MSGS vs TKO: How Madison Square Garden Sports and TKO Group Holdings Compare (2026)
Last updated August 2026
Short answer
TKO is the larger of the two ($34.75B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (47.49x forward earnings, beta 0.62). MSGS is the smaller challenger ($9.39B), priced similarly on forward earnings (-631.95x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.
MSGS vs TKO: the tie-breaker metrics
Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.
| Metric | MSGS | TKO | What it tells you |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $9.39B | $34.75B | Size. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove. |
| Forward P/E | -631.95 | 47.49 | Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up. |
| Beta | 0.58 | 0.62 | Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through. |
| Price vs 52-week range | 90% of range | 40% of range | Where today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why. |
Before you buy: how MSGS and TKO affect your concentration
The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. MSGS and TKO share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.
This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined MSGS and TKO exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
What does Madison Square Garden Sports (MSGS) do?
Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. owns and operates the New York Knickerbockers of the NBA and the New York Rangers of the NHL, along with two development-league affiliates and a professional sports team performance business. Its revenue comes from ticket sales and premium seating, local media rights fees, sponsorship and signage, food and merchandise at games, and its share of leaguewide national media and licensing money. The company does not own Madison Square Garden itself: the arena sits inside MSG Entertainment, and the Knicks and Rangers pay to play there under long-term arrangements, which is why the reported financials look thinner than the size of the underlying assets suggests. Revenue for the trailing twelve months is roughly ~$1.08 billion against a market capitalization of about ~$9.4 billion, a ratio that only makes sense once you treat the company as an asset holder rather than an operating business.
What does TKO Group Holdings (TKO) do?
TKO Group Holdings owns two of the most recognizable combat-sports and entertainment brands in the world, the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) and World Wrestling Entertainment (WWE), and after a February 2025 transaction also owns IMG, On Location, and Professional Bull Riders (PBR). The company makes money primarily from media rights (multi-year deals to broadcast and stream its events), live event ticketing and site fees, sponsorship, licensing, and hospitality. The headline example is the roughly $7.7 billion, seven-year UFC media-rights agreement with Paramount that begins in 2026, moving UFC's numbered events onto Paramount+ and away from the traditional pay-per-view model; across all brands TKO says it has more than $15 billion of long-term media rights secured.
MSGS vs TKO: how do they differ?
Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.
- MSGS drivers: Franchise scarcity; The proposed Knicks and Rangers separation.
- TKO drivers: Media-rights repricing; Scarce, must-watch live IP.
Which fits which kind of investor
A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: The Dolan family controls the company through Class B shares carrying ten votes each and the right to elect 75% of the board, so a minority holder has essentially no ability to force a sale, a buyback, a dividend or a change of management. For TKO, tKO's value is concentrated in a small number of large rights deals, so any renewal at lower-than-expected terms, or a slip in audience engagement, would matter a lot.
MSGS or TKO: which should you pick?
Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick MSGS if you believe its drivers more; TKO if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the MSGS and TKO guides.
MSGS vs TKO: the full fundamentals
MSGS. Conventional earnings multiples do not describe this stock: the company runs near breakeven on an accounting basis while holding assets appraised at several times its revenue. The more common framework is a sum-of-the-parts, comparing the market capitalization of about ~$9.4 billion against combined franchise appraisals near ~$13.5 billion and then adjusting for borrowings and for the discount attached to a controlled structure. That gap has narrowed considerably over the past year as the shares roughly doubled off a 52-week low near ~$189, so the spin-off outcome now carries more of the weight than the raw appraisal spread does.
TKO. Figures are approximate and tied to the asOf date; verify current numbers before acting. TKO reported full-year 2025 revenue of about $4.74 billion and adjusted EBITDA near $1.585 billion, and guided to roughly $5.7 billion of revenue and $2.2 to 2.3 billion of adjusted EBITDA for 2026. The high P/E reflects amortization and acquisition accounting weighing on reported net income, which is why many investors watch EV/EBITDA and the contracted rights backlog instead.
Headline figures (approximate, August 2026): MSGS shows share price ~$390, market capitalization ~$9.4 billion, revenue (ttm) ~$1.08 billion, net income (ttm) ~-$22 million (EPS ~-$0.93); TKO shows revenue (fy2025) ~$4.74 billion, adjusted ebitda (fy2025) ~$1.585 billion (up ~47% YoY), adjusted ebitda margin ~33.5%, net income (fy2025) ~$546 million.
The bottom line: MSGS vs TKO
MSGS and TKO are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined MSGS and TKO exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.
Wondering how MSGS or TKO fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.
Investing in Madison Square Garden Sports with AI
Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how MSGS fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.
FAQ
What is the difference between MSGS and TKO?
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Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. TKO Group Holdings owns two of the most recognizable combat-sports and entertainment brands in the world, the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) and World Wrestling Entertainment (WWE), and after a February 2025 transaction also owns IMG, On Location, and Professional Bull Riders (PBR). They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.
Is MSGS or TKO the better stock?
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Neither is universally better. TKO is the larger incumbent; MSGS is the smaller challenger and looks cheaper on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.
Which is cheaper, MSGS or TKO?
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On forward P/E (as of August 2026), MSGS trades at -631.95x and TKO at 47.49x, so MSGS is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.
Should you own both MSGS and TKO?
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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.
What are the risks of MSGS vs TKO?
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MSGS: The Dolan family controls the company through Class B shares carrying ten votes each and the right to elect 75% of the board, so a minority holder has essentially no ability to force a sale, a buyback, a dividend or a change of management. The spin-off is exploratory: a confidential filing is not a commitment, and the transaction could be delayed, restructured or abandoned, in which case the narrowing of the discount could reverse. The company generates little in the way of reported profit (a trailing twelve-month net loss of about ~$22 million on ~$1.08 billion of revenue), so there is no earnings support underneath the price if franchise appraisals stop rising. Player compensation, collective bargaining outcomes and luxury-tax structures in both leagues can raise costs faster than revenue, and local media rights remain the softest part of the model. Finally, with roughly ~24 million shares outstanding, the float is small and the stock can move sharply on transaction headlines in either direction. TKO: TKO's value is concentrated in a small number of large rights deals, so any renewal at lower-than-expected terms, or a slip in audience engagement, would matter a lot. The business carries talent, reputational, and regulatory exposure (athlete relations, litigation, and the inherent headline risk of combat sports and a high-profile leadership). A controlling shareholder, Endeavor, holds roughly 61% of votes, which limits the influence of public minority holders. And the stock trades at a high earnings multiple, so disappointments can be punished sharply.
Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell MSGS or TKO; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.