BWIN vs MRSH: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?
Last updated August 2026
Short answer
MRSH is the larger of the two ($90.52B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (16.63x forward earnings, beta 0.60). BWIN is the smaller challenger ($2.69B), cheaper on forward earnings (11.08x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.
BWIN vs MRSH: the tie-breaker metrics
Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.
| Metric | BWIN | MRSH | What it tells you |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $2.69B | $90.52B | Size. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove. |
| Forward P/E | 11.08 | 16.63 | Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up. |
| Beta | 1.08 | 0.60 | Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through. |
| Price vs 52-week range | 57% of range | 58% of range | Where today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why. |
| Price / book | 3.02 | 5.97 | How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price. |
Reading it: BWIN is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.
Before you buy: how BWIN and MRSH affect your concentration
The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. BWIN and MRSH share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.
This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined BWIN and MRSH exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
What does The Baldwin Insurance Group (BWIN) do?
The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. (formerly BRP Group) is an independent insurance brokerage and advisory firm headquartered in Tampa, Florida, and founded in 2011. It distributes personal and commercial insurance through three operating groups: Insurance Advisory Solutions (middle-market and larger commercial clients), Mainstreet Insurance Solutions (personal lines and Medicare), and Underwriting Capacity and Technology Solutions, which houses managing general agent (MGA) programs that let Baldwin design its own specialty products and capture more of each transaction's economics. Its advisors assess client risk and place coverage across a broad carrier network, blending traditional brokerage with technology-enabled product development.
What does Marsh (MRSH) do?
Marsh (ticker MRSH, formerly Marsh & McLennan Companies under MMC) is a global professional services firm built around two segments. Risk and Insurance Services houses Marsh, the world's largest insurance brokerage, and Guy Carpenter, a leading reinsurance broker. The Consulting segment houses Mercer, a large health, wealth, and career consultancy, and Oliver Wyman, a management consulting brand. Together these businesses employ roughly 90,000 people and generate the bulk of revenue from recurring commissions and advisory fees tied to commercial insurance placement, reinsurance, retirement, and workforce advisory work.
BWIN vs MRSH: how do they differ?
Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.
- BWIN drivers: Organic growth across operating groups; Acquisitions and partnership integration.
- MRSH drivers: Insurance brokerage scale and pricing cycle; Diversified consulting through Mercer and Oliver Wyman.
Which fits which kind of investor
A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: Baldwin runs at a GAAP net loss while reporting positive adjusted earnings, so the gap between the two, driven by amortization, interest, and deal costs, is a meaningful risk if adjusted metrics do not eventually convert to reported profit. For MRSH, as an insurance broker, revenue is tied to the commercial insurance pricing cycle, and a prolonged soft market with falling premium rates would slow commission growth.
BWIN or MRSH: which should you pick?
Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick BWIN if you believe its drivers more; MRSH if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the BWIN and MRSH guides.
BWIN vs MRSH: the full fundamentals
BWIN. As of July 2026, BWIN trades around a $4 billion market cap with shares near the high-$20s, and its trailing GAAP P/E is negative because the company reports a net loss. Investors instead value it on adjusted earnings (adjusted diluted EPS was about $0.63 in the first quarter of 2026) and on revenue and EBITDA growth, so the multiple reflects a growth-and-margin story rather than current GAAP profitability.
MRSH. Marsh generated roughly $27 billion in trailing revenue with high-single-digit organic growth and expanding adjusted margins. It trades around a low-20s price to earnings multiple, a premium that reflects its recurring fee revenue and steady compounding rather than rapid growth. The next quarterly report is expected in late July 2026.
Headline figures (approximate, July 2026): BWIN shows revenue (2025) ~$1.5B, q1 2026 revenue ~$532M, q1 2026 organic growth ~2%, adjusted ebitda margin (q1 2026) ~26%; MRSH shows revenue (ttm) ~$27.5B, net income (ttm) ~$4.2B, diluted eps (ttm) ~$7.99, market cap ~$86B.
The bottom line: BWIN vs MRSH
BWIN and MRSH are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined BWIN and MRSH exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.
Wondering how BWIN or MRSH fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.
Investing in The Baldwin Insurance Group with AI
Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how BWIN fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.
FAQ
What is the difference between BWIN and MRSH?
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The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. Marsh (ticker MRSH, formerly Marsh & McLennan Companies under MMC) is a global professional services firm built around two segments. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.
Is BWIN or MRSH the better stock?
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Neither is universally better. MRSH is the larger incumbent; BWIN is the smaller challenger and looks cheaper on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.
Which is cheaper, BWIN or MRSH?
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On forward P/E (as of August 2026), BWIN trades at 11.08x and MRSH at 16.63x, so BWIN is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.
Should you own both BWIN and MRSH?
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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.
What are the risks of BWIN vs MRSH?
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BWIN: Baldwin runs at a GAAP net loss while reporting positive adjusted earnings, so the gap between the two, driven by amortization, interest, and deal costs, is a meaningful risk if adjusted metrics do not eventually convert to reported profit. The company carries substantial debt from its acquisition strategy, making it sensitive to interest rates and integration missteps. Organic growth has decelerated recently, and a slowdown would pressure the valuation. Results also depend on insurance pricing cycles, carrier capacity, and competition from much larger, better-capitalized brokers. Free cash flow has at times been near breakeven, which limits financial flexibility. MRSH: As an insurance broker, revenue is tied to the commercial insurance pricing cycle, and a prolonged soft market with falling premium rates would slow commission growth. The consulting businesses are more cyclical and can weaken when corporate clients cut discretionary project and benefits spending. The stock trades at a premium valuation (a low-20s price to earnings multiple), so disappointing organic growth or margins could compress the multiple. Large acquisitions carry integration and goodwill risk, and the firm faces professional liability and regulatory exposure across many jurisdictions. Currency swings also affect reported results given the global footprint.
Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell BWIN or MRSH; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.