ADDYY vs ONON: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

Last updated October 2026

Short answer

ADDYY is the larger of the two ($30.98B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (14.37x forward earnings, beta 1.17). ONON is the smaller challenger ($11.61B), actually pricier on forward earnings (16.83x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.

ADDYY vs ONON: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of October 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricADDYYONONWhat it tells you
Market cap$30.98B$11.61BSize. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove.
Forward P/E14.3716.83Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Trailing P/E19.4523.17Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price.
Beta1.172.08Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through.
Price vs 52-week range31% of range34% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.
Price / book4.635.03How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price.

Reading it: ADDYY is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.

Before you buy: how ADDYY and ONON affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. ADDYY and ONON share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined ADDYY and ONON exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does adidas AG (ADDYY) do?

adidas AG designs and sells athletic footwear, apparel and accessories under the adidas brand, from performance football boots and running shoes to lifestyle franchises such as the Samba, Gazelle and Spezial terrace silhouettes. Headquartered in Herzogenaurach, Germany, it sells through wholesale partners, its own stores and a large e-commerce business across Europe, North America, Greater China, Latin America and Asia-Pacific, and it holds marquee sponsorships including the national football teams of Germany, Argentina and Spain. Footwear is roughly 60% of sales, and nearly all production is outsourced to contract factories in Asia, chiefly Vietnam, Indonesia and China. The group sold its Reebok business in 2022 and now runs essentially a single-brand model, which concentrates both the upside of a hot product cycle and the downside of a cold one. The 2023 end of the Yeezy partnership, which left hundreds of millions of euros of inventory to be sold down over two years, is the event that set the low point from which the current recovery is measured.

Full ADDYY guide

What does On Holding AG (ONON) do?

On Holding AG designs and sells performance running shoes, apparel and accessories under the On brand. It was founded in Zurich in 2010 by Olivier Bernhard, a former duathlon world champion, alongside David Allemann and Caspar Coppetti, around a specific idea: hollow rubber pods in the outsole (CloudTec) that compress on landing and lock for push-off. Shoes are still the overwhelming majority of the business, roughly 92 percent of first-quarter 2026 sales, with apparel and accessories the rest. On sells through two channels: wholesale partners such as specialty running retailers and sporting goods chains at about 61 percent of sales, and direct-to-consumer through on.com and its own stores at about 39 percent. Geographically the Americas is still the largest region at roughly 54 percent of sales, EMEA about 25 percent, and Asia-Pacific just over 20 percent and rising fast. Production is outsourced, with roughly 90 percent of footwear made in Vietnam and the remainder in Indonesia, though On has begun operating its own robot-run LightSpray factories in Zurich and Busan. Roger Federer has been a shareholder and product collaborator since 2019, and the THE ROGER line is the brand's main tennis-adjacent lifestyle franchise.

Full ONON guide

ADDYY vs ONON: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • ADDYY drivers: Brand momentum and the turnaround; Margin recovery toward a 10% operating margin.
  • ONON drivers: Full-price selling that keeps lifting gross margin; Asia-Pacific has become the growth engine.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: Sportswear is fashion-sensitive, and the lifestyle franchises that powered the recovery could cool as quickly as they heated up, leaving inventory and markdown pressure behind. For ONON, the most concrete risk is the deceleration itself: guidance of at least 23 percent constant-currency growth for 2026 is a sharp step down from 35.6 percent in 2025, and the Americas, still more than half the business, grew only 3.1 percent on a reported basis in the first quarter and slowed to roughly 13 percent in constant currency in the second, with analysts flagging maturing wholesale door growth.

ADDYY or ONON: which should you pick?

Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick ADDYY if you believe its drivers more; ONON if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the ADDYY and ONON guides.

ADDYY vs ONON: the full fundamentals

ADDYY. adidas trades at a modest discount to its own five-year history and roughly in line with European consumer peers, reflecting margins that remain below the company's past peak despite record sales. The next catalyst is the third-quarter 2026 report, scheduled for around October 29, 2026, where investors will focus on second-half growth (guided to roughly 6%), tariff refunds and early 2027 commentary. Figures are approximate and drawn from public reports and data providers, which differ slightly in timing and currency. Converted to ADR terms at the one-half ratio, the multiples are identical to the Frankfurt line, since both represent the same economic claim on adidas earnings.

ONON. These figures reflect the second quarter of 2026 and Yahoo Finance market data as of October 16, 2026; third-quarter results are expected around November 11, 2026, with consensus near CHF 931 million of sales. On reports in Swiss francs while the shares trade in dollars, so constant-currency growth has run about eight to twelve points above reported growth in 2026. The stock trades near 3.6 times sales and about 22.6 times EV/EBITDA, with roughly CHF 1.2 billion of cash against about CHF 563 million of lease liabilities, no dividend, and a buyback authorization of up to $1 billion through 2029.

Headline figures (approximate, October 2026): ADDYY shows revenue (ttm) ~€26 billion, q2 2026 revenue ~€6.7 billion (+~14% currency-neutral), fy2026 operating profit guidance ~€2.3 billion, market cap ~€27 billion; ONON shows net sales (ttm) ~CHF 3.22B, net sales (q2 2026) ~CHF 850.3M, up ~13.5% reported, ~21.6% constant currency, gross margin (q2 2026) ~65.4% (vs ~61.5% a year earlier), FY2026 guide ~64.5%+, net income (ttm) ~CHF 396M, a margin of roughly 12%.

The bottom line: ADDYY vs ONON

ADDYY and ONON are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined ADDYY and ONON exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Wondering how ADDYY or ONON fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.

Investing in adidas AG with AI

Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how ADDYY fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.

FAQ

What is the difference between ADDYY and ONON?

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adidas AG designs and sells athletic footwear, apparel and accessories under the adidas brand, from performance football boots and running shoes to lifestyle franchises such as the Samba, Gazelle and Spezial terrace silhouettes. On Holding AG designs and sells performance running shoes, apparel and accessories under the On brand. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is ADDYY or ONON the better stock?

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Neither is universally better. ADDYY is the larger incumbent; ONON is the smaller challenger and looks pricier on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, ADDYY or ONON?

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On forward P/E (as of October 2026), ADDYY trades at 14.37x and ONON at 16.83x, so ADDYY is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both ADDYY and ONON?

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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of ADDYY vs ONON?

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ADDYY: Sportswear is fashion-sensitive, and the lifestyle franchises that powered the recovery could cool as quickly as they heated up, leaving inventory and markdown pressure behind. US tariffs, a weak consumer in Greater China and Europe, and the cost of global sponsorships can all compress margins that are already thinner than peers'. adidas reports in euros, so the dollar value of ADDYY moves with EUR/USD as well as with the underlying Frankfurt share, and a stronger euro also dilutes reported revenue from the US and emerging markets. As an OTC-traded ADR, ADDYY can have wider bid-ask spreads and thinner volume than the Frankfurt line, carries depositary fees deducted from dividends, and German withholding tax applies to dividends before they reach US holders (partly reclaimable or creditable depending on the investor's situation). A CFO transition at year-end 2026, with Harm Ohlmeyer handing over to Birgit Kretschmer, adds some execution uncertainty around guidance. The single-brand structure also means there is no second label to cushion a downturn in the adidas name itself. ONON: The most concrete risk is the deceleration itself: guidance of at least 23 percent constant-currency growth for 2026 is a sharp step down from 35.6 percent in 2025, and the Americas, still more than half the business, grew only 3.1 percent on a reported basis in the first quarter and slowed to roughly 13 percent in constant currency in the second, with analysts flagging maturing wholesale door growth. Leadership changed at both the CEO and CFO seats in 2026, which removes the executive who ran the company through its entire public life just as the growth rate is being tested. Supply is concentrated, with roughly 90 percent of footwear produced in Vietnam and guidance that embeds a 20 percent incremental US tariff, so trade policy moves through the income statement quickly and the LightSpray nearshoring answer is years from being material. Because On reports in Swiss francs, a strong franc keeps reported growth well below constant-currency growth (14.5 percent versus 26.4 percent in the first quarter of 2026), which flatters or penalizes the headline depending on where the dollar sits. Reported second-quarter growth of 13.5 percent against 21.6 percent in constant currency shows the franc effect has not gone away. Finally, the valuation still carries a premium at roughly 23 times trailing and 17 times forward earnings, even after the shares fell about 26 percent in 2026, founder-held Class B shares concentrate voting control regardless of the public float, and running-brand momentum has historically proven cyclical, which is what short interest of around 6 percent of shares is expressing.

Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell ADDYY or ONON; figures are approximate and dated (as of October 2026). Verify current data before investing.