BHP vs RS: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

Same yardstick, side by side (as of October 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. BHP and RS share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined BHP and RS exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

BHP Group is a global diversified resources company headquartered in Australia and dual-listed, with a US ADR trading on the NYSE under BHP. Its core businesses are Western Australia iron ore (the largest earnings contributor historically and among the lowest-cost in the world), copper (mines including Escondida in Chile plus operations in Australia and the Americas), metallurgical coal, and a growing potash business anchored by the Jansen project in Canada. BHP reports on an Australian fiscal year ending June 30 and reports in US dollars. For FY2026 (the year to June 30, 2026, reported in August), revenue rose about 15% to roughly $58.8 billion and net income was about $9.8 billion, up from about $51.3 billion and $9.0 billion in FY2025.

Full BHP guide

Reliance, Inc. (NYSE: RS) is the largest metals service center operator in North America, a role it has held for well over a decade. Rather than making metal, Reliance buys it from mills and distributes over 100,000 products (carbon steel, stainless, aluminum, brass, copper, titanium and alloy steel) to more than 125,000 customers, often after value-added processing such as slitting, laser cutting and machining. Roughly half of its orders include some processing, which makes the business more of a just-in-time industrial supply-chain operator than a pure commodity reseller. The model is highly decentralized across a family of companies and diversified across end markets like nonresidential construction, aerospace, automotive, energy and general manufacturing.

Full RS guide

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

• BHP drivers: Copper as the growth engine; Low-cost iron ore cash engine.
• RS drivers: Scale and market-share gains; Value-added processing mix.

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: BHP's earnings are highly sensitive to iron ore and copper prices, which are driven by Chinese property and steel demand, global growth, and supply from rivals. For RS, reliance is a cyclical business exposed to volatile steel, aluminum and specialty-metal prices, which can compress both revenue and gross margins when prices fall.

Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick BHP if you believe its drivers more; RS if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the BHP and RS guides.

BHP. BHP reports on an Australian fiscal year ending June 30 and reports in US dollars. FY2026 revenue recovered about 15% to roughly $58.8 billion after the prior year's 8% decline, while consensus looks for FY2027 EPS of about $4.68, roughly 10% lower. At about 22 times trailing and 18 times forward earnings, the shares trade above their earlier mid-teens multiple after a 50% one-year rally, and the variable dividend means the yield shifts with the cycle rather than staying fixed.

RS. Reliance's second-quarter 2026 net sales of about $4.63 billion and EPS of $6.27 beat estimates on higher metal prices, and the stock rose about 40% year to date to roughly $414. It trades near 24x trailing and 17x forward earnings with an EV/EBITDA near 14.6, above the roughly 13 of mid-year, and above the nine-analyst mean target near $412. Its roughly 1.2% dividend yield sits on a 33-time-increased, decades-long payout record, and third-quarter results arrive October 21, 2026.

Headline figures (approximate, October 2026): BHP shows revenue (fy2026) ~$58.8 billion (up ~15%), net income (fy2026) ~$9.8 billion (~17% margin), ebitda (ttm) ~$30 billion, market capitalization ~$215 billion; RS shows revenue (ttm) ~$15.8B (Q2 up ~26.5% YoY), q2 2026 net sales ~$4.63B, q2 2026 eps vs estimate $6.27 vs ~$5.47, gross / operating margin ~28% / ~9.5%.

BHP and RS are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined BHP and RS exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.