BX vs MQBKY: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

Last updated October 2026

Short answer

BX is the larger of the two ($135.33B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (15.17x forward earnings, beta 1.56). MQBKY is the smaller challenger ($66.50B), actually pricier on forward earnings (19.71x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.

BX vs MQBKY: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of October 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricBXMQBKYWhat it tells you
Market cap$135.33B$66.50BSize. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove.
Forward P/E15.1719.71Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Trailing P/E25.7925.25Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price.
Beta1.560.88Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through.
Price vs 52-week range17% of range77% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.
Price / book10.052.61How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price.

Reading it: BX is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.

Before you buy: how BX and MQBKY affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. BX and MQBKY share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined BX and MQBKY exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does Blackstone (BX) do?

Blackstone Inc. is the world's largest alternative asset manager, investing on behalf of pension funds, sovereign wealth funds, insurers, endowments, and increasingly individual investors. It runs money across several major strategies: real estate (historically its largest), private equity, credit and insurance, infrastructure, life sciences, growth equity, secondaries, and hedge fund solutions. The business model has two engines. First, it earns recurring management fees on the capital it manages, which produces relatively stable fee-related earnings and grows as assets under management climb. Second, it earns performance fees (carried interest and incentive fees) when its funds generate strong returns, which are lumpier and depend on realizations and market conditions. Because most of its capital is locked up in long-dated funds, Blackstone has durable, contracted fee streams, and it distributes a large share of its distributable earnings to shareholders as a variable quarterly dividend rather than a fixed one.

Full BX guide

What does Macquarie Group Limited (MQBKY) do?

Macquarie Group Limited is an Australian financial group organised into four operating businesses. Macquarie Asset Management (MAM) runs infrastructure, energy, real estate and private credit funds plus an Australian public investments business, with A$748.0 billion of assets under management at 30 June 2026. Banking and Financial Services (BFS) is the retail and business bank in Australia, with A$191.5 billion of home loans, A$223.3 billion of deposits and A$163.3 billion of funds on its wealth platform at the same date. Commodities and Global Markets (CGM) provides hedging, financing and trading in gas, power, oil and metals, alongside foreign exchange, interest rate and futures services and an asset finance book. Macquarie Capital does advisory and capital markets work and invests the group's own money through a A$27.2 billion private credit portfolio and a A$5.1 billion equity book. In the year to 31 March 2026 (FY26), CGM contributed A$4.22 billion, MAM A$2.60 billion, BFS A$1.61 billion and Macquarie Capital A$1.49 billion before central costs, and 68% of total income came from outside Australia.

Full MQBKY guide

BX vs MQBKY: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • BX drivers: Growth of assets under management; Private wealth and retail channel.
  • MQBKY drivers: Home lending and deposit growth in BFS; Private markets fundraising and performance fees.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: Blackstone's risks stem from its market-linked, cyclical model. For MQBKY, the biggest swing factor is earnings quality: FY26's 30% profit jump leaned on items that do not repeat on a schedule, including the OnStream meters sale, A$1.38 billion of MAM performance fees and Macquarie Capital equity realisations, so FY27 can disappoint even if the underlying businesses grow.

BX or MQBKY: which should you pick?

Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick BX if you believe its drivers more; MQBKY if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the BX and MQBKY guides.

BX vs MQBKY: the full fundamentals

BX. These figures are qualitative and approximate as of the asOf date, not precise real-time numbers. Because performance fees and the variable dividend move with realizations and markets, quarterly results can be uneven. Confirm live AUM, revenue, fee-related earnings, dividend, and valuation before acting.

MQBKY. Using the A$238.80 average price of the June 2026 employee share purchase, the ordinary shares traded at roughly 19 times FY26 earnings per share, and the A$7.00 dividend was a yield of about 2.9% before withholding. FY26 profit included sizeable one-off gains, so that multiple looks lower than it would on a normalised year. Second-half FY26 profit of A$3.19 billion was up 93% on the first half, a sign of how uneven earnings are. Operating expenses rose 5%, slower than income. Management gave no numerical FY27 guidance, only business-by-business directions and a cautious stance on capital, funding and liquidity, and US dollar figures for MQBKY will also move with the Australian dollar.

Headline figures (approximate, Jul 2026): BX shows assets under management More than $1.3 trillion as of early 2026, the largest of any alternative asset manager, after record inflows (roughly $70 billion in a recent quarter), revenue trend Full-year 2025 revenue was about $14.5 billion, up roughly $1.2 billion year over year; management and advisory fees were about $8.1 billion, profitability Emphasizes fee-related earnings (recurring management fees) as the stable core, with performance fees (carried interest) adding lumpier upside tied to realizations, capital returns Pays a variable quarterly dividend tied to distributable earnings (not a fixed rate) plus buybacks, so the payout rises and falls with results; MQBKY shows net operating income (fy26, to mar 2026) ~A$19.5B (up 13%), net profit after tax (fy26) ~A$4.85B (up 30%), earnings per share (fy26) A$12.77, return on equity (fy26) 14.0% (FY25: 11.2%).

The bottom line: BX vs MQBKY

BX and MQBKY are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined BX and MQBKY exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Wondering how BX or MQBKY fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.

Investing in Blackstone with AI

Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how BX fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.

FAQ

What is the difference between BX and MQBKY?

+

Blackstone Inc. Macquarie Group Limited is an Australian financial group organised into four operating businesses. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is BX or MQBKY the better stock?

+

Neither is universally better. BX is the larger incumbent; MQBKY is the smaller challenger and looks pricier on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, BX or MQBKY?

+

On forward P/E (as of October 2026), BX trades at 15.17x and MQBKY at 19.71x, so BX is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both BX and MQBKY?

+

Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of BX vs MQBKY?

+

BX: Blackstone's risks stem from its market-linked, cyclical model. Fundraising and deal activity slow when markets are volatile, interest rates are high, or investors pull back, which can crimp both management-fee growth and the realizations that drive performance fees. Performance fees (carried interest) are inherently lumpy and can swing distributable earnings and the variable dividend from quarter to quarter, so the payout is not fixed. Real estate remains a large exposure, and stress in commercial property or elevated rates can pressure valuations and prompt redemption requests in semi-liquid vehicles; Blackstone has faced redemption caps in its perpetual real estate fund during past stress. Rising rates raise the bar for private-market returns and can compress asset values. The business is also exposed to regulatory scrutiny of private markets, retail alternatives, and carried-interest taxation. Finally, as a leveraged play on private-market growth, the stock tends to be more volatile than the broad market. MQBKY: The biggest swing factor is earnings quality: FY26's 30% profit jump leaned on items that do not repeat on a schedule, including the OnStream meters sale, A$1.38 billion of MAM performance fees and Macquarie Capital equity realisations, so FY27 can disappoint even if the underlying businesses grow. Commodities income depends on volatility and client hedging demand, which the company cannot control, and gas storage and transport income can shift between periods. Credit is a second risk: the group took A$478 million of credit impairments in FY26, A$461 million of it in the second half, citing macroeconomic uncertainty and the Middle East conflict, and its loan portfolio grew 23% to A$253 billion, so a downturn in Australian housing or in private credit borrowers would show up quickly. The remaining ~A$700 million Green Investments portfolio, mostly solar, has already taken A$379 million of impairments. Regulatory exposure is real: ASIC sued Macquarie Securities in May 2025 over alleged misreporting of short sales across 14 years, MBL was fined a record A$4.995 million in 2024 over suspicious electricity futures orders, and MBL operates under additional ASIC licence conditions while governance remediation continues. BFS margins are being squeezed by mortgage and deposit competition from the major Australian banks. Finally, MQBKY holders carry risks local holders do not: returns in US dollars depend on the AUD exchange rate, the ADR trades over the counter with thinner volume than MQG on the ASX, franking credits are of no use to most US investors, and dividends are paid net of Australian withholding and depositary fees.

Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell BX or MQBKY; figures are approximate and dated (as of October 2026). Verify current data before investing.