RACE vs VWAGY: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

Last updated August 2026

Short answer

RACE is the larger of the two ($69.23B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (31.10x forward earnings, beta 0.59). VWAGY is the smaller challenger ($43.76B), cheaper on forward earnings (0.38x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.

RACE vs VWAGY: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricRACEVWAGYWhat it tells you
Market cap$69.23B$43.76BSize. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove.
Forward P/E31.100.38Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Trailing P/E37.057.27Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price.
Beta0.590.99Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through.
Price vs 52-week range42% of range14% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.
Price / book15.080.22How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price.

Reading it: VWAGY is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.

Before you buy: how RACE and VWAGY affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. RACE and VWAGY share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined RACE and VWAGY exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does Ferrari (RACE) do?

Ferrari N.V. is an Italian maker of ultra-luxury sports cars, headquartered in Maranello, and one of the most recognized brands in the world. It sells a limited number of high-priced cars each year (deliveries were in the mid-thousands per quarter in early 2026) and deliberately keeps volumes below demand to preserve exclusivity and residual values. Beyond car sales, it earns revenue from personalization options, spare parts, and its Formula 1 racing operation, which both promotes the brand and validates performance technology that flows into road cars.

Full RACE guide

What does Volkswagen AG (VWAGY) do?

Volkswagen AG is the largest carmaker in Europe and, by revenue, one of the largest industrial companies in the world, with sales of roughly EUR 321.9B in 2025. The group is really a federation of ten vehicle brands rather than a single manufacturer: Volkswagen passenger cars, Audi, Porsche, Skoda, Seat and Cupra, Bentley, Lamborghini, Ducati, Scout, and the Traton commercial vehicle business, alongside a large financial services arm that finances and leases those vehicles. Revenue is reported in euros because Volkswagen is a German company listed in Frankfurt, and its US-traded ADR is a wrapper around that German listing rather than a US listing in its own right. The Porsche Automobil Holding SE family vehicle controls about 53.3% of Volkswagen's voting rights and the state of Lower Saxony holds around 20%, which means the ordinary shares that VWAGY tracks carry votes that are, in practice, already spoken for.

Full VWAGY guide

RACE vs VWAGY: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • RACE drivers: Scarcity and pricing power; Personalization and mix.
  • VWAGY drivers: The cost reset, which is now the whole equity story; Cash generation and a balance sheet that buys time.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: The dominant risk is valuation: Ferrari trades at a premium far above typical automakers, priced like a luxury-goods company, so any stumble in growth, mix, or brand perception can compress the multiple sharply. For VWAGY, the near-term risk is that the restructuring runs slower than the margin compression: a 3.8% first half operating margin sits at the bottom of the 4% to 5.5% full year target, and Volkswagen's own CFO described the roughly 4% level as a wake-up call.

RACE or VWAGY: which should you pick?

Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick RACE if you believe its drivers more; VWAGY if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the RACE and VWAGY guides.

RACE vs VWAGY: the full fundamentals

RACE. These figures are approximate, tied to the asOf date, and reported in euros because Ferrari is an Italian company, so verify live numbers before acting. Ferrari's premium multiple reflects its luxury-goods economics (near-50% gross margins, pricing power, order visibility) rather than automotive fundamentals, which is why it trades far above peers like GM or Stellantis. That premium is also the main risk: it leaves little room for error on growth, mix, or the electrification transition.

VWAGY. The two most common mistakes with Volkswagen numbers are currency and scale. Revenue of roughly EUR 321.9B is in euros, so quoting it with a dollar sign is wrong by the exchange rate, and it is a revenue figure roughly eight times the company's own market value, which is what a single-digit multiple on a low-margin, high-turnover manufacturer looks like. The valuation is genuinely cheap on trailing earnings, but trailing earnings already fell about 38% in 2025 and first half 2026 operating profit fell a further 12%, so the multiple is being applied to a declining base rather than a stable one.

Headline figures (approximate, Jul 2026): RACE shows revenue (ttm) approximately 6.7 to 7 billion euros, with full-year 2026 guidance around 7.5 billion euros, operating margin (ebit) reported around 30% (Q1 2026 EBIT margin near 29.7%), exceptionally high for an automaker, eps 2026 adjusted EPS guided at roughly 9.45 euros; verify the latest figure live, market cap approximately $80 to $95 billion (shares traded in the high $400s in early 2026); VWAGY shows revenue (fy2025) ~EUR 321.9B (roughly $367B converted at recent rates; Volkswagen reports in euros), net earnings (fy2025) ~EUR 6.67B, down ~38% year over year, h1 2026 operating profit ~EUR 5.9B, down ~12%, on a ~3.8% operating margin, p/e ratio ~7.3 on the German ordinary line, one of the lowest in the global auto sector.

The bottom line: RACE vs VWAGY

RACE and VWAGY are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined RACE and VWAGY exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Wondering how RACE or VWAGY fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.

Investing in Ferrari with AI

Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how RACE fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.

FAQ

What is the difference between RACE and VWAGY?

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Ferrari N.V. Volkswagen AG is the largest carmaker in Europe and, by revenue, one of the largest industrial companies in the world, with sales of roughly EUR 321.9B in 2025. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is RACE or VWAGY the better stock?

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Neither is universally better. RACE is the larger incumbent; VWAGY is the smaller challenger and looks cheaper on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, RACE or VWAGY?

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On forward P/E (as of August 2026), RACE trades at 31.10x and VWAGY at 0.38x, so VWAGY is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both RACE and VWAGY?

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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of RACE vs VWAGY?

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RACE: The dominant risk is valuation: Ferrari trades at a premium far above typical automakers, priced like a luxury-goods company, so any stumble in growth, mix, or brand perception can compress the multiple sharply. The electrification transition is the key uncertainty, since it is not yet proven that battery-powered Ferraris will command the same prestige and pricing power as its combustion engines, which are core to the brand's identity. Because it sells discretionary ultra-luxury products, Ferrari is exposed to downturns in wealthy-consumer spending and to weakness in key markets like China, the US, and Europe. Deliveries can dip during model transitions (as in early 2026), currency swings affect a euro-reporting company for US ADR-style holders, and any erosion of exclusivity from raising volumes too fast would threaten the scarcity that supports margins. Execution on new model launches and F1 competitiveness also matter to sentiment. VWAGY: The near-term risk is that the restructuring runs slower than the margin compression: a 3.8% first half operating margin sits at the bottom of the 4% to 5.5% full year target, and Volkswagen's own CFO described the roughly 4% level as a wake-up call. Labor agreements in Germany make job reductions slow and expensive, so the announced 100,000 figure is a multi-year path rather than a lever management can pull at will. China is the largest structural risk: local electric vehicle makers have compressed both share and price in the group's most profitable historical market, and there is no obvious mechanism for Volkswagen to reclaim that position. US tariffs on European-built vehicles hit Audi and Porsche hardest, and localizing production is a multi-year capital commitment made against an uncertain policy backdrop. Layered on top are ADR-specific risks that have nothing to do with the business: the depositary receipt is unsponsored, trades on OTC markets with wider spreads and thinner volume than a listed US stock, and its US dollar value moves with the euro exchange rate as well as the share price.

Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell RACE or VWAGY; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.

    RACE vs VWAGY: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026? - Walnut AI Investing App