank has long favored a community-banking model funded by a large, low-cost deposit base, and it has expanded heavily through acquisitions, including American Bank Holding and Southwest Bancshares, both closed in early 2026.

Full PB guide

HTH vs PB: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • HTH drivers: Texas banking franchise; HilltopSecurities capital-markets momentum.
  • PB drivers: Net interest margin recovery; Acquisition-led growth in Texas.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: As a bank, Hilltop is exposed to credit losses if Texas commercial real estate or business loans deteriorate, and to net-interest-margin compression when rates move against it. For PB, as a regional bank, Prosperity is highly sensitive to interest rates: a sharp move in either direction can compress margins or slow loan growth.

HTH or PB: which should you pick?

Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick HTH if you believe its drivers more; PB if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the HTH and PB guides.

HTH vs PB: the full fundamentals

HTH. Hilltop trades around $39 per share with a market cap near $2.3 billion and a trailing P/E of roughly 15, close to tangible book value per share of about $32. The valuation reflects a diversified financial with strong capital (CET1 near 19%) but more earnings variability than a simple bank. First-quarter 2026 net income was about $38 million, or $0.64 per diluted share.

PB. Prosperity trades around a low-teens trailing P/E with a dividend yield near 3.5%, valuation typical of a conservative regional bank. First-quarter 2026 net income of roughly $116 million was down from about $130 million a year earlier, reflecting higher credit costs and merger-related effects even as net interest margin expanded to about 3.51%. The next quarterly report is expected in late July 2026.

Headline figures (approximate, July 2026): HTH shows market cap ~$2.3B, revenue (ttm, net) ~$1.2B, diluted eps (ttm) ~$2.63, p/e (ttm) ~14.8x; PB shows market cap ~$6.9B, revenue (ttm) ~$1.25B, total assets ~$43.6B, q1 2026 net income ~$116M.

The bottom line: HTH vs PB

HTH and PB are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined HTH and PB exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Wondering how HTH or PB fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.

Investing in Hilltop Holdings with AI

Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how HTH fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.

FAQ

What is the difference between HTH and PB?

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Hilltop Holdings Inc. Prosperity Bancshares, founded in 1983 and headquartered in Houston, is a regional financial holding company serving consumers and businesses across Texas and Oklahoma. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is HTH or PB the better stock?

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Neither is universally better. PB is the larger incumbent; HTH is the smaller challenger and looks pricier on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, HTH or PB?

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On forward P/E (as of August 2026), HTH trades at 16.03x and PB at 10.24x, so PB is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both HTH and PB?

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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of HTH vs PB?

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HTH: As a bank, Hilltop is exposed to credit losses if Texas commercial real estate or business loans deteriorate, and to net-interest-margin compression when rates move against it. The broker-dealer's public-finance and fixed-income revenue can fall sharply if municipal issuance or trading activity slows, and PrimeLending remains pressured by weak mortgage demand and could stay unprofitable in a high-rate environment. Geographic concentration in Texas amplifies exposure to that state's economy and real estate cycle. The combined bank, broker-dealer, and mortgage structure makes earnings more variable and harder to forecast than a single-line bank. PB: As a regional bank, Prosperity is highly sensitive to interest rates: a sharp move in either direction can compress margins or slow loan growth. Its heavy concentration in Texas and Oklahoma commercial real estate and business lending means a regional downturn, an energy-sector shock, or rising credit costs could pressure earnings, and first-quarter 2026 results already reflected elevated credit costs. The acquisition-heavy strategy carries integration, deposit-attrition, and goodwill risks. Deposit competition and any renewed stress in the broader regional-banking sector could raise funding costs. Regulatory capital and compliance requirements add ongoing cost and constraint.

Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell HTH or PB; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.

    HTH vs PB: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026? - Walnut AI Investing App