ATI vs MLI: How ATI Inc. and Mueller Industries Compare (2026)

Last updated July 2026

Short answer

ATI is the larger of the two ($24.46B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (33.06x forward earnings, beta 0.96). MLI is the smaller challenger ($14.49B), cheaper on forward earnings (14.96x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.

ATI vs MLI: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of July 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricATIMLIWhat it tells you
Market cap$24.46B$14.49BSize. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove.
Forward P/E33.0614.96Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Trailing P/E59.1517.06Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price.
Beta0.961.12Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through.
Price vs 52-week range81% of range82% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.
Price / book13.814.08How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price.

Reading it: MLI is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.

Before you buy: how ATI and MLI affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. ATI and MLI share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined ATI and MLI exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does ATI Inc. (ATI) do?

ATI Inc. (ATI), formerly Allegheny Technologies, is a specialty materials and components producer focused on high-performance metals for demanding applications. Its core markets are aerospace and defense, where ATI supplies titanium, nickel-based superalloys, and other advanced alloys used in jet engines, airframes, and defense systems that must withstand extreme heat, stress, and corrosion. The company also serves medical, energy, electronics, and specialty industrial markets. ATI operates through two segments: High Performance Materials and Components (jet engine parts, forgings, and advanced alloys) and Advanced Alloys and Solutions (specialty rolled products and materials). The company has deliberately repositioned over the past several years away from lower-margin commodity stainless toward higher-value, harder-to-make aerospace and defense materials where it has technical differentiation and long qualification cycles that lock in customer relationships. Founded through the combination of specialty metals businesses and headquartered in Dallas, Texas, ATI is a cyclical industrial materials company whose results are tied closely to commercial aerospace production rates and defense spending.

Full ATI guide

What does Mueller Industries (MLI) do?

Mueller Industries, headquartered in Collierville, Tennessee, is an industrial holding company that manufactures copper, brass, aluminum, and plastic products sold into plumbing, HVAC, refrigeration, oil and gas, medical, aerospace, and automotive end markets. The company operates through three reportable segments: Piping Systems (the largest, generating approximately 65-67% of revenue from copper tubes, fittings, line sets, valves, and related products sold to plumbing wholesalers, building material retailers, and OEMs), Industrial Metals (brass rod, copper bar, wire, and impact extrusions), and Climate (components for temperature-control systems, including twisted tubes, coaxial heat exchangers, and refrigeration valves). Manufacturing and distribution operations span North America, the United Kingdom, Canada, Asia, and the Middle East, with joint ventures in South Korea and Bahrain. The company traces its operational roots to 1917 and is listed on the NYSE under the ticker MLI. Gregory L. Christopher serves as Chairman and CEO, and under his leadership the company has executed a disciplined acquisition strategy, including Nehring Electrical Works and Elkhart Products in 2024, and Bison Metals Technologies in March 2026, all aimed at expanding nonferrous manufacturing capacity. MLI completed a 2-for-1 stock split effective July 1, 2026. The shareholder base is primarily institutional, with no single controlling shareholder.

Full MLI guide

ATI vs MLI: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • ATI drivers: Commercial aerospace recovery and ramp; Mix shift to high-value materials.
  • MLI drivers: Structural demand from HVAC and electrification; Tariff-driven onshoring of copper manufacturing.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: ATI is cyclical and concentrated in aerospace, so any slowdown in commercial aircraft production (for example, Boeing supply-chain or quality problems, or an air-travel downturn) hits demand directly. For MLI, mueller's revenue and margins are sensitive to U.S.

ATI or MLI: which should you pick?

Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick ATI if you believe its drivers more; MLI if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the ATI and MLI guides.

ATI vs MLI: the full fundamentals

ATI. ATI trades as a cyclical aerospace and defense materials supplier, with its multiple expanding when commercial aircraft build rates and defense demand are strong. The repositioning toward higher-value alloys has improved margins and earnings quality, but the valuation still reflects sensitivity to the aerospace cycle and raw-material and capacity-ramp risks rather than steady-state stability.

MLI. MLI's trailing P/E of approximately 17x sits well below the U.S. Machinery sector average and its direct peer group, which has historically traded at 25-33x, suggesting the market applies a discount that may reflect cyclicality concerns around copper pricing and construction exposure. The 29% gross margin is materially above the company's own 10-year historical average and above the level that many analysts consider fully sustainable into a normalized cycle. The near-zero-debt balance sheet and approximately $1.4 billion in cash give the company exceptional financial flexibility and downside cushion that is unusual among comparably sized industrials.

Headline figures (approximate, early 2026): ATI shows revenue (ttm) ~$4.5 billion, operating margin ~low-double-digit percent (improving with mix), net income (ttm) ~$350-450 million, p/e (ttm) ~20-25x (cyclical); MLI shows revenue (full year 2025) ~$4.18 billion, revenue (ttm, as of q1 2026) ~$4.37 billion, net income (full year 2025) ~$765 million, diluted eps (full year 2025) ~$6.86.

The bottom line: ATI vs MLI

ATI and MLI are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined ATI and MLI exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Investing in ATI Inc. with AI

Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how ATI fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.

FAQ

What is the difference between ATI and MLI?

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ATI Inc. Mueller Industries, headquartered in Collierville, Tennessee, is an industrial holding company that manufactures copper, brass, aluminum, and plastic products sold into plumbing, HVAC, refrigeration, oil and gas, medical, aerospace, and automotive end markets. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is ATI or MLI the better stock?

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Neither is universally better. ATI is the larger incumbent; MLI is the smaller challenger and looks cheaper on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, ATI or MLI?

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On forward P/E (as of July 2026), ATI trades at 33.06x and MLI at 14.96x, so MLI is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both ATI and MLI?

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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of ATI vs MLI?

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ATI: ATI is cyclical and concentrated in aerospace, so any slowdown in commercial aircraft production (for example, Boeing supply-chain or quality problems, or an air-travel downturn) hits demand directly. Raw material costs (titanium, nickel) and energy prices are volatile and can squeeze margins. The business is capital-intensive with long lead times, so ramping capacity to meet demand carries execution risk and ties up cash. Competition in specialty alloys is technically demanding but real, and customer concentration among a few large aerospace primes and engine makers adds risk. The stock is volatile and sensitive to aerospace and defense spending cycles and macroeconomic conditions. MLI: Mueller's revenue and margins are sensitive to U.S. residential and commercial construction cycles, and a sustained housing downturn driven by elevated mortgage rates or a broader recession could materially reduce volumes and pricing power. Copper is the primary raw material, and rapid copper price swings can produce significant mark-to-market hedge losses in a single quarter, as demonstrated by an $18.2 million unrealized hedge loss in Q4 2025, distorting reported earnings. Gross margins near 29% are meaningfully above the company's own historical averages and could normalize or compress if copper prices moderate, competitive dynamics shift, or the mix of acquired businesses dilutes the profitability of legacy operations. Tariff policy uncertainty adds a two-sided risk: tariffs currently benefit domestic producers but could trigger broader trade retaliation, cost-push inflation, or demand destruction if they weigh on construction activity.

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Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell ATI or MLI; figures are approximate and dated (as of July 2026). Verify current data before investing.

    ATI vs MLI: How ATI Inc. and Mueller Industries Compare (2026), Walnut