AVTR vs TMO: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?
Last updated October 2026
Short answer
TMO is the larger of the two ($255.13B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (25.02x forward earnings, beta 0.88). AVTR is the smaller challenger ($11.11B), cheaper on forward earnings (18.71x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.
AVTR vs TMO: the tie-breaker metrics
Same yardstick, side by side (as of October 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.
| Metric | AVTR | TMO | What it tells you |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $11.11B | $255.13B | Size. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove. |
| Forward P/E | 18.71 | 25.02 | Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up. |
| Beta | 0.94 | 0.88 | Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through. |
| Price vs 52-week range | 100% of range | 95% of range | Where today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why. |
| Price / book | 1.97 | 4.84 | How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price. |
Reading it: AVTR is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.
Before you buy: how AVTR and TMO affect your concentration
The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. AVTR and TMO share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.
This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined AVTR and TMO exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
What does Avantor (AVTR) do?
Avantor, Inc. is a global provider of high-purity materials, consumables, equipment, and specialized services used across biopharma, healthcare, education, government, and advanced technology markets. Founded in 1904 and headquartered in Radnor, Pennsylvania, the company sells everything from high-purity chemicals and reagents, lab supplies, and customized excipients to single-use assemblies, chromatography resins, and fluid handling systems. It reorganized around two reporting segments (Laboratory Solutions and a Bioscience and Medtech Products grouping), and a large share of its revenue is recurring consumables that customers reorder repeatedly, which gives the model a razor-and-blade quality tied to laboratory activity and biologic manufacturing volumes.
What does Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO) do?
Thermo Fisher Scientific, headquartered in Waltham, Massachusetts, is a global provider of scientific instruments, consumables, reagents, and services used across pharmaceutical and biotech drug development, clinical diagnostics, academic research, and environmental and industrial testing. The company operates through four reportable segments: Life Sciences Solutions (reagents, proteins, and consumables for research and bioproduction), Analytical Instruments (mass spectrometers, chromatography systems, electron microscopes, and laboratory equipment), Specialty Diagnostics (clinical diagnostic kits and transplant diagnostics), and Laboratory Products and Biopharma Services (supply-chain distribution, contract research through PPD, and contract drug manufacturing through Patheon). Revenue is generated through instrument sales, high-margin consumables and reagents that customers repurchase continuously, long-term service contracts, and growing contract development and manufacturing (CDMO) fees; consumables and services collectively account for a majority of annual sales and provide durable recurring revenue.
AVTR vs TMO: how do they differ?
Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.
- AVTR drivers: Revival transformation program; Recurring consumables and bioprocessing exposure.
- TMO drivers: Bioprocessing and Biologic Drug Manufacturing Tailwind; Recurring Consumables and Reagents Engine.
Which fits which kind of investor
A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: Avantor's revenue was only flat in Q2 2026 and consensus still implies a roughly 5.5% year-over-year decline for Q3, so the growth recovery remains unproven and could stall if biopharma and academic customers keep spending cautiously. For TMO, the most significant near-term risk is a contraction in research funding from government agencies (including NIH) and from biotech companies whose access to capital markets has historically been cyclical; when funding tightens, customers delay instrument purchases and reduce consumable orders, pressuring organic revenue growth.
AVTR or TMO: which should you pick?
Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick AVTR if you believe its drivers more; TMO if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the AVTR and TMO guides.
AVTR vs TMO: the full fundamentals
AVTR. As of October 2026 Avantor trades at about 18.5x forward earnings and about 1.7x sales, a valuation that has re-rated sharply since the summer as two straight beats eased fears about the turnaround. It still sits at a discount to larger, higher-margin tools peers because of its slower growth and higher leverage. Figures are approximate and reference reported results through Q2 2026 and consensus estimates as of October 16, 2026.
TMO. Thermo Fisher's multiple has expanded sharply since mid-2026 as organic growth re-accelerated: the stock trades at roughly 25 times forward earnings and ~37 times trailing GAAP earnings, which include heavy acquisition amortization. Analysts expect 2026 adjusted EPS of ~$25.14 on ~$47.9 billion of revenue, and ~$27.58 on ~$50.4 billion in 2027, both roughly 10% growth. The October 21 third-quarter report will test whether the second quarter's 5% organic growth holds; free cash flow of roughly $6.3 billion in 2025 still gives the company flexibility for repurchases, dividends and acquisitions.
Headline figures (approximate, October 2026): AVTR shows revenue (ttm) ~$6.56B, q2 2026 revenue ~$1.69B (flat YoY, ~5% above estimates), gross / operating margin ~32% / ~7%, net income (ttm, gaap) ~-$578M (Q3 2025 write-down); TMO shows revenue (ttm) ~$46.3 billion; full year 2025 ~$44.6 billion, q2 2026 revenue ~$11.99 billion, up 10% reported and 5% organic, q2 2026 adjusted eps ~$6.03 (+13%) vs ~$5.71 expected, margins (ttm) Gross ~41%, GAAP operating ~19%, net ~15%.
The bottom line: AVTR vs TMO
AVTR and TMO are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined AVTR and TMO exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.
Wondering how AVTR or TMO fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.
Investing in Avantor with AI
Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how AVTR fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.
FAQ
What is the difference between AVTR and TMO?
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Avantor, Inc. Thermo Fisher Scientific, headquartered in Waltham, Massachusetts, is a global provider of scientific instruments, consumables, reagents, and services used across pharmaceutical and biotech drug development, clinical diagnostics, academic research, and environmental and industrial testing. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.
Is AVTR or TMO the better stock?
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Neither is universally better. TMO is the larger incumbent; AVTR is the smaller challenger and looks cheaper on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.
Which is cheaper, AVTR or TMO?
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On forward P/E (as of October 2026), AVTR trades at 18.71x and TMO at 25.02x, so AVTR is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.
Should you own both AVTR and TMO?
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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.
What are the risks of AVTR vs TMO?
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AVTR: Avantor's revenue was only flat in Q2 2026 and consensus still implies a roughly 5.5% year-over-year decline for Q3, so the growth recovery remains unproven and could stall if biopharma and academic customers keep spending cautiously. The company carries meaningful leverage (about $3.7 billion of debt and only about $0.3 billion of cash), which amplifies the downside if EBITDA disappoints and constrains flexibility. Trailing GAAP results show a net loss of about $578 million after a large Q3 2025 write-down, and the turnaround depends heavily on execution by a leadership team that only filled its CFO seat permanently in September 2026. After a rally of roughly 48% over three months, the share price now sits above the average analyst target, which leaves less cushion if the Q3 report disappoints. It also competes against much larger, better-capitalized peers such as Thermo Fisher, and its exposure to biopharma capex, academic funding cycles, and currency swings adds cyclicality. Any renewed destocking or funding cuts in life sciences would pressure results. TMO: The most significant near-term risk is a contraction in research funding from government agencies (including NIH) and from biotech companies whose access to capital markets has historically been cyclical; when funding tightens, customers delay instrument purchases and reduce consumable orders, pressuring organic revenue growth. Thermo Fisher's active acquisition strategy carries integration and leverage risk, particularly after committing approximately $13 billion to mergers and acquisitions in 2025 alone; total debt stood near ~$42.6 billion against ~$4.1 billion of cash on the latest balance sheet, and a large deal that underperforms expectations could weigh on earnings and the balance sheet simultaneously. Geopolitical friction, particularly regarding China, creates both a demand risk (softer orders from Chinese academic and industrial customers) and a supply chain risk, while tariff policy changes can disrupt cost structures. Finally, valuation risk has grown: after a ~31% rally in three months the stock trades near ~37 times trailing GAAP earnings and ~25 times forward estimates, essentially at the ~$689 average analyst target, which leaves less room for disappointment if organic growth slips back from the second quarter's 5%.
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Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell AVTR or TMO; figures are approximate and dated (as of October 2026). Verify current data before investing.