AMAT vs NVMI: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

Last updated November 2026

Short answer

AMAT is the larger of the two ($302.75B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (20.56x forward earnings, beta 1.67). NVMI is the smaller challenger ($9.67B), priced similarly on forward earnings (22.25x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.

AMAT vs NVMI: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of November 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricAMATNVMIWhat it tells you
Market cap$302.75B$9.67BSize. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove.
Forward P/E20.5622.25Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Trailing P/E32.9237.99Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price.
Beta1.671.88Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through.
Price vs 52-week range33% of range11% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.
Price / book11.816.60How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price.

Before you buy: how AMAT and NVMI affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. AMAT and NVMI share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined AMAT and NVMI exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does Applied Materials (AMAT) do?

Applied Materials is the largest semiconductor equipment company in the world by revenue. The company manufactures the wafer fabrication equipment that semiconductor fabs use to deposit, etch, polish, and inspect silicon wafers. AMAT does not make lithography systems (ASML has that monopoly) but is essentially everywhere else in the fab equipment market.

Full AMAT guide

What does Nova Ltd. (NVMI) do?

Nova Ltd. (NASDAQ and Tel Aviv: NVMI), headquartered in Rehovot, Israel, builds process-control metrology for semiconductor manufacturing. Metrology is measurement rather than inspection: instead of hunting for defects, Nova's systems characterize the dimensions, profiles, thin-film thickness, and material composition of structures on a wafer while it is still moving through the line. The portfolio splits into a Dimensional Metrology Division built on optical techniques (integrated and standalone optical critical dimension, or OCD, scatterometry) and a Materials Metrology Division built on x-ray methods, plus chemical metrology acquired with ancosys in 2022 and a modeling and analytics software layer that is arguably the real moat. A meaningful share of Nova's tools are integrated, meaning they are bolted directly onto another vendor's deposition or etch equipment, which makes Nova both a supplier to fabs and a partner to process-equipment makers. Customers are the logic foundries, memory makers, and packaging houses in Taiwan, Korea, Japan, China, and the United States, and manufacturing sits in Israel, Germany, and the United States, with a new Asian facility targeted to be operational by the end of 2026.

Full NVMI guide

AMAT vs NVMI: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • AMAT drivers: Leading-edge logic and memory capex; Trailing-edge capacity expansion.
  • NVMI drivers: Gate-all-around and the rising metrology intensity of leading-edge logic; Advanced packaging and high-bandwidth memory.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: Semiconductor capex is cyclical. For NVMI, nova sells capital equipment into an industry that has historically swung hard in both directions, so a pause in leading-edge capex at any of the handful of customers that matter would show up in orders within a quarter or two, and the current multiple leaves little room for that.

AMAT or NVMI: which should you pick?

Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick AMAT if you believe its drivers more; NVMI if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the AMAT and NVMI guides.

AMAT vs NVMI: the full fundamentals

AMAT. As of October 16, 2026, AMAT trades at about 36x trailing and 23x forward earnings, with a price-to-sales ratio near 10.8x, a rerating from the low-20s trailing multiple of early 2026 even after the stock's pullback from its high. The latest quarter beat on EPS ($3.50 vs ~$3.39) with revenue up about 25%, and consensus for fiscal Q4 (reported November 12, 2026) is EPS of ~$4.06 on ~$10.3 billion of revenue. The 36 analysts covering the stock have an average target near $632.

NVMI. At about $324 a share, Nova is worth roughly $10.3B, down from about $12.5B in August 2026, and trades near 40x trailing and 24x forward earnings, so the trailing multiple is still a little above its own 15-year average of about 37x while the forward multiple is well below it. The premium is still being paid for a record set of results: fiscal 2025 revenue of ~$880.6M grew ~31% with GAAP net income of ~$259.2M, and both 2026 quarters so far set records, with Q2 non-GAAP EPS of $2.51 beating the $2.41 consensus. Analysts expect about $1.08B of revenue for 2026 and $1.36B for 2027, and consensus for the November 5 report is EPS of about $2.77 on about $282M of revenue.

Headline figures (approximate, October 2026): AMAT shows revenue (ttm) ~$30.8 billion, revenue growth (latest quarter, yoy) ~25%, operating margin ~34%, net income (ttm) ~$9.3 billion; NVMI shows revenue (ttm) ~$938M (+16% YoY in Q2 2026), q2 2026 revenue ~$255.0M (+16% YoY, +8% QoQ, a company record), gross / operating margin (ttm) ~57% / ~30%, net income (ttm) ~$270M (EPS ~$8.00).

The bottom line: AMAT vs NVMI

AMAT and NVMI are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined AMAT and NVMI exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Wondering how AMAT or NVMI fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.

Investing in Applied Materials with AI

Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how AMAT fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.

FAQ

What is the difference between AMAT and NVMI?

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Applied Materials is the largest semiconductor equipment company in the world by revenue. Nova Ltd. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is AMAT or NVMI the better stock?

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Neither is universally better. AMAT is the larger incumbent; NVMI is the smaller challenger and looks pricier on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, AMAT or NVMI?

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On forward P/E (as of November 2026), AMAT trades at 20.56x and NVMI at 22.25x, so AMAT is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both AMAT and NVMI?

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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of AMAT vs NVMI?

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AMAT: Semiconductor capex is cyclical. China exposure (where export controls have already cut some revenue) is the largest single near-term risk; further restrictions could expand. Valuation and expectations are now a risk of their own: the stock more than doubled from its 52-week low of ~$203 to ~$740 before falling about 26% over three months to $418 by October 16, 2026, and two brokers cut price targets the week the company presented its 2030 plan. Consensus already assumes fiscal Q4 EPS of ~$4.06 (up about 87% year over year) and 44% EPS growth in fiscal 2027, so a softer outlook on November 12 would land against high expectations. Free cash flow of ~$3.1 billion trailing is well below net income, a gap worth watching as the company spends on capacity and R&D. NVMI: Nova sells capital equipment into an industry that has historically swung hard in both directions, so a pause in leading-edge capex at any of the handful of customers that matter would show up in orders within a quarter or two, and the current multiple leaves little room for that. Concentration is real: four customers and three territories each represented at least 10% of product revenue, and China alone has been roughly 30% or more of the business even after declining from about 39%. That China exposure sits directly in the path of US, Dutch, and Japanese export controls plus tariff changes, none of which Nova controls. Operations, R&D, and a large share of manufacturing are concentrated in Israel, which carries geopolitical, mobilization, and logistics risk that the company itself flags at length in its 20-F. Competitively, KLA is far larger and holds the dominant share of metrology and inspection overall, while Onto Innovation and Camtek are pushing hard on the same advanced-packaging demand Nova is winning today, so share gains are not guaranteed to continue. Finally, the $750M convertible notes become dilutive to share count if the stock trades above the conversion price, and the shares have traveled between roughly $266 and $616 within 52 weeks and fell about 28% in the three months to October 16, 2026, which shows how quickly sentiment on this name reprices. Citigroup's October 8, 2026 downgrade to Neutral with a $415 target is one example of that sentiment turning.

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Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell AMAT or NVMI; figures are approximate and dated (as of November 2026). Verify current data before investing.