TGS vs YPF: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

Last updated September 2026

Short answer

YPF is the larger of the two ($20.57B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (9.56x forward earnings, beta -0.07). TGS is the smaller challenger ($4.40B), actually pricier on forward earnings (11.17x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.

TGS vs YPF: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of September 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricTGSYPFWhat it tells you
Market cap$4.40B$20.57BSize. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove.
Forward P/E11.179.56Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Trailing P/E12.7127.76Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price.
Beta-0.51-0.07Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through.
Price vs 52-week range57% of range85% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.
Price / book1.881.96How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price.

Reading it: YPF is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.

Before you buy: how TGS and YPF affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. TGS and YPF share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined TGS and YPF exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does Transportadora de Gas del Sur (TGS) do?

Transportadora de Gas del Sur runs roughly 9,200 km of high-pressure gas pipeline across southern and central Argentina, the largest transmission system in Latin America, moving gas from the Neuquen, San Jorge and Austral basins into Buenos Aires. Four segments carry the business: regulated Natural Gas Transportation, whose tariffs are set by the regulator ENARGAS; Liquids Production and Commercialization, which strips ethane, propane, butane and natural gasoline out of the gas stream at General Cerri and exports them through the Galvan port terminal; Midstream, the non-regulated conditioning, compression and gathering plants that serve Vaca Muerta producers at Tratayen, Rincon La Ceniza and Rio Neuquen; and a small Telecommunications arm, Telcosur. CIESA holds the Class A control block, itself co-controlled by Pampa Energia and the Sielecki family, so the free float sits in the Class B shares that back the ADR.

Full TGS guide

What does YPF Sociedad Anonima (YPF) do?

YPF Sociedad Anonima is Argentina's integrated oil and gas company: it explores and produces crude and natural gas, runs the country's largest refining system, and sells fuel through a nationwide service station network under the YPF brand. The Argentine state holds 51% of the equity, the remainder trades publicly, and the ADRs have been listed on the NYSE since the 1990s. Over the past three years the company has been reshaping itself around unconventional assets, selling or handing back dozens of mature conventional blocks (the Andes divestment program) and pushing capital into Vaca Muerta, where lifting costs in its core shale hub run near $4 per barrel of oil equivalent against roughly $8.8 consolidated. It also holds stakes in midstream and export infrastructure, including the VMOS crude pipeline to an Atlantic terminal, and has signed partnerships with Eni and Shell around a floating LNG project aimed at monetizing Argentine gas for export.

Full YPF guide

TGS vs YPF: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • TGS drivers: The integrated NGL project; Perito Moreno pipeline and tariff normalization.
  • YPF drivers: Vaca Muerta volume growth; Export infrastructure and the shift to dollar revenue.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: Country risk dominates: TGS earns most of its revenue in pesos under a government that sets its regulated tariffs, and a policy reversal or a renewed tariff freeze would compress the transportation segment the same way it did in the 2018 to 2023 stretch. For YPF, argentine sovereign and policy risk sits above everything else: the state owns 51%, so board composition, fuel pricing, export permits, and currency access are all subject to the politics of the day, and past administrations have intervened in domestic prices in ways that cut refining margins.

TGS or YPF: which should you pick?

Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick TGS if you believe its drivers more; YPF if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the TGS and YPF guides.

TGS vs YPF: the full fundamentals

TGS. The reported financials are Argentine pesos restated for inflation, so peso figures such as Q2 2026 revenue of ~Ps. 535.5 billion and comprehensive income of ~Ps. 133.1 billion are not comparable across years without that adjustment, and the dollar figures above are conversions. The ~13x trailing multiple stands against a US and global midstream peer median closer to the low-to-mid twenties, a gap that has persisted for years and reflects Argentine sovereign and tariff risk rather than a defect in the assets. The most recent annual dividend was ~$0.93 per ADS, a trailing yield near ~3%, and the payout competes directly with a capex program that runs through 2030.

YPF. On annualized recent EBITDA the enterprise value works out to roughly four times, a level well below US shale independents of similar growth, and the gap is the market's price for Argentine country risk rather than a judgment on the wells. Reported earnings per ADR are noisy because 2025 carried large impairments from the conventional asset exits, so trailing price to earnings ratios on screeners can be misleading in either direction. YPF pays no dividend on the ADRs at present, with cash directed to capex and debt reduction.

Headline figures (approximate, August 2026): TGS shows revenue (ttm) ~$1.25 billion, net income (ttm) ~$350 million, market cap ~$4.6 billion, p/e (ttm) ~13x; YPF shows revenue (ttm) ~$19 billion in US dollars (screeners that show Argentine peso figures will look wildly different), adjusted ebitda (q2 2026) ~$2.8 billion, an all-time quarterly record, at ~43% of revenue, net income (q2 2026) ~$1.2 billion, the second highest quarter on record, market cap ~$21 billion (~391 million ADRs, ADR price recently near $50).

The bottom line: TGS vs YPF

TGS and YPF are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined TGS and YPF exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Wondering how TGS or YPF fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.

Investing in Transportadora de Gas del Sur with AI

Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how TGS fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.

FAQ

What is the difference between TGS and YPF?

+

Transportadora de Gas del Sur runs roughly 9,200 km of high-pressure gas pipeline across southern and central Argentina, the largest transmission system in Latin America, moving gas from the Neuquen, San Jorge and Austral basins into Buenos Aires. YPF Sociedad Anonima is Argentina's integrated oil and gas company: it explores and produces crude and natural gas, runs the country's largest refining system, and sells fuel through a nationwide service station network under the YPF brand. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is TGS or YPF the better stock?

+

Neither is universally better. YPF is the larger incumbent; TGS is the smaller challenger and looks pricier on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, TGS or YPF?

+

On forward P/E (as of September 2026), TGS trades at 11.17x and YPF at 9.56x, so YPF is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both TGS and YPF?

+

Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of TGS vs YPF?

+

TGS: Country risk dominates: TGS earns most of its revenue in pesos under a government that sets its regulated tariffs, and a policy reversal or a renewed tariff freeze would compress the transportation segment the same way it did in the 2018 to 2023 stretch. Currency is the second layer, since the accounts are restated for inflation under IAS 29 while debt and the ~$3.0 billion capex program are dollar-denominated, so a sharp peso devaluation cuts both ways for an ADR holder. The liquids segment adds commodity exposure that the pipeline business does not have, and part of the 2026 earnings strength came from geopolitically driven propane and butane pricing that can fade. Execution risk on the NGL project is real and long-dated: a fractionation plant, a multi-product pipeline and a marine terminal all have to land on schedule for a 2030 startup, and the cash outflow arrives first. Finally, control sits with the CIESA block rather than with public holders, and Argentine capital controls have historically interfered with converting and remitting dividends. YPF: Argentine sovereign and policy risk sits above everything else: the state owns 51%, so board composition, fuel pricing, export permits, and currency access are all subject to the politics of the day, and past administrations have intervened in domestic prices in ways that cut refining margins. Capital and currency controls can limit how freely cash moves out of the country, which is one reason the ADRs trade at a discount to shale peers listed elsewhere. The business is also a price taker on Brent, and a sustained oil downturn would hit a company spending $5.5 billion to $5.8 billion of capex in 2026. Execution risk is real on VMOS and the LNG projects, both of which require partners, financing, and infrastructure delivered on schedule before the export thesis pays. Finally, while the Second Circuit reversed the $16.1 billion Petersen judgment against Argentina in March 2026, related litigation and further appellate steps have not fully run their course, and headlines in that case have historically moved the stock.

Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell TGS or YPF; figures are approximate and dated (as of September 2026). Verify current data before investing.