MCO vs MORN: How Moody's and Morningstar Compare (2026)
Last updated July 2026
Short answer
MCO is the larger of the two ($84.07B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (25.76x forward earnings, beta 1.34). MORN is the smaller challenger ($7.56B), cheaper on forward earnings (14.77x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.
MCO vs MORN: the tie-breaker metrics
Same yardstick, side by side (as of July 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.
| Metric | MCO | MORN | What it tells you |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $84.07B | $7.56B | Size. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove. |
| Forward P/E | 25.76 | 14.77 | Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up. |
| Trailing P/E | 30.84 | 20.31 | Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price. |
| Beta | 1.34 | 1.01 | Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through. |
| Price vs 52-week range | 58% of range | 39% of range | Where today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why. |
| Price / book | 27.79 | 7.42 | How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price. |
Reading it: MORN is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.
Before you buy: how MCO and MORN affect your concentration
The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. MCO and MORN share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.
This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined MCO and MORN exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
What does Moody's (MCO) do?
Moody's is a global integrated risk-assessment company best known for credit ratings. It operates two main segments. Moody's Investors Service (MIS) rates the creditworthiness of bonds, loans, and other debt instruments issued by corporations, governments, and structured-finance vehicles, earning fees from issuers each time debt is rated. Moody's Analytics (MA) sells subscription software, data, research, and models for credit risk, economic forecasting, regulatory compliance, and increasingly ESG and supply-chain risk. Together with S&P Global, Moody's forms half of an effective duopoly in credit ratings, an industry protected by deep regulatory entrenchment, network effects, and the trust embedded in its ratings over more than a century. The ratings business is highly profitable and cyclical with debt-issuance volumes, while Moody's Analytics provides growing, recurring subscription revenue that smooths the cycle. Founded in 1909 and headquartered in New York, Moody's is a high-margin compounder tied to the global flow of capital and debt.
What does Morningstar (MORN) do?
Morningstar is an investment-research and financial-data provider whose products span five reportable segments: the Morningstar Direct Platform (data, research, Direct, and Advisor Workstation), PitchBook (private-capital data, analytics, and AI-enabled software for venture capital, private equity, private credit, and M&A), Morningstar Credit (credit ratings, research, and analytics through DBRS Morningstar), Morningstar Wealth (investment products, advisor platforms, and managed portfolios), and Morningstar Retirement. The business is built on proprietary datasets, independent research, and widely used ratings and indexes that embed deeply into advisor, asset-manager, and institutional workflows, giving it high switching costs and durable, largely recurring revenue.
MCO vs MORN: how do they differ?
Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.
- MCO drivers: Ratings duopoly and pricing power; Moody's Analytics recurring revenue.
- MORN drivers: PitchBook and private-markets data; Morningstar Credit (DBRS) rebound.
Which fits which kind of investor
A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: The ratings segment is cyclical: debt issuance falls sharply when interest rates rise quickly or credit markets freeze, directly pressuring MIS revenue. For MORN, credit-ratings revenue is cyclical and tracks debt-issuance volumes, so a slowdown in structured finance or corporate issuance can quickly pressure a fast-growing segment.
MCO or MORN: which should you pick?
Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick MCO if you believe its drivers more; MORN if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the MCO and MORN guides.
MCO vs MORN: the full fundamentals
MCO. Moody's trades at a premium to the market, reflecting its position in a protected ratings duopoly, high margins, capital-light economics, and the recurring revenue of Moody's Analytics. The valuation embeds steady mid-to-high-single-digit growth and assumes durable issuance volumes over time. The multiple has historically compressed during sharp debt-issuance downturns and re-rated as markets reopened.
MORN. Morningstar reported Q1 2026 revenue near $644.8 million, up about 11% year over year, with operating profit up more than 35% and diluted EPS around $2.73, up roughly 50%, both ahead of consensus. Growth was broad-based but led by Morningstar Credit (up about 38%) and PitchBook, and the company continued buying back stock. At a mid-to-high-teens trailing earnings multiple, the shares reflect steady growth plus continued margin recovery rather than a sharp re-acceleration.
Headline figures (approximate, early 2026): MCO shows revenue (ttm) ~$7.5 billion, operating margin ~45%, net income (ttm) ~$2.5 billion, eps (ttm) ~$13.50; MORN shows revenue (ttm) ~$2.5B, q1 2026 revenue ~$644.8M (up ~10.8% YoY), q1 2026 diluted eps ~$2.73 (up ~50% YoY), morningstar credit growth ~+38% YoY (Q1 2026).
The bottom line: MCO vs MORN
MCO and MORN are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined MCO and MORN exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.
Wondering how MCO or MORN fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.
Investing in Moody's with AI
Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how MCO fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.
FAQ
What is the difference between MCO and MORN?
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Moody's is a global integrated risk-assessment company best known for credit ratings. Morningstar is an investment-research and financial-data provider whose products span five reportable segments: the Morningstar Direct Platform (data, research, Direct, and Advisor Workstation), PitchBook (private-capital data, analytics, and AI-enabled software for venture capital, private equity, private credit, and M&A), Morningstar Credit (credit ratings, research, and analytics through DBRS Morningstar), Morningstar Wealth (investment products, advisor platforms, and managed portfolios), and Morningstar Retirement. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.
Is MCO or MORN the better stock?
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Neither is universally better. MCO is the larger incumbent; MORN is the smaller challenger and looks cheaper on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.
Which is cheaper, MCO or MORN?
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On forward P/E (as of July 2026), MCO trades at 25.76x and MORN at 14.77x, so MORN is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.
Should you own both MCO and MORN?
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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.
What are the risks of MCO vs MORN?
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MCO: The ratings segment is cyclical: debt issuance falls sharply when interest rates rise quickly or credit markets freeze, directly pressuring MIS revenue. Moody's also carries reputational and regulatory risk, a legacy of the 2008 financial crisis when rating agencies were criticized for structured-credit ratings; new regulation or liability rulings could weigh on the model. Competition from S&P Global, Fitch, and smaller rating providers, plus the rise of in-house and AI-driven risk tools, is a long-term consideration. The premium valuation embeds steady growth, so issuance downturns or multiple compression can hit the stock. Currency exposure and integration risk on acquisitions add further variability. MORN: Credit-ratings revenue is cyclical and tracks debt-issuance volumes, so a slowdown in structured finance or corporate issuance can quickly pressure a fast-growing segment. Core fund-research and license revenue is more mature and exposed to market levels and fee compression among asset-manager clients. Morningstar competes against far larger, better-capitalized data and index rivals (Bloomberg, S&P Global, MSCI, FactSet, LSEG, Moody's) that can bundle products and pressure pricing. AI and new fintech entrants could commoditize parts of the data and research business over time. The stock trades at a premium multiple, so any stall in PitchBook growth, credit volumes, or margin recovery can compress the valuation.
Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell MCO or MORN; figures are approximate and dated (as of July 2026). Verify current data before investing.