AVAV vs UMAC: How AeroVironment and Unusual Machines Compare (2026)
Last updated July 2026
Short answer
AVAV is the larger of the two ($7.39B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (33.01x forward earnings, beta 1.39). UMAC is the smaller challenger ($955.40M), priced similarly on forward earnings (-99.95x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.
AVAV vs UMAC: the tie-breaker metrics
Same yardstick, side by side (as of July 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.
| Metric | AVAV | UMAC | What it tells you |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $7.39B | $955.40M | Size. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove. |
| Forward P/E | 33.01 | -99.95 | Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up. |
| Beta | 1.39 | 14.78 | Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through. |
| Price vs 52-week range | 4% of range | 47% of range | Where today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why. |
| Price / book | 1.67 | 2.88 | How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price. |
Before you buy: how AVAV and UMAC affect your concentration
The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. AVAV and UMAC share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.
This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined AVAV and UMAC exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
What does AeroVironment (AVAV) do?
AeroVironment (AVAV) is a defense technology company specializing in unmanned and autonomous systems. It is best known for small, man-portable drones used by militaries for reconnaissance and surveillance, and for loitering munitions, notably the Switchblade family, which are precision-strike drones that have drawn significant attention from conflicts and rising global demand. AeroVironment also builds larger unmanned aircraft systems, uncrewed ground robots, and develops autonomy software and counter-drone solutions. Its primary customer is the US Department of Defense, with growing international and allied-government sales. The company has expanded through acquisitions into adjacent areas such as space, loitering munitions, and autonomy. The investment story centers on the structural growth of drones and autonomous systems in modern warfare, where small, attritable, intelligent systems are reshaping how militaries operate. Founded in 1971 and historically associated with pioneering work in efficient flight, AeroVironment is headquartered in Arlington, Virginia, and is a mid-cap defense growth company tied closely to defense budgets and procurement.
What does Unusual Machines (UMAC) do?
Unusual Machines makes drone components and consumer drone products, focusing on domestically manufactured motors, flight controllers and first-person-view parts intended to supply US drone builders.
AVAV vs UMAC: how do they differ?
Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.
- AVAV drivers: Loitering munitions demand; Small unmanned systems franchise.
- UMAC drivers: Component supply rather than finished aircraft; Domestic sourcing requirements.
Which fits which kind of investor
A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: AeroVironment depends heavily on US defense procurement, so budget cycles, appropriations timing, and program decisions cause lumpy, hard-to-predict revenue and order flow. For UMAC, unusual Machines is a very small, loss-making company with limited revenue and a short operating history in its current form.
AVAV or UMAC: which should you pick?
Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick AVAV if you believe its drivers more; UMAC if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the AVAV and UMAC guides.
AVAV vs UMAC: the full fundamentals
AVAV. AeroVironment trades on a growth multiple that reflects its leadership in fast-growing drone and loitering-munition categories rather than current earnings. The valuation embeds expectations of sustained defense procurement growth and successful expansion into autonomy and space. It is more volatile and richly valued than traditional defense primes, sensitive to order timing and conflict-driven demand swings.
UMAC. Unusual Machines is an early-stage supplier whose case rests on policy-driven demand for domestic drone components rather than on current financial performance. Verify the current cash position, revenue and share count.
Headline figures (approximate, early 2026): AVAV shows revenue (ttm) ~$800 million-$1 billion, operating margin ~low-double-digit percent, net income (ttm) Modest; growth reinvested, p/e (ttm) Elevated (growth multiple); UMAC shows business model Drone components: motors, flight controllers, FPV parts, scale Micro-cap, early revenue; verify current figures, thesis driver US restrictions on Chinese drone components, profitability Loss-making; verify cash runway.
The bottom line: AVAV vs UMAC
AVAV and UMAC are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined AVAV and UMAC exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.
Investing in AeroVironment with AI
Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how AVAV fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.
FAQ
What is the difference between AVAV and UMAC?
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AeroVironment (AVAV) is a defense technology company specializing in unmanned and autonomous systems. Unusual Machines makes drone components and consumer drone products, focusing on domestically manufactured motors, flight controllers and first-person-view parts intended to supply US drone builders. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.
Is AVAV or UMAC the better stock?
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Neither is universally better. AVAV is the larger incumbent; UMAC is the smaller challenger and looks cheaper on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.
Which is cheaper, AVAV or UMAC?
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On forward P/E (as of July 2026), AVAV trades at 33.01x and UMAC at -99.95x, so UMAC is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.
Should you own both AVAV and UMAC?
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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.
What are the risks of AVAV vs UMAC?
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AVAV: AeroVironment depends heavily on US defense procurement, so budget cycles, appropriations timing, and program decisions cause lumpy, hard-to-predict revenue and order flow. It is mid-cap and competes against far larger defense primes as well as a wave of new drone and autonomy startups, which could pressure pricing and share. Demand spikes tied to specific conflicts may not be sustainable, and any easing of geopolitical tension could slow orders. Acquisitions add integration risk and have raised the share count and balance-sheet complexity. The stock is volatile and trades on a growth multiple that embeds optimistic defense-spending and order assumptions, leaving it sensitive to any procurement disappointment. UMAC: Unusual Machines is a very small, loss-making company with limited revenue and a short operating history in its current form. It depends on building domestic manufacturing capability that does not yet exist at scale, which is capital-intensive and unproven. It has funded itself through equity issuance. Share liquidity is limited and the price has been highly volatile. This is a speculative micro-cap.
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Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell AVAV or UMAC; figures are approximate and dated (as of July 2026). Verify current data before investing.