ASB vs KEY: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

Last updated August 2026

Short answer

KEY is the larger of the two ($24.22B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (10.56x forward earnings, beta 1.02). ASB is the smaller challenger ($5.83B), priced similarly on forward earnings (9.34x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.

ASB vs KEY: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricASBKEYWhat it tells you
Market cap$5.83B$24.22BSize. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove.
Forward P/E9.3410.56Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Trailing P/E10.8013.21Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price.
Beta0.771.02Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through.
Price vs 52-week range88% of range81% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.
Price / book1.061.40How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price.

Before you buy: how ASB and KEY affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. ASB and KEY share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined ASB and KEY exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does Associated Banc-Corp (ASB) do?

Associated Banc-Corp is a bank holding company based in Green Bay, Wisconsin, and is the largest bank headquartered in the state. Its Associated Bank subsidiary operates roughly 180 to 200 branches across Wisconsin, Illinois, Minnesota and neighboring Midwest states, with loan production offices reaching into markets like Omaha, Dallas, Texas and beyond. The company runs three reportable segments: Corporate and Commercial Specialty (commercial loans, commercial real estate, asset-based lending and cash management), Community, Consumer and Business (retail deposits, consumer lending, wealth and retirement services), and Risk Management and Shared Services. It carries roughly $50 billion in total assets, making it a mid-size regional bank rather than a national money-center institution.

Full ASB guide

What does KeyCorp (KEY) do?

KeyCorp (NYSE: KEY) is the Cleveland, Ohio holding company for KeyBank National Association, one of the larger regional banks in the United States, with roughly $189 billion in assets as of early 2026. It operates through two segments: the Consumer Bank, which offers deposits, mortgages, home equity, credit cards, student-loan refinancing (through its national Laurel Road digital brand), and financial-wellness services to individuals and small businesses across a 15-state branch footprint, and the Commercial Bank, which serves middle-market clients in seven industry verticals (consumer, energy, healthcare, industrial, public sector, real estate, and technology) with lending, treasury management, and capital-markets services. Like other banks, KeyCorp makes money in two broad ways: net interest income, the spread between what it earns on loans and securities and what it pays on deposits, and noninterest fee income from investment banking, payments, wealth management, and service charges.

Full KEY guide

ASB vs KEY: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • ASB drivers: Loan growth and the American National acquisition; Net interest income and margin.
  • KEY drivers: Net interest income and margin recovery; Fee income and investment banking.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: As a regional bank, ASB is heavily exposed to interest-rate movements: a sharp change in rates or an inverted yield curve can compress the net interest margin that drives most of its profit. For KEY, keyCorp is highly sensitive to interest rates: net interest income is its largest revenue line, so falling rates, an inverted yield curve, or deposit repricing can compress the net interest margin and earnings.

ASB or KEY: which should you pick?

Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick ASB if you believe its drivers more; KEY if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the ASB and KEY guides.

ASB vs KEY: the full fundamentals

ASB. ASB trades around $31 per share with a market cap near $5.7 billion, a low double-digit P/E (roughly 10 to 11 times earnings) typical of value-priced regional banks. Q1 2026 net income available to common was about $117 million, or $0.70 per share, beating estimates and up from $0.59 a year earlier. The quarterly dividend of about $0.24 supports a yield above 3%.

KEY. KeyCorp trades as a mid-cap regional bank, with a market value near $25 billion on roughly 1.08 billion shares and a dividend yield around 3.7%. Earnings have been recovering sharply off a weak 2024, so year-over-year growth rates look large partly because of the low base. As with all banks, valuation multiples like price-to-book and price-to-earnings are best read against peer regional banks and the direction of interest rates and credit costs.

Headline figures (approximate, July 2026): ASB shows net interest income (q1 2026) ~$307M, total revenue (q1 2026) ~$387M, diluted eps (q1 2026) ~$0.70, market cap ~$5.7B; KEY shows total assets ~$189 billion (Q1 2026), q1 2026 total revenue ~$1.95 billion (up ~10% YoY), q1 2026 net income to common ~$486 million, q1 2026 diluted eps ~$0.44 (up ~33% YoY).

The bottom line: ASB vs KEY

ASB and KEY are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined ASB and KEY exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Wondering how ASB or KEY fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.

Investing in Associated Banc-Corp with AI

Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how ASB fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.

FAQ

What is the difference between ASB and KEY?

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Associated Banc-Corp is a bank holding company based in Green Bay, Wisconsin, and is the largest bank headquartered in the state. KeyCorp (NYSE: KEY) is the Cleveland, Ohio holding company for KeyBank National Association, one of the larger regional banks in the United States, with roughly $189 billion in assets as of early 2026. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is ASB or KEY the better stock?

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Neither is universally better. KEY is the larger incumbent; ASB is the smaller challenger and looks cheaper on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, ASB or KEY?

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On forward P/E (as of August 2026), ASB trades at 9.34x and KEY at 10.56x, so ASB is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both ASB and KEY?

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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of ASB vs KEY?

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ASB: As a regional bank, ASB is heavily exposed to interest-rate movements: a sharp change in rates or an inverted yield curve can compress the net interest margin that drives most of its profit. Credit risk is meaningful given its commercial and commercial real estate concentration, and a Midwest economic downturn could raise loan losses. Integration of the American National acquisition carries execution and cost risk. Deposit competition and potential outflows remain a concern after the 2023 regional-banking stress, and heavy regulation plus capital requirements can limit flexibility. The stock's modest valuation reflects these cyclical and sentiment risks around smaller regional banks. KEY: KeyCorp is highly sensitive to interest rates: net interest income is its largest revenue line, so falling rates, an inverted yield curve, or deposit repricing can compress the net interest margin and earnings. As an economically cyclical regional bank, it is exposed to the credit cycle, where a recession or rising unemployment would increase loan losses; commercial real estate and leveraged commercial lending are areas investors watch closely, though credit metrics were healthy in early 2026 (net charge-offs around 38 basis points). Deposit competition from larger banks, online banks, and money-market funds can raise funding costs. The 2024 securities repositioning was executed at a realized loss, and any renewed rate volatility could pressure the securities book again. Finally, regional banks broadly face heightened regulatory scrutiny and capital requirements after the 2023 regional-bank stress, and Scotiabank's large minority stake, while a source of capital, concentrates a significant block of ownership with a single strategic holder.

Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell ASB or KEY; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.

    ASB vs KEY: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026? - Walnut AI Investing App