CMI vs DAN: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?
Last updated August 2026
Short answer
CMI is the larger of the two ($87.51B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (18.58x forward earnings, beta 1.22). DAN is the smaller challenger ($3.20B), cheaper on forward earnings (7.12x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.
CMI vs DAN: the tie-breaker metrics
Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.
| Metric | CMI | DAN | What it tells you |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $87.51B | $3.20B | Size. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove. |
| Forward P/E | 18.58 | 7.12 | Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up. |
| Beta | 1.22 | 1.99 | Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through. |
| Price vs 52-week range | 73% of range | 55% of range | Where today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why. |
| Price / book | 7.09 | 1.66 | How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price. |
Reading it: DAN is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.
Before you buy: how CMI and DAN affect your concentration
The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. CMI and DAN share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.
This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined CMI and DAN exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
What does Cummins (CMI) do?
Cummins Inc. is one of the world's largest independent makers of diesel and natural gas engines, and it operates across five segments: Engine, Components, Distribution, Power Systems, and Accelera (its low-carbon and electrification arm). Its products power heavy- and medium-duty trucks, buses, construction and mining equipment, and standby and prime power generators, and it runs a large aftermarket parts and service network. The Distribution segment is the largest by revenue, while Power Systems has been the fastest-growing thanks to demand for backup power at data centers.
What does Dana (DAN) do?
Dana Incorporated makes the parts that put power on the road: axles, driveshafts, differentials, electrified propulsion units, and the sealing and thermal-management products that go around them. Founded in 1904 and based in Maumee, Ohio, it sells mostly to vehicle manufacturers rather than to consumers, and its content sits under pickups, SUVs, medium- and heavy-duty trucks, and an aftermarket channel that keeps older vehicles running. As of mid-2026 the company reports in two segments. Light Vehicle did ~$1.38 billion of sales in the second quarter and Commercial Vehicle did ~$631 million, so roughly two-thirds of the revenue now rides on the light-truck and SUV cycle and about a third on commercial trucks. The Off-Highway unit that used to sit alongside them, the construction, agriculture and mining driveline business, was sold to Allison Transmission for ~$2.7 billion and closed on January 2, 2026.
CMI vs DAN: how do they differ?
Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.
- CMI drivers: Data center backup power; North American truck cycle.
- DAN drivers: The Off-Highway sale reset the balance sheet; Margin self-help is showing up in the numbers.
Which fits which kind of investor
A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: Cummins is exposed to the industrial and freight cycle, so a downturn in truck demand or construction spending can cut engine volumes and margins quickly. For DAN, dana sells to a handful of large vehicle manufacturers, so a production cut at one customer flows straight into revenue with very little to cushion it.
CMI or DAN: which should you pick?
Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick CMI if you believe its drivers more; DAN if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the CMI and DAN guides.
CMI vs DAN: the full fundamentals
CMI. Cummins trades at a premium to its historical multiple after a large 2025-2026 run tied to data center power demand. The forward P/E near 23x sits well below the trailing figure, reflecting expected earnings growth as guidance was raised. The dividend is modest in yield but backed by a long record of annual increases.
DAN. Second-quarter sales of ~$2.01 billion came in above consensus and adjusted EBITDA of ~$207 million lifted the margin ~270 basis points year over year, which is what pushed management to raise the full-year outlook by roughly $225 million of sales. At ~$29.70 a share the stock is near ~15x the midpoint of guided adjusted EPS, while the guided free cash flow midpoint of ~$325 million is close to a tenth of the ~$3.2 billion market cap, so the equity and earnings multiples tell different stories. Enterprise value against ~$800 million to ~$850 million of guided adjusted EBITDA works out to roughly five times, low by broad-market standards and normal for a cyclical supplier at a point in the cycle nobody is sure about.
Headline figures (approximate, JUNE 2026): CMI shows revenue (fy2025) ~$33.7B, revenue (q1 2026) ~$8.4B, up ~3% YoY, net income (fy2025) ~$2.8B, market cap ~$96B; DAN shows revenue (ttm) ~$7.66B, market cap ~$3.2B, q2 2026 adjusted ebitda margin ~10.3% (vs ~7.6%), fy2026 guidance (sales / adj. ebitda) ~$7.65B-$7.85B / ~$800M-$850M.
The bottom line: CMI vs DAN
CMI and DAN are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined CMI and DAN exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.
Wondering how CMI or DAN fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.
Investing in Cummins with AI
Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how CMI fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.
FAQ
What is the difference between CMI and DAN?
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Cummins Inc. Dana Incorporated makes the parts that put power on the road: axles, driveshafts, differentials, electrified propulsion units, and the sealing and thermal-management products that go around them. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.
Is CMI or DAN the better stock?
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Neither is universally better. CMI is the larger incumbent; DAN is the smaller challenger and looks cheaper on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.
Which is cheaper, CMI or DAN?
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On forward P/E (as of August 2026), CMI trades at 18.58x and DAN at 7.12x, so DAN is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.
Should you own both CMI and DAN?
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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.
What are the risks of CMI vs DAN?
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CMI: Cummins is exposed to the industrial and freight cycle, so a downturn in truck demand or construction spending can cut engine volumes and margins quickly. The recent stock re-rating leaves valuation elevated versus history, which raises the bar for execution and makes the shares sensitive to any slowdown in data center power orders. Tightening or shifting emissions regulations can trigger costly product changes and demand pull-forwards or air pockets. Accelera continues to lose money and has produced restructuring charges, adding uncertainty. Tariffs, supply chain costs, and exposure to China and other international markets add further variability to results. DAN: Dana sells to a handful of large vehicle manufacturers, so a production cut at one customer flows straight into revenue with very little to cushion it. Tariffs on imported vehicles and components, currency, and steel and aluminum pricing all move a business that recovers costs on a lag through contractual pass-throughs. The commercial-vehicle side is exposed to a North American Class 8 cycle that has been weak, and the light-vehicle side to pickup and SUV demand that has held up but is not immune. The Eaton transaction adds a second layer: it needs regulatory clearance and the spin conditions to be satisfied, the ~$325 million cost program and the ~$40 million of stranded costs have to be finished while an integration starts, and holders end up owning roughly half of the combined company rather than all of the current one. If the deal breaks, the standalone case reverts to a two-segment supplier in a flat truck market, which is a narrower story than the one now priced in.
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Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell CMI or DAN; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.