ALRM vs HON: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

Last updated November 2026

Short answer

HON is the larger of the two ($70.97B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (22.73x forward earnings, beta 0.88). ALRM is the smaller challenger ($3.26B), priced similarly on forward earnings (21.57x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.

ALRM vs HON: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of November 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricALRMHONWhat it tells you
Market cap$3.26B$70.97BSize. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove.
Forward P/E21.5722.73Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Trailing P/E29.3811.10Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price.
Beta0.700.88Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through.
Price vs 52-week range96% of range44% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.
Price / book3.773.17How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price.

Before you buy: how ALRM and HON affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. ALRM and HON share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined ALRM and HON exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does Alarm.com (ALRM) do?

Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. runs a cloud platform for connected property: intrusion detection, video surveillance, access control, thermostats, locks, lighting, and the mobile apps that tie them together. It does not sell to homeowners directly. Instead it licenses its software to a network of service providers, dealers, integrators and central monitoring stations, who install the equipment and bill the end customer, while Alarm.com collects a recurring per-property SaaS fee (roughly $5 to $6 a month for a residential account) and also resells hardware into the same channel. Beyond the residential core, the company has built out a commercial franchise (Alarm.com for Business, OpenEye video, CHeKT, Shooter Detection Systems) and an energy business, EnergyHub, that helps utilities orchestrate distributed resources like smart thermostats, batteries and EV chargers.

Full ALRM guide

What does Honeywell International (HON) do?

Honeywell, which now operates as Honeywell Technologies (Nasdaq: HON), describes itself as a global, pure-play automation company serving the building, industrial and process sectors through services, solutions and products, run on its Accelerator operating system and its Forge intelligence layer. It has more than 50,000 employees and decades of operating data from a global installed base. Its Building Automation business sells controls, sensors, fire and security systems for commercial buildings. Industrial Automation covers process control, sensing, warehouse automation and the productivity (barcode scanning) business, and the process-technology franchise licenses refining and petrochemical technology and supplies the equipment and services around it, such as its planned role at the Dangote refinery project in Kenya. Honeywell makes money from a mix of equipment sales, long-cycle projects, recurring service and growing software offerings.

Full HON guide

ALRM vs HON: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • ALRM drivers: High-retention SaaS base; Commercial and enterprise expansion.
  • HON drivers: Pure-play automation focus; Software and physical AI on the installed base.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: The U.S. For HON, as a standalone automation company, Honeywell is more exposed to construction activity, manufacturing capex and energy-sector spending than when aerospace aftermarket revenue cushioned results.

ALRM or HON: which should you pick?

Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick ALRM if you believe its drivers more; HON if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the ALRM and HON guides.

ALRM vs HON: the full fundamentals

ALRM. Alarm.com trades at roughly 25x trailing earnings, about 19x forward and about 2.7x sales, a modest multiple for a software-led business that reflects high-single-digit revenue growth and a hardware drag on blended margins. Free cash flow over the trailing twelve months was about $100 million, and consensus calls for about $1.08 billion of 2026 revenue and $2.89 of EPS. The stock is up about 12% in 2026 and near its 52-week high of $58.62, with Q3 results due November 5.

HON. Honeywell's headline numbers are hard to read because the June 2026 aerospace spin-off and a large Q2 gain sit inside the trailing figures, which is why the trailing P/E shows near 8x. On forward estimates the stock trades around 22x 2027 EPS of about $9.82, a multiple in line with quality automation peers. The Q3 report on October 22 (consensus EPS about $2.16 on revenue of about $5.0 billion) will give the first clean standalone quarter.

Headline figures (approximate, October 2026): ALRM shows revenue (ttm) ~$1.06B (Q2 2026 +9.2% YoY to ~$277.7M), gross / operating margin (ttm) ~66% / ~15%, net income (ttm) ~$118M, EPS ~$2.26, q2 2026 eps (actual vs est.) ~$0.77 vs ~$0.65; HON shows revenue (ttm, includes aerospace until june) ~$38.1 billion, q2 2026 revenue (continuing operations) ~$5.2 billion, 2026 revenue (analyst consensus) ~$20.2 billion, operating margin ~20%.

The bottom line: ALRM vs HON

ALRM and HON are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined ALRM and HON exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Wondering how ALRM or HON fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.

Investing in Alarm.com with AI

Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how ALRM fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.

FAQ

What is the difference between ALRM and HON?

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Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. Honeywell, which now operates as Honeywell Technologies (Nasdaq: HON), describes itself as a global, pure-play automation company serving the building, industrial and process sectors through services, solutions and products, run on its Accelerator operating system and its Forge intelligence layer. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is ALRM or HON the better stock?

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Neither is universally better. HON is the larger incumbent; ALRM is the smaller challenger and looks cheaper on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, ALRM or HON?

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On forward P/E (as of November 2026), ALRM trades at 21.57x and HON at 22.73x, so ALRM is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both ALRM and HON?

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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of ALRM vs HON?

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ALRM: The U.S. residential security market is mature, and a large share of Alarm.com's subscriber base sits in a category where DIY alternatives from Amazon Ring, Google Nest and SimpliSafe compete on price and convenience. Channel dependence is structural: Alarm.com does not own the end customer, so a large dealer switching platforms or being acquired by a competitor with an in-house stack can move revenue. Hardware, about a third of revenue, is low margin and exposed to tariffs, memory cost inflation and dealer inventory swings, and management already lowered second-half 2026 hardware guidance for those reasons. Two of the company's biggest partners, ADT and Vivint, have historically had incentives to develop or acquire competing platforms. Patent and trade-secret litigation is a recurring cost of doing business in this space, including an active SkyBell Technologies trade-secrets suit. Reported earnings have also softened even as revenue grew: trailing net income of about $118 million is below the 2025 level, and analysts expect revenue growth of only about 6% in 2027. Third-quarter results are due November 5, 2026, with consensus near $0.75 EPS on about $266 million of revenue, a slight dip from Q2. HON: As a standalone automation company, Honeywell is more exposed to construction activity, manufacturing capex and energy-sector spending than when aerospace aftermarket revenue cushioned results. Earnings are expected to fall sharply in reported terms in 2026 (consensus of about $8.30 of EPS versus far higher prior-year figures that included aerospace), and the separation adds execution risk: stranded costs, new capital structures and a limited standalone reporting history. Debt of about $35 billion against about $9.2 billion of cash (latest reported figures, which straddle the spin) leaves the balance sheet a watch point. The productivity solutions (warehouse and barcode) business has shown cyclical softness, and analysts have been trimming price targets (Mizuho cut its target to $255 from $265 in October). Input costs, supply chains and currency swings also affect margins.

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Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell ALRM or HON; figures are approximate and dated (as of November 2026). Verify current data before investing.