IAG vs ICAGY: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?
Last updated October 2026
Short answer
ICAGY is the larger of the two ($24.06B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (5.99x forward earnings, beta 1.36). IAG is the smaller challenger ($10.33B), actually pricier on forward earnings (7.62x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.
IAG vs ICAGY: the tie-breaker metrics
Same yardstick, side by side (as of October 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.
| Metric | IAG | ICAGY | What it tells you |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $10.33B | $24.06B | Size. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove. |
| Forward P/E | 7.62 | 5.99 | Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up. |
| Trailing P/E | 9.14 | 7.22 | Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price. |
| Beta | 2.35 | 1.36 | Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through. |
| Price vs 52-week range | 52% of range | 49% of range | Where today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why. |
| Price / book | 2.36 | 2.52 | How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price. |
Reading it: ICAGY is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.
Before you buy: how IAG and ICAGY affect your concentration
The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. IAG and ICAGY share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.
This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined IAG and ICAGY exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
What does IAMGOLD (IAG) do?
IAMGOLD Corporation (NYSE: IAG, TSX: IMG) mines gold at three sites and reports in U.S. dollars. Cote Gold in northern Ontario is the growth asset, operated by IAMGOLD in a 70/30 partnership with Sumitomo Metal Mining, and is now one of the largest gold mines in production in Canada. Westwood in Quebec is a smaller, higher-cost underground operation held at 100%. Essakane in Burkina Faso is the cash engine, an open-pit mine in which IAMGOLD's interest was reduced from 90% to 85% in June 2025 when the state took a larger share. The Nelligan Mining Complex in Quebec is the main exploration project and takes roughly ~$24 million of the ~$54 million 2026 exploration budget. The company employs about ~3,800 people.
What does International Consolidated Airlines Group (ICAGY) do?
International Consolidated Airlines Group, usually called IAG, is the Madrid-domiciled, London-listed holding company formed in 2011 by the merger of British Airways and Iberia. It has since added Aer Lingus, the Barcelona low-cost carrier Vueling, the long-haul budget brand LEVEL and IAG Loyalty, which runs the Avios currency and the British Airways Holidays business. The group flies around 600 aircraft, anchors its network on London Heathrow, Madrid and Dublin, and earns roughly 30% of its capacity on the North Atlantic, where it runs a joint business with American Airlines. ICAGY is a sponsored ADR traded over the counter in the US; each ADR equals two ordinary shares, so its dollar price tracks the London price of IAG (around ~411p) multiplied by two and converted at the pound-dollar rate.
IAG vs ICAGY: how do they differ?
Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.
- IAG drivers: Cote Gold throughput and the Q4 technical report; Gold price leverage, partly clawed back by royalties.
- ICAGY drivers: Premium North Atlantic demand; IAG Loyalty and Avios.
Which fits which kind of investor
A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: Roughly half of attributable production comes from Essakane in Burkina Faso, where the company states plainly that security incidents continue and that it incurs additional cost moving people, contractors and supplies to site. For ICAGY, fuel is the largest single risk.
IAG or ICAGY: which should you pick?
Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick IAG if you believe its drivers more; ICAGY if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the IAG and ICAGY guides.
IAG vs ICAGY: the full fundamentals
IAG. As of October 16, 2026 IAG trades at ~9.1x trailing and ~7.6x forward earnings and ~5x EV/EBITDA. The multiple looks undemanding, but it is computed on earnings produced at a realized gold price of ~$4,631 per ounce in the first half, well above the ~$4,000 assumption the company used to set its own cost and royalty guidance. Adjusted EBITDA of ~$507.3 million in the quarter and mine-site free cash flow of ~$368.9 million are what retired the credit facility drawing and funded the buyback. Reported all-in sustaining cost of ~$2,271 per ounce is the number to track quarter to quarter, since it includes sustaining capital and royalties and therefore captures the full cost of keeping the ounces coming, unlike cash cost. Consensus for the September quarter, reported November 5, is ~$0.43 adjusted EPS on ~$880 million of revenue.
ICAGY. Trailing figures combine full-year 2025 with the first half of 2026: revenue of ~€33.4 billion and pre-exceptional operating profit of ~€4.9 billion, after the first half fell ~6% on fuel. Profit after tax over the same span is roughly ~€3.1 billion, which against a ~$24 billion (~€21 billion) market value gives a single-digit P/E near 7 times. The 52-week range for ICAGY is about ~$9.10 to ~$13.07, so the ADR sits in the middle. A low multiple is normal for airlines because earnings are cyclical and exposed to fuel, which is why buybacks and the Avios business draw so much attention.
Headline figures (approximate, October 2026): IAG shows revenue (ttm) ~$3.68 billion, reported in U.S. dollars, net income (ttm) ~$1.16 billion, a ~31% net margin, q2 2026 revenue ~$856.9 million, up ~47% year over year, all-in sustaining cost (q2 2026, incl. royalties) ~$2,271 per ounce sold, vs 2026 guidance of ~$2,000 to ~$2,150; ICAGY shows adr price (2 ordinary shares) ~$11.04, market cap ~$24B, revenue (ttm) ~€33.4B (~$39B), operating profit before exceptionals (ttm) ~€4.9B.
The bottom line: IAG vs ICAGY
IAG and ICAGY are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined IAG and ICAGY exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.
Wondering how IAG or ICAGY fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.
Investing in IAMGOLD with AI
Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how IAG fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.
FAQ
What is the difference between IAG and ICAGY?
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IAMGOLD Corporation (NYSE: IAG, TSX: IMG) mines gold at three sites and reports in U.S. International Consolidated Airlines Group, usually called IAG, is the Madrid-domiciled, London-listed holding company formed in 2011 by the merger of British Airways and Iberia. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.
Is IAG or ICAGY the better stock?
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Neither is universally better. ICAGY is the larger incumbent; IAG is the smaller challenger and looks pricier on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.
Which is cheaper, IAG or ICAGY?
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On forward P/E (as of October 2026), IAG trades at 7.62x and ICAGY at 5.99x, so ICAGY is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.
Should you own both IAG and ICAGY?
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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.
What are the risks of IAG vs ICAGY?
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IAG: Roughly half of attributable production comes from Essakane in Burkina Faso, where the company states plainly that security incidents continue and that it incurs additional cost moving people, contractors and supplies to site. That single asset carries three stacked exposures: physical security, a royalty regime that was rewritten upward in 2025 and rises further with the gold price, and cash that only counts once it is repatriated, which happens in installments rather than on demand. Cote's costs are currently running above its own guidance, so the second-half improvement is an assumption rather than a result, and the Q4 technical report could reset reserves and mine life in either direction. As a single-commodity producer with no meaningful hedge book, IAMGOLD's earnings track the gold price closely in both directions, and gold near ~$4,400 per ounce in early August 2026 sat well below the ~$5,586 level reached within the prior twelve months. The stock has swung widely, trading between ~$10.87 and ~$24.87 over the past year; as of October 16, 2026 it is up ~23% over one year and ~11% year to date but down ~11% over the past month. It trades on trailing earnings inflated by that price, so a return toward the ~$4,000 per ounce guidance assumption would compress both earnings and the free cash flow that funds the buyback. ICAGY: Fuel is the largest single risk. IAG's 2026 fuel bill is guided at ~€8.3 billion to ~€8.6 billion depending on the forward curve, and the company only expects to recover around 60% of the increase through fares and cost actions, so every further spike in jet fuel flows partly into profit. Geopolitics is the second: the Middle East crisis forced the suspension of most routes to the Gulf, Israel and Jordan, cut Africa, Middle East and South Asia capacity ~17% in Q2, and hurt the Holidays business and Qatar Airways partner redemptions. A transatlantic slowdown, whether from a US recession, weaker consumer demand or currency moves, would hit the most profitable routes. Aer Lingus swung to a ~€34 million first-half operating loss amid North Atlantic competition and is mid-restructuring, while Vueling faces intense low-cost competition from Ryanair and others. Labour negotiations, Heathrow charges and slot policy, engine availability problems (Pratt & Whitney and Rolls-Royce), delayed Boeing deliveries, and rising carbon costs under EU ETS and CORSIA are all live issues. For US holders, ICAGY trades OTC with thinner liquidity, its dollar price also moves with sterling, and Spanish withholding tax can apply to dividends.
Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell IAG or ICAGY; figures are approximate and dated (as of October 2026). Verify current data before investing.